TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

US Open: Jannik Sinner vs Felix Auger Aliassime

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sinnerof Sinner, Aliassime
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,647,504
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,586,372

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,647,504 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7bde…8c91backed Aliassime4c431,209$18,137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,136.91922.2%2 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick22cpaid-27.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60a9…b5a8backed Aliassime5c126,347$6,497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,497.351822.2%4 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick16cpaid-12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e0b…9e5cbacked Aliassime5c91,957$4,368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,367.7813934.5%48 W · 91 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc56f…75efbacked Aliassime5c62,414$3,374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,374.454330.2%13 W · 30 L-0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid-29%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Aliassime17c29,695$4,986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,985.5414243%61 W · 81 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Aliassime6c28,607$1,708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,708.323452.9%18 W · 16 L+3.7wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Aliassime6c27,535$1,634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,633.6445737.9%173 W · 284 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed Aliassime1c21,848$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.81933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-22%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11e5…8a64backed Aliassime3c20,265$635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6351526.7%4 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick16cpaid-29.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Aliassime7c19,315$1,345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,345.3310138.6%39 W · 62 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-30.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1388…339abacked Aliassime5c14,500$789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$789.4522737.4%85 W · 142 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf70c…72c1backed Aliassime5c10,030$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.2119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick18cpaid-70.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Aliassime3c10,000$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.8517823%41 W · 137 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-43.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Aliassime12c7,772$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9006535.4%23 W · 42 L-0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f8b…01aabacked Aliassime6c7,500$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4508429.8%25 W · 59 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Aliassime8c6,808$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.111,10742.8%474 W · 633 L-20.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Aliassime13c5,500$703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702.544360%266 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3d0…5c32backed Aliassime6c5,250$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30422629.2%66 W · 160 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1bb1…1208backed Aliassime1c5,100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.92416.7%4 W · 20 L-3.3wins-0.14per pick31cpaid-75.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4a41…d1fbbacked Aliassime4c5,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200175.9%1 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick7cpaid-83.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Aliassime4c4,768$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.5622344.8%100 W · 123 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x584a…8270backed Aliassime4c4,484$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Aliassime4c4,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1402231.8%7 W · 15 L-3.1wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-43.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3868…5683backed Aliassime6c4,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2407330.1%22 W · 51 L+0.2wins0.00per pick30cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Aliassime5c4,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20029636.8%109 W · 187 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38eb…5257backed Aliassime2c3,714$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.665326.4%14 W · 39 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick21cpaid-38.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Aliassime3c3,652$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.732,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ef5…39edbacked Aliassime6c3,353$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.9825722.2%57 W · 200 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Aliassime4c3,312$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.4962742.4%266 W · 361 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95fa…bf65backed Aliassime9c3,289$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001833.3%6 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x993c…6787backed Aliassime4c2,600$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.092630.8%8 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick23cpaid-20.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Aliassime17c2,586$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.5424844.8%111 W · 137 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8218…d861backed Aliassime14c2,520$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Aliassime20c2,500$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009245.7%42 W · 50 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Aliassime6c2,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1208348.2%40 W · 43 L+9.4wins+0.11per pick37cpaid+27.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x64e3…e3f5backed Aliassime5c2,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick20cpaid-21.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3526…5793backed Aliassime5c2,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b32…3f5fbacked Aliassime4c1,950$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$783710.8%4 W · 33 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick17cpaid-58.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xab07…1e7bbacked Aliassime5c1,793$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$851361.5%8 W · 5 L+4.0wins+0.30per pick31cpaid+78.3%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x7d8d…8f77backed Aliassime2c1,772$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.26450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebd7…d5d5backed Aliassime6c1,767$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x197f…dc8dbacked Aliassime13c1,736$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.233441.2%14 W · 20 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-22.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfa39…61a7backed Aliassime6c1,667$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001330.8%4 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick18cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8f2…5495backed Aliassime15c1,651$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Aliassime9c1,618$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.86,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe49d…6b59backed Aliassime3c1,386$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.3820%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ba2…53ddbacked Aliassime6c1,372$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.7840%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd392…e400backed Aliassime6c1,317$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$791216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-62.