NBA · resolved market

Hawks vs. Bucks

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6826183bb15feea6dcb89aded0525a88eeaf73a35e3a6c12d7086d3460856143

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Bucksof Hawks, Bucks
Resolved: Dec 14, 2024, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $499,030
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $537,476

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $499,030 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 469 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x20cc…ebc0backed Bucks	67c	66,583$44,503 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22,080.41	150	56.7%85 W · 65 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x008a…21a8backed Hawks	37c	19,444$7,130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,130.39	81	29.6%24 W · 57 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd42f…047dbacked Hawks	13c	15,144$2,025 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,024.76	228	32%73 W · 155 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf27f…aed2backed Hawks	39c	10,007$3,903 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,902.6	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.20per pick	31cpaid	+127.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e33…396abacked Bucks	61c	10,005$6,103 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,901.97	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.39per pick	61cpaid	+63.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32fb…90b3backed Hawks	39c	10,004$3,902 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,901.68	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.39per pick	39cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9a6…4a91backed Bucks	61c	9,997$6,098 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,898.7	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.20per pick	70cpaid	-18%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c1d…c4c8backed Hawks	19c	9,323$1,816 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,816.16	139	20.1%28 W · 111 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf135…6fa0backed Hawks	39c	8,899$3,470 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,470.47	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x698d…5dd5backed Bucks	61c	7,446$4,542 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,904.08	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.1wins	+0.35per pick	65cpaid	+54.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Hawks	45c	6,888$3,099 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,098.74	1,752	40.6%712 W · 1,040 L	-3.3wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x41ba…dfbbbacked Bucks	63c	6,261$3,934 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,326.71	44	65.9%29 W · 15 L	+3.7wins	+0.08per pick	58cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Bucks	65c	5,704$3,722 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,982.38	498	49.4%246 W · 252 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Hawks	36c	5,387$1,950 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,950.25	656	42.5%279 W · 377 L	-2.9wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb652…2db4backed Hawks	37c	5,384$2,010 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,009.63	376	27.9%105 W · 271 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Hawks	38c	5,269$1,985 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,984.74	3,995	48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L	+101.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Hawks	29c	5,250$1,532 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,532.34	615	32.2%198 W · 417 L	-21.1wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Bucks	65c	5,186$3,380 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,806.42	1,151	53.7%618 W · 533 L	-41.7wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc11b…9384backed Bucks	60c	5,000$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,999.99	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.1wins	+0.16per pick	56cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f59…a01abacked Bucks	60c	5,000$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,999.98	85	61.2%52 W · 33 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	61cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5453…b886backed Hawks	38c	5,000$1,910 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,910.12	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Hawks	34c	4,820$1,641 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,641.09	1,316	50.5%664 W · 652 L	+42.4wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Hawks	34c	4,322$1,486 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,485.82	635	55.6%353 W · 282 L	+9.5wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x548c…46a9backed Hawks	38c	4,210$1,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,599.8	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-2.1wins	-0.19per pick	64cpaid	-33.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x99c2…ef35backed Hawks	36c	4,027$1,453 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,453.46	142	33.1%47 W · 95 L	-7.8wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4e30…ef89backed Bucks	62c	3,550$2,201 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,349.18	77	41.6%32 W · 45 L	+2.1wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	+10%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Hawks	33c	3,389$1,118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,118.28	259	39%101 W · 158 L	-6.8wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x75da…4688backed Hawks	23c	3,343$782 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$782.35	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Bucks	71c	3,133$2,216 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$917.18	701	47.8%335 W · 366 L	+15.4wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x894b…7226backed Bucks	63c	3,004$1,901 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,102.65	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.19per pick	48cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed Hawks	12c	2,851$343 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$343	451	35%158 W · 293 L	-6.9wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-18%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x52ec…5124backed Hawks	40c	2,781$1,126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,126.16	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.6wins	+0.09per pick	34cpaid	+21.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd2f…37ddbacked Hawks	36c	2,585$927 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$926.56	140	39.3%55 W · 85 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x55b4…80eabacked Hawks	30c	2,555$757 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$756.79	99	4%4 W · 95 L	-3.4wins	-0.03per pick	7cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Hawks	38c	2,500$955 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$955	1,782	28%499 W · 1,283 L	+11.5wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9542…4295backed Bucks	61c	2,500$1,525 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$974.98	59	47.5%28 W · 31 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd065…93e8backed Hawks	39c	2,453$957 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$956.55	109	45.9%50 W · 59 L	-7.3wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf70c…72c1backed Bucks	56c	2,385$1,328 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,057	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2aa2…4d22backed Bucks	62c	2,382$1,477 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$905.2	360	57.5%207 W · 153 L	-14.7wins	-0.04per pick	62cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb88d…291abacked Hawks	40c	2,299$925 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$924.89	27	55.6%15 W · 12 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	60cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2b2…66d8backed Bucks	75c	