Us Politics · resolved market
Will Trump issue an executive order on Day 9?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb1b75fed74d9cb374a7aafe5241822aafd3ffa093361c0288069660cd0d98d14
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $287,048
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $290,971
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $287,048 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29f…5ccabacked No | 8c | 98,070$8,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,259.93 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11a1…7afebacked No | 7c | 21,000$1,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,535.95 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…8e50backed Yes | 63c | 16,919$10,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,250.92 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +9.9wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb71a…6fc9backed No | 19c | 13,339$2,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,495.37 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6b…267ebacked No | 0c | 11,111$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 138 | 18.1%25 W · 113 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed No | 5c | 10,150$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.42 | 141 | 35.5%50 W · 91 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d57…bd62backed No | 30c | 9,165$2,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,769.7 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc212…a125backed Yes | 68c | 5,872$3,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880.38 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97a6…1a98backed No | 0c | 5,476$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8516…e6f2backed No | 1c | 5,014$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 9c | 4,730$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.88 | 385 | 9.4%36 W · 349 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed No | 30c | 3,755$1,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.4 | 150 | 32.7%49 W · 101 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x088f…c9e7backed Yes | 62c | 3,338$2,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275.17 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed No | 30c | 3,277$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.79 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9c…072bbacked Yes | 78c | 2,985$2,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.26 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…df3abacked No | 15c | 2,121$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.36 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad85…78fcbacked No | 36c | 2,100$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.56 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -52%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked No | 24c | 2,059$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.81 | 210 | 22.4%47 W · 163 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…8cc3backed No | 41c | 2,026$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.11 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.64 | 378 | 44.4%168 W · 210 L | +33.3wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed No | 8c | 1,874$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.92 | 111 | 20.7%23 W · 88 L | +10.9wins | +0.10per pick | 11cpaid | +212.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed No | 8c | 1,505$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.39 | 111 | 21.6%24 W · 87 L | +11.4wins | +0.10per pick | 11cpaid | +179.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb5…5afdbacked Yes | 72c | 1,422$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.72 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -31%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80da…4f6dbacked No | 29c | 1,018$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.82 | 194 | 36.1%70 W · 124 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5088…8844backed No | 12c | 1,010$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.81 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d44…b15ebacked No | 27c | 1,000$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7024…4c4cbacked No | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 38 | 0%0 W · 38 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6426…bb53backed Yes | 63c | 998.31$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.31 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cda…89ebbacked No | 49c | 892.18$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bda…5e13backed No | 9c | 685.1$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.31 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +634.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 69c | 654.94$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.59 | 1,073 | 35.5%381 W · 692 L | -70.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf70c…72c1backed No | 32c | 652.97$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.95 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…0220backed No | 22c | 644.67$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.72 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked Yes | 73c | 627$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.7 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed No | 32c | 588.49$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.79 | 161 | 44.7%72 W · 89 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed Yes | 61c | 532.8$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.79 | 231 | 49.4%114 W · 117 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0c…1a42backed No | 36c | 509.47$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.41 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2139…4b34backed No | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 86 | 32.6%28 W · 58 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0d…c7bebacked No | 40c | 377.4$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5364…c64dbacked No | 34c | 360$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.9 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 38cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x966a…4d34backed No | 25c | 323.24$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb8…7c0fbacked No | 24c | 312.66$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.37 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed Yes | 70c | 300$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 169 | 43.2%73 W · 96 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd427…05adbacked No | 28c | 300$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 16cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd685…8be9backed Yes | 61c | 299.99$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b4…770dbacked Yes | 76c | 263.15$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 148 | 43.2%64 W · 84 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9241…f41cbacked No | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe3fe…978fbacked Yes | 76c | 249.1$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.59 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8663…35e7backed No | 36c | 205.68$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.2 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74da…1ba5backed No | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Yes | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…cbfdbacked Yes | 69c | 192.43$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.95 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5a…917ebacked No | 30c | 158$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.82 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf645…b8c2backed No | 14c | 150$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b69…e32abacked No | 30c | 139.43$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.37 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0e…49e3backed No | 29c | 127.89$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.59 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed No | 30c | 125.4$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.17 | 377 | 40.6%153 W · 224 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a5…c1e2backed No | 36c | 112.62$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9b…cc29backed No | 22c | 110$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f7…8545backed Yes | 71c | 102.51$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.23 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2880…fa70backed Yes | 76c | 101.77$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.61 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked No | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 180 | 33.3%60 W · 120 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e6…9767backed No | 32c | 96.54$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.89 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1d…b57fbacked No | 23c | 95.16$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.61 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked No | 40c | 90$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 235 | 43.8%103 W · 132 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3914…51d7backed Yes | 67c | 90$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.71 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…e885backed No | 26c | 88.97$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2e…3b1cbacked No | 43c | 74.62$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf43a…cafcbacked Yes | 71c | 65$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.15 | 55 | 14.5%8 W · 47 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked No | 16c | 63.17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 100 | 35%35 W · 65 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc22f…133dbacked No | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa188…3fccbacked Yes | 73c | 52.95$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.42 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…4d23backed No | 25c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc6…4ddebacked Yes | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3585…1595backed Yes | 73c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 64cpaid | -20%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87a0…4e12backed No | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4be8…e00abacked No | 25c | 42.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadf1…1e9bbacked No | 36c | 36.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 30cpaid | -81.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6956…c37fbacked Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5cb…27b3backed Yes | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6869…7dd2backed Yes | 72c | 27.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38cd…a557backed Yes | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb35b…fc08backed Yes | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -58%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…f3a3backed Yes | 69c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc6…b10dbacked Yes | 70c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf45e…725bbacked Yes | 68c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c33…d0e8backed Yes | 67c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x150c…f9dcbacked Yes | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf932…b3d2backed Yes | 74c | 14.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f7…8569backed Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +62%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.