MLB · resolved market
Cardinals vs. Cubs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9251b88567c9c4adbf35f9b938249d22c8b1a66a6ef17007c2e807dc4f4e3646
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cubsof Cardinals, Cubs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $115,640
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $124,939
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $115,640 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe877…bb43backed Cardinals | 5c | 19,944$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5c…1e18backed Cubs | 59c | 9,998$5,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,099.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +101%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeebf…09ccbacked Cardinals | 41c | 9,998$4,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,099.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Cardinals | 43c | 7,140$3,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,080.33 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa488…fb11backed Cubs | 57c | 7,018$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,017.54 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Cardinals | 1c | 6,777$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.67 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Cubs | 57c | 6,007$3,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,596.19 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Cardinals | 44c | 5,234$2,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,315.3 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Cubs | 56c | 3,333$1,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,466.52 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Cardinals | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.98 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Cubs | 58c | 2,939$1,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230.08 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Cardinals | 42c | 2,825$1,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,186.67 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0512…6f17backed Cardinals | 16c | 2,304$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.19 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +36%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x592a…7a5ebacked Cardinals | 45c | 2,231$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x311f…70fbbacked Cardinals | 42c | 2,100$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Cubs | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Cubs | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Cardinals | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.98 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00b3…f937backed Cardinals | 42c | 1,900$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x343d…456ebacked Cubs | 55c | 1,851$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.13 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Cardinals | 1c | 1,834$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f28…82e0backed Cardinals | 1c | 1,500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Cardinals | 43c | 1,228$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.02 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x472f…d066backed Cubs | 58c | 1,066$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.72 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed00…f47abacked Cubs | 58c | 1,034$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.28 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 48cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6be8…8df9backed Cubs | 58c | 1,009$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.78 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Cubs | 56c | 999.99$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -19.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Cardinals | 22c | 999.53$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.43 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5270…867dbacked Cubs | 58c | 891$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.22 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Cubs | 58c | 829.15$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.24 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Cubs | 56c | 715$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.6 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Cubs | 56c | 700$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Cardinals | 2c | 630$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Cardinals | 41c | 609.88$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.19 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cardinals | 15c | 561.96$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.8 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Cardinals | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb653…85a4backed Cardinals | 44c | 447.73$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…3601backed Cubs | 56c | 446$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.24 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…55acbacked Cubs | 57c | 350.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.64 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Cubs | 56c | 349.98$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.99 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Cardinals | 43c | 348.84$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeec7…08c6backed Cubs | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63c7…04d7backed Cardinals | 42c | 302$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.84 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Cubs | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Cardinals | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc615…9f26backed Cardinals | 10c | 296.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 70 | 25.7%18 W · 52 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Cubs | 57c | 275$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.25 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Cubs | 56c | 253.49$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.54 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Cardinals | 44c | 250$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Cardinals | 41c | 245$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.45 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Cardinals | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Cardinals | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48b5…3ae0backed Cardinals | 42c | 220$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88cf…7d31backed Cubs | 56c | 204.42$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.94 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb4…98b0backed Cardinals | 42c | 203$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60a8…0912backed Cubs | 59c | 201$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Cardinals | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Cubs | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.2 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f8f…0a06backed Cubs | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Cubs | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7277…2373backed Cubs | 59c | 198$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Cubs | 58c | 187.36$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.69 | 247 | 51%126 W · 121 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Cubs | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Cardinals | 43c | 178$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.54 | 311 | 45.7%142 W · 169 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Cubs | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2345…1e3bbacked Cubs | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -5.1wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc54a…4b6fbacked Cubs | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a0e…25d0backed Cardinals | 42c | 158$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7262…1f4fbacked Cubs | 59c | 156$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x411d…3073backed Cardinals | 42c | 155$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Cardinals | 43c | 150.26$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.86 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Cubs | 59c | 141$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.21 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2977…6efcbacked Cubs | 57c | 140.18$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.28 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Cardinals | 41c | 135.17$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.42 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…b012backed Cardinals | 42c | 135$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Cardinals | 8c | 130$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b4…0d92backed Cardinals | 42c | 129$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1563…cc1cbacked Cardinals | 44c | 125.55$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e46…1d60backed Cubs | 59c | 124$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Cubs | 56c | 123.98$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.55 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…9dfabacked Cubs | 59c | 118$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbb…f8a3backed Cardinals | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 302 | 42.4%128 W · 174 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Cardinals | 44c | 113$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.72 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9839…040ebacked Cubs | 57c | 106$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.58 | 141 | 46.8%66 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbd…38c1backed Cubs | 59c | 103$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Cardinals | 42c | 102.51$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.05 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Cubs | 59c | 102.14$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.14 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe0…9c67backed Cubs | 58c | 102$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.84 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 50cpaid | +63%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3d…ed7ebacked Cubs | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd30e…e34bbacked Cubs | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5532…c6dbbacked Cardinals | 44c | 99.25$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.67 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Cardinals | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 493 | 48.3%238 W · 255 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Cardinals | 17c | 88.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f36…4e9cbacked Cubs | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89ca…5b45backed Cubs | 76c | 86.49$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.76 | 70 | 65.7%46 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Cubs | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x534e…ecfebacked Cardinals | 39c | 82.13$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.13 | 274 | 58.8%161 W · 113 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Cardinals | 43c | 76$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.68 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c8…f42cbacked Cubs | 60c | 75$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe69b…6afdbacked Cubs | 58c | 69.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.18 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.