Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Maccabi Tel Aviv win on 2025-09-24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x59bb151ac54ef7124267a896e0562c74fc1299b8b2e9cb5c6a322b4304ba71e0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,773
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,099
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,773 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 24c | 3,546$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.66 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 24c | 2,550$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612 | 260 | 22.3%58 W · 202 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 76c | 1,979$1,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.01 | 92 | 65.2%60 W · 32 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 77c | 1,925$1,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.85 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed No | 75c | 1,705$1,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.7 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 77c | 1,500$1,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.49 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6324…95b9backed Yes | 20c | 1,486$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.56 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 23c | 1,165$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.97 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked No | 74c | 1,155$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.36 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 76c | 999.96$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.99 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 25c | 800$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 80 | 30%24 W · 56 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Yes | 25c | 800$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…9d38backed Yes | 27c | 750.95$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcde3…002dbacked No | 78c | 643.35$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed No | 77c | 600$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 72cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 75c | 600$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Yes | 26c | 579.99$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.8 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9920…8f8ebacked Yes | 18c | 548.26$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 74c | 500$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x761a…d9babacked No | 77c | 492.14$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.14 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 69cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed Yes | 27c | 367.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd483…756dbacked Yes | 29c | 365.52$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 72c | 336.83$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.31 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf70c…72c1backed Yes | 25c | 328.06$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked No | 78c | 229.86$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.27 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6777…2612backed Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 78c | 226.07$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.73 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 75 | 21.3%16 W · 59 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab1…ed8bbacked Yes | 26c | 206.85$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 74c | 201.97$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.4 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf240…03c2backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6692…1125backed Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Yes | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -31%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4021…956abacked Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 76c | 156$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 246 | 55.7%137 W · 109 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c53…c9b0backed Yes | 28c | 150$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb042…998ebacked Yes | 24c | 149.98$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 35cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3be…1015backed Yes | 24c | 145.83$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 26c | 127.97$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.27 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…3fddbacked Yes | 18c | 113.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb7…04d8backed Yes | 22c | 113.09$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecb9…5a12backed No | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x166a…5ba5backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…e407backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed No | 77c | 97.4$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 25c | 92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.62 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…d4d8backed No | 74c | 81.08$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefe7…0cdfbacked Yes | 30c | 67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -4.6wins | -0.25per pick | 48cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x140f…5022backed No | 76c | 52.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 77cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 79c | 52.38$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3284…6017backed Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 77c | 46.75$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73c4…a92dbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 200 | 50%100 W · 100 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 76c | 39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 237 | 57%135 W · 102 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 79c | 33.9$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.12 | 122 | 69.7%85 W · 37 L | +14.5wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x881a…8d6dbacked No | 76c | 26.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.33 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed No | 75c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a4c…6579backed No | 71c | 16.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.88 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 72c | 16.72$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.72 | 200 | 42%84 W · 116 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Maccabi Tel Aviv win on 2025-09-24?this page
- Will PAOK vs. Maccabi Tel Aviv end in a draw?Yes won
- Will PAOK win on 2025-09-24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.