TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will PAOK win on 2025-09-24?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$26,138
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$25,858

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,138 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdf2e…ddecbacked No50c9,121$4,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,591.1812269.7%85 W · 37 L+14.5wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+24.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes49c6,700$3,283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,28315947.8%76 W · 83 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed No53c2,403$1,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,129.54746.8%22 W · 25 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1208…1feabacked Yes49c2,000$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$970933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-35.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes50c1,749$875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$874.743,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0113…6f26backed Yes47c1,664$782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781.930%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No56c1,409$784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.962,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecb9…5a12backed No51c1,292$659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.19580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+54.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf488…b954backed Yes58c1,208$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.8620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No52c1,208$628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5809265.2%60 W · 32 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed No49c999.93$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.963444.1%15 W · 19 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes40c751.12$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.398345.8%38 W · 45 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x27a9…8781backed Yes51c629.96$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.281844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed No49c621.17$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.852245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x89d1…6448backed Yes51c588.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8191…8a35backed Yes49c499.98$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.122123.8%5 W · 16 L-4.0wins-0.19per pick43cpaid-35.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Yes38c400$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1522245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ea8…1fbfbacked No61c396.37$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.574658.7%27 W · 19 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2269…6304backed Yes51c333.33$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1702065%13 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes10c322$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.648129.6%24 W · 57 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-12.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee1d…7a12backed No52c315.86$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.71333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-35.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e10…70f4backed No61c306.42$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.389652.1%50 W · 46 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd483…756dbacked Yes47c285.32$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No65c251.28$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.9824557.6%141 W · 104 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Yes46c238.67$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1102347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Yes47c220$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.470%0 W · 7 L-3.0wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0xdc5b…5b15backed No43c209.2$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.115763.2%36 W · 21 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d3b…8660backed Yes48c197.92$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Yes51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008543.5%37 W · 48 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3ab…ff0cbacked Yes51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001656.3%9 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a25…2a5fbacked No51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf575…e0ebbacked Yes51c194.88$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.393444.1%15 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e73…c4ecbacked No53c190.08$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.341421.4%3 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick15cpaid-58.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes48c179.59$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.3210757%61 W · 46 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26ab…41c1backed Yes50c123.76$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcccf…4aedbacked Yes51c117.65$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes41c114.63$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472138.1%8 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fa7…04bfbacked Yes41c105.39$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.21520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-65.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3425…84a6backed Yes50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x415c…e407backed No50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick41cpaid+31.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc71e…f450backed No72c94.47$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.372445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2bc6…3629backed Yes46c86.03$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c3…aa7ebacked Yes50c80.2$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No49c77.72$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.8924655.7%137 W · 109 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No48c75.94$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.3523757%135 W · 102 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfdb…7a75backed Yes58c68.97$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401675%12 W · 4 L+2.9wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+28.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No50c66$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334843.8%21 W · 27 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xedb1…3fddbacked Yes32c62.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203826.3%10 W · 28 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Yes50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303158.1%18 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe37e…0009backed No51c58.82$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.821566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2513552.6%71 W · 64 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2514733.3%49 W · 98 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf46f…0819backed Yes50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-43.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x301d…05f2backed Yes41c48.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b8a…d4d8backed Yes46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb9ae…ccefbacked Yes50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20875%6 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+29.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208453.6%45 W · 39 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd45b…933ebacked Yes50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a0…63b2backed Yes51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05b0…e8fcbacked Yes51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+37.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x45d1…7017backed Yes46c39.21$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.046942%29 W · 40 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f9e…7293backed Yes58c38.78$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.492454.2%13 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c7a…45bdbacked Yes51c37.8$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26ae…97b8backed No41c37$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.839561.1%58 W · 37 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x582b…20afbacked Yes50c34$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+22.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x53e8…bf07backed Yes59c33.9$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201973.7%14 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+21.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed No54c33.33$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.3318145.9%83 W · 98 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked No59c32.59$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.365841.4%24 W · 34 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0391…9e5fbacked Yes51c31.92$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x245b…3d62backed Yes54c31.74$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9193…c86cbacked Yes51c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2359…f72bbacked No53c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.12650%13 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3058…5412backed Yes50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152050%10 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc487…dc86backed Yes51c29.41$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152055%11 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick58cpaid+4.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa421…c61fbacked Yes53c28.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-39.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x60e3…08a6backed Yes42c27.95$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.672646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fb5…6530backed Yes54c27.78$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x24b8…8d12backed Yes52c25.09$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fb1…4df1backed Yes46c25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.51963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+19.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a12…1e5abacked Yes59c24.24$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-36.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Yes49c24.05$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8715846.8%74 W · 84 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed No42c24$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9237926.1%99 W · 280 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked No48c22.62$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.765650%28 W · 28 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-21.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd794…b277backed Yes50c22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc410…7f33backed Yes50c21.98$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4d4…ef77backed Yes50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf99d…f867backed Yes55c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113855.3%21 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.