NBA · resolved market
Hawks vs. Pistons
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6427c6d0d04329b034964cc5e7361da0d9cdd1ded71459aafbed1f23bd73803d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hawksof Hawks, Pistons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $640,022
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $688,781
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $640,022 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 496 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e80…59e8backed Pistons | 63c | 95,234$59,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59,994.98 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1638…339bbacked Hawks | 37c | 88,214$32,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55,574.55 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +9.6wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Pistons | 36c | 17,859$6,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,361.92 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Pistons | 62c | 16,550$10,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,314.01 | 126 | 63.5%80 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…1698backed Hawks | 37c | 16,493$6,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,327.51 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +10.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Pistons | 40c | 15,665$6,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,221.11 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Pistons | 23c | 12,444$2,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,801.29 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Pistons | 20c | 7,812$1,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,575.17 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Hawks | 68c | 7,000$4,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,240 | 298 | 58.7%175 W · 123 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Hawks | 38c | 6,150$2,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,833.5 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6410…1ff4backed Hawks | 68c | 5,280$3,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,695.42 | 111 | 64%71 W · 40 L | +13.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6746…5bfdbacked Pistons | 56c | 4,927$2,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,756 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…60bebacked Pistons | 22c | 3,465$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.06 | 250 | 16.8%42 W · 208 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Hawks | 37c | 3,150$1,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,984.5 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…c084backed Hawks | 38c | 3,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,859.97 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Hawks | 37c | 2,928$1,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,844.91 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb00…528abacked Pistons | 63c | 2,857$1,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,813.32 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…7678backed Hawks | 54c | 2,800$1,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,298.62 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089b…2193backed Hawks | 38c | 2,751$1,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,705.82 | 277 | 31.4%87 W · 190 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x641b…6116backed Pistons | 50c | 2,475$1,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,237.15 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Pistons | 61c | 2,171$1,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,314.05 | 232 | 37.1%86 W · 146 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0a…e4eabacked Pistons | 67c | 2,168$1,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,443 | 157 | 63.1%99 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd569…ff3bbacked Pistons | 3c | 2,146$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.33 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Hawks | 64c | 2,118$1,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.18 | 145 | 63.4%92 W · 53 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98fd…b575backed Hawks | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa67…0ef4backed Hawks | 32c | 2,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360 | 80 | 16.3%13 W · 67 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd837…ba4abacked Pistons | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,219.99 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf98e…40a5backed Hawks | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,219.98 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2fd…b3cebacked Pistons | 61c | 1,998$1,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,218.77 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -44%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…ac36backed Hawks | 40c | 1,880$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,130.32 | 113 | 55.8%63 W · 50 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Hawks | 44c | 1,716$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.12 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Hawks | 38c | 1,694$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050.64 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x920d…38adbacked Pistons | 61c | 1,648$1,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.56 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…d9ebbacked Pistons | 63c | 1,631$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.4 | 53 | 66%35 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Pistons | 62c | 1,613$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 162 | 61.7%100 W · 62 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Hawks | 37c | 1,600$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.11 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Hawks | 54c | 1,552$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.37 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Pistons | 67c | 1,487$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Hawks | 43c | 1,486$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.17 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73f0…3d28backed Pistons | 59c | 1,401$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.54 | 364 | 34.9%127 W · 237 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Hawks | 36c | 1,265$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.6 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked Pistons | 62c | 1,210$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.4 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Pistons | 62c | 1,200$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744 | 436 | 53.2%232 W · 204 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Pistons | 27c | 1,101$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.01 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4981…5176backed Pistons | 61c | 1,096$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.29 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f5d…67a4backed Hawks | 40c | 1,093$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.51 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Pistons | 63c | 1,083$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.29 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Hawks | 38c | 1,013$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.16 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…b78abacked Pistons | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed Hawks | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 248 | 55.6%138 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Pistons | 62c | 999.99$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.99 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe81a…1643backed Hawks | 39c | 999.99$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.99 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Pistons | 60c | 999.98$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.99 | 197 | 8.6%17 W · 180 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7b…d15ebacked Pistons | 62c | 909.84$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.1 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Hawks | 35c | 837.61$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.45 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6aab…9c4cbacked Pistons | 61c | 820.77$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.67 | 296 | 61.5%182 W · 114 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Hawks | 49c | 721.49$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.1 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb34…59eabacked Hawks | 37c | 700$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6d…a13fbacked Pistons | 66c | 676.68$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.38 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…82cfbacked Hawks | 39c | 658.84$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.89 | 85 | 21.2%18 W · 67 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Pistons | 61c | 655.74$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7137…6507backed Pistons | 63c | 634.92$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 173 | 31.2%54 W · 119 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb422…6c5abacked Pistons | 62c | 618.77$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.64 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed1…f3a5backed Hawks | 38c | 599.96$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.98 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6442…2163backed Hawks | 34c | 592.94$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.94 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Hawks | 39c | 565.38$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.88 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Pistons | 58c | 540.9$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.4 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Hawks | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.54 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0404…be1abacked Hawks | 39c | 537.52$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.89 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…63e1backed Pistons | 64c | 525.1$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.06 | 163 | 45.4%74 W · 89 L | -14.2wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ece…2340backed Hawks | 77c | 522.52$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.52 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2798…3d88backed Hawks | 44c | 517.65$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.65 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa075…09fdbacked Hawks | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.82 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Hawks | 41c | 504.99$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.92 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Hawks | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x777b…4ae7backed Pistons | 68c | 500$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b42…5090backed Hawks | 32c | 500$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6539…40fabacked Hawks | 33c | 500$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb0c…95dabacked Hawks | 33c | 500$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +6.4wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb25d…6ca5backed Hawks | 33c | 500$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cdf…560cbacked Pistons | 66c | 500$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x405b…e576backed Hawks | 33c | 500$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf8…db7fbacked Pistons | 67c | 500$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09df…ab59backed Hawks | 34c | 500$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.5 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f49…a680backed Pistons | 67c | 500$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x800d…e0b1backed Pistons | 67c | 500$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ce…d6b4backed Pistons | 67c | 500$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f9…a490backed Hawks | 33c | 500$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ea…63d9backed Hawks | 33c | 500$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2713…fcbdbacked Pistons | 67c | 500$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x555e…888abacked Hawks | 33c | 500$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587c…25dbbacked Hawks | 34c | 500$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8331…2da4backed Hawks | 34c | 500$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd83b…1cccbacked Pistons | 67c | 500$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa686…6a20backed Hawks | 33c | 500$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd92a…3751backed Hawks | 33c | 500$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1944…019abacked Pistons | 66c | 500$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23af…3026backed Pistons | 67c | 500$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…1ebfbacked Pistons | 67c | 500$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -5.6wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaa8e…0f54backed Pistons | 67c | 500$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.