TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will SE Palmeiras win on 2025-11-29?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$85,934
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$89,059

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,934 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No75c26,732$20,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,679.158,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7509…4b9dbacked Yes28c19,357$5,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,419.98922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick41cpaid-46.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No70c9,224$6,431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,7932,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf70c…72c1backed Yes28c6,049$1,675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,675.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2076…bf0dbacked Yes35c4,273$1,487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,487.152222.7%5 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-47.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No79c4,090$3,217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$872.8749449%242 W · 252 L+22.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes28c3,550$994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$993.9943618.8%82 W · 354 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c53…3c12backed Yes19c2,620$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50060%0 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x50e6…68c0backed Yes2c2,599$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.1250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+50.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b09…0175backed Yes40c2,497$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c26…cf53backed Yes21c2,229$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No72c2,002$1,441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.5839853%211 W · 187 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No80c1,564$1,252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.95,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9dc…4a7bbacked Yes28c1,410$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e91…d445backed Yes22c1,355$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5942…5641backed No72c1,300$936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3642828.6%8 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-45.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2839…0efebacked Yes22c1,193$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265650%3 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+75.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No71c1,012$717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.6981651.6%421 W · 395 L+12.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe952…bde4backed Yes22c1,000$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No72c950.25$684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.077572%54 W · 21 L+6.7wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+19.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd66b…4ed1backed Yes19c943.47$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e98…35e6backed Yes32c938.69$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No72c808.71$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.0363644.7%284 W · 352 L-2.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49b2…4aeebacked Yes29c799.99$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2309752.6%51 W · 46 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+16.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes12c740$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.220%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes29c682.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010242.2%43 W · 59 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e26…55febacked Yes29c631.88$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No71c603.03$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.7126659.8%159 W · 107 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed No71c537.75$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.625653.6%30 W · 26 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes27c525.45$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.5913821%29 W · 109 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x09c4…aebbbacked Yes28c519.51$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3067…b8e5backed Yes10c500$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-41.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc47e…655bbacked Yes4c500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-28%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes28c438.16$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.533033.3%10 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc671…b0c7backed Yes28c423.54$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.593956.4%22 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d04…b05ebacked Yes31c406.1$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1251020%2 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-56.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x35b7…c701backed Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.18per pick39cpaid+52.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x693c…a7edbacked Yes27c370$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-22.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4781…336dbacked No78c361.72$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.692568%17 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x411a…6c1ebacked Yes29c348.28$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x192d…ebabbacked Yes29c346.63$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-34.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e32…3c86backed Yes29c339.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bb0…b0dcbacked Yes30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10050%0 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked No72c325$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$917256.9%41 W · 31 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb52f…30fabacked Yes30c317.94$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9776…fc56backed Yes32c313.65$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-42.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a59…a364backed Yes18c283.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-17.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x63b7…49bcbacked No74c258.92$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.683100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+119.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x16ca…6a98backed Yes30c243.3$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.7520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xecf4…7216backed Yes30c235.7$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ab9…1419backed Yes33c221.07$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x300f…d366backed Yes20c214.47$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.051457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfcb…e448backed Yes24c208.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No70c200.86$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.189361.3%57 W · 36 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed No79c200$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4330048%144 W · 156 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb291…271ebacked Yes28c200$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-41.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa7c8…e4f7backed Yes22c200$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44933.3%3 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-36%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd118…e9c9backed Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e6d…a980backed Yes27c185.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501450%7 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a5c…a593backed Yes29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ba8…750bbacked Yes30c165.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x942f…475ebacked Yes28c160$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.820%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7dea…1f52backed Yes29c159.86$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.36333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-27.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x299e…129ebacked Yes32c158.49$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-22.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8aea…ec91backed No71c150$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.51968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+16.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x87f3…b609backed Yes34c147.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb861…27ffbacked Yes29c136.92$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401040%4 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No74c135.99$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.7712045.8%55 W · 65 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x07d9…1fc0backed Yes30c135.1$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0613…5204backed Yes22c134.55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.65228.8%15 W · 37 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bdd…0b26backed Yes16c125$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d04…cfc5backed No80c124.53$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.911353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-26.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e6f…eb72backed No71c111.98$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.471681.3%13 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick71cpaid+15.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd440…3e3cbacked Yes20c110.6$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.12333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb327…0fccbacked Yes28c106.07$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.74837.5%18 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f2c…047cbacked Yes29c103.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+33%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes24c101.05$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9911738.5%45 W · 72 L-0.5wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea90…ce89backed Yes29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67eb…2335backed Yes22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x19bc…7d78backed No79c95.9$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.25437%20 W · 34 L-10.4wins-0.19per pick56cpaid-46%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xd0b4…9dc2backed Yes29c86.4$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253324.2%8 W · 25 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-32.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e20…befdbacked Yes30c83.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07ed…3bb4backed Yes24c83.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x098f…47cdbacked No71c79.44$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.421758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e4b…71f0backed Yes32c79.31$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+18.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37f2…034bbacked Yes26c77.6$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201553.3%8 W · 7 L+3.6wins+0.24per pick30cpaid+113.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa39f…1a3fbacked Yes25c76$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b7f…356fbacked Yes29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x681d…4cbfbacked No73c68.49$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.492263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+20.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a5c…b3f2backed No72c67.73$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.876056.7%34 W · 26 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+24.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcad9…8f5fbacked Yes30c67.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcaaf…25e2backed Yes30c66.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fa1…1410backed Yes30c66.18$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2059…532abacked No73c65.21$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.61366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+27%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb32…db85backed Yes31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a77…d70abacked Yes25c64.29$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5833…4893backed No78c64.1$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.13167.7%21 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick70cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b8…32d3backed Yes32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+19.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a67…c522backed Yes23c61.38$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9420%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd70…db6bbacked Yes34c58.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.