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fae…0d19backed Aliassime4c1,263$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5042839.7%170 W · 258 L-0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fa9…2491backed Aliassime9c1,208$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.0432141.1%132 W · 189 L-1.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17f6…4581backed Aliassime5c1,200$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.59540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick32cpaid-14%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bd5…81b0backed Aliassime5c1,182$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.08140%0 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4487…08c6backed Aliassime9c1,129$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012737.8%48 W · 79 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf4d4…3f96backed Aliassime6c1,093$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1aaa…0c04backed Aliassime9c1,066$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014343.4%62 W · 81 L-7.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Aliassime6c1,060$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6513245.5%60 W · 72 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xffd2…d7aebacked Aliassime5c1,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504934.7%17 W · 32 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-25.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3cfc…b035backed Aliassime6c1,000$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551118.2%2 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-55.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b5a…7618backed Aliassime5c1,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5025330%76 W · 177 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c5…90babacked Aliassime5c1,000$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5340%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7e04…c004backed Aliassime6c1,000$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb50…3250backed Aliassime4c1,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-74.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Aliassime7c975.08$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.7165242.8%279 W · 373 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0907…5c30backed Aliassime7c960.77$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7030%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x03a6…1198backed Aliassime2c895.08$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.87736.4%28 W · 49 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d19…84ddbacked Aliassime6c864.83$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.8930%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40c4…cec6backed Aliassime6c850$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Aliassime6c843.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5019835.4%70 W · 128 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9682…738bbacked Aliassime1c750$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-31%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ab6…cfecbacked Aliassime12c678.13$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8012927.1%35 W · 94 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-24.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d66…4f92backed Aliassime5c657.4$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.8720%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcef4…6c83backed Aliassime4c600$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick30cpaid-18.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x48e3…c148backed Aliassime4c600$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2415724.8%39 W · 118 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb4d…de5abacked Aliassime6c600$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick56cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb852…bfaebacked Aliassime5c600$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3329634.1%101 W · 195 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+15.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc059…f2debacked Aliassime12c522.79$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.860%0 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x99f5…dab4backed Aliassime4c510.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb3cc…a23abacked Aliassime2c500$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.53215.6%5 W · 27 L-4.2wins-0.13per pick29cpaid-66.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4d91…ca56backed Aliassime6c500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Aliassime5c499.95$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbb53…c50bbacked Aliassime3c455.39$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143321.2%7 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick22cpaid-41.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c82…e0cbbacked Aliassime8c425$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345339.6%21 W · 32 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-25.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc97b…7f7fbacked Aliassime10c407.96$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.54666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid-8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb09…c152backed Aliassime5c400$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-55.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5cf…9fc6backed Aliassime5c397.69$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0690%0 W · 9 L-2.9wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Aliassime7c366.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2571857.7%414 W · 304 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…2858backed Aliassime6c350$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211010%1 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick31cpaid-77.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc44…57f6backed Aliassime6c345$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick28cpaid+110.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Aliassime6c333.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2051243%220 W · 292 L+14.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x986c…7955backed Aliassime6c333.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-50.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca51backed Aliassime4c300$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1166831.3%209 W · 459 L-15.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd615…86ebbacked Aliassime5c300$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36d0…8dcebacked Aliassime8c299.99$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.81827.8%5 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-21.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2af6…34b5backed Aliassime7c285.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick13cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd40…73a2backed Aliassime19c279.47$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.120%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bb4…7cedbacked Aliassime17c237.3$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.16per pick34cpaid-7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Aliassime5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,48932.6%486 W · 1,003 L+22.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa530…1934backed Aliassime5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-65.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91ed…f7b2backed Aliassime11c183.49$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb288…fa0fbacked Aliassime6c170$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.