2,243$1,681 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$562.86	56	60.7%34 W · 22 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	60cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Hawks	37c	2,200$823 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$822.98	723	41.2%298 W · 425 L	+23.0wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbec2…826bbacked Hawks	5c	2,000$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	58	20.7%12 W · 46 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a55…394ebacked Bucks	69c	2,000$1,380 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$619.99	81	50.6%41 W · 40 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x36a6…52c7backed Hawks	39c	1,856$729 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$728.8	311	25.1%78 W · 233 L	+8.7wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Hawks	38c	1,841$697 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$696.69	730	51.8%378 W · 352 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5a5e…c869backed Bucks	62c	1,800$1,116 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$684	61	67.2%41 W · 20 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	65cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6009…acf9backed Hawks	40c	1,786$714 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$714.49	31	29%9 W · 22 L	-3.1wins	-0.10per pick	39cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x60a5…2da4backed Bucks	62c	1,771$1,104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$666.48	80	40%32 W · 48 L	+2.9wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d73…5693backed Hawks	38c	1,732$658 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$658.05	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-1.4wins	-0.20per pick	63cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5de8…cfb9backed Hawks	3c	1,712$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.08	102	36.3%37 W · 65 L	+5.4wins	+0.05per pick	31cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x874e…52d7backed Bucks	59c	1,695$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$694.87	47	66%31 W · 16 L	+1.8wins	+0.04per pick	62cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a67…dc7cbacked Bucks	60c	1,677$1,010 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$667.42	85	48.2%41 W · 44 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x827a…8a2bbacked Hawks	39c	1,650$646 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$645.5	220	53.6%118 W · 102 L	+5.6wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe663…6462backed Bucks	59c	1,563$929 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$634.32	67	47.8%32 W · 35 L	-3.7wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfcb0…c865backed Bucks	62c	1,500$930 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$570	79	53.2%42 W · 37 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xddc3…4da9backed Hawks	40c	1,465$584 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$583.76	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	60cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bed…43b2backed Bucks	61c	1,452$885 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$566.09	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	-1.7wins	-0.10per pick	39cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe505…d18bbacked Bucks	61c	1,362$831 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$531.37	62	53.2%33 W · 29 L	+5.2wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+23.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe77f…4374backed Bucks	74c	1,354$999 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$354.9	131	40.5%53 W · 78 L	-7.3wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Hawks	39c	1,282$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	1,451	49.7%721 W · 730 L	+18.0wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadef…d0acbacked Hawks	39c	1,282$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$499.98	33	48.5%16 W · 17 L	-3.0wins	-0.09per pick	58cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d0f…da3abacked Hawks	40c	1,250$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-42%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcede…d9ebbacked Bucks	74c	1,199$885 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$313.92	53	66%35 W · 18 L	+2.4wins	+0.05per pick	62cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32ea…e341backed Bucks	62c	1,081$670 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$410.65	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d28…bb26backed Hawks	40c	1,069$428 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$427.68	37	45.9%17 W · 20 L	-2.6wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x201c…c302backed Hawks	36c	1,068$385 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$384.76	22	27.3%6 W · 16 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	30cpaid	-51.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d53…0644backed Hawks	39c	1,000$390 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$390	121	54.5%66 W · 55 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f7…039abacked Bucks	61c	1,000$610 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$390	162	42%68 W · 94 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Bucks	50c	1,000$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$500	1,290	44%567 W · 723 L	+35.0wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b88…d628backed Hawks	27c	1,000$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	+1.2wins	+0.05per pick	33cpaid	+48.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2838…2dd9backed Bucks	62c	983.87$610 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$373.87	39	35.9%14 W · 25 L	-4.3wins	-0.11per pick	47cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc1fd…948ebacked Bucks	62c	969.56$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$369.56	80	33.8%27 W · 53 L	-6.9wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8769…48ecbacked Bucks	62c	960.81$596 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$365.11	53	58.5%31 W · 22 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x903c…b459backed Hawks	40c	927.5$371 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$371	26	50%13 W · 13 L	+1.9wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+13%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe869…fc0ebacked Hawks	40c	925.09$370 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$370	32	25%8 W · 24 L	-1.7wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ded…5d66backed Bucks	74c	906.42$671 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$235.29	24	62.5%15 W · 9 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	60cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee9d…63e1backed Hawks	30c	895.1$269 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$268.76	163	45.4%74 W · 89 L	-14.2wins	-0.09per pick	54cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x8f0a…e4eabacked Hawks	29c	869.69$256 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$256	157	63.1%99 W · 58 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	65cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9eea…281dbacked Hawks	38c	856$325 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$325.16	265	47.9%127 W · 138 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5272…f0afbacked Bucks	65c	850.88$550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$300.88	16	50%8 W · 8 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa501…9f0fbacked Hawks	36c	850$310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$309.5	45	26.7%12 W · 33 L	-5.4wins	-0.12per pick	39cpaid	-44%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdbb8…e7c2backed Hawks	23c	820$187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$187.4	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.17per pick	63cpaid	+10%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe4cb…001bbacked Bucks	62c	806.45$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$306.45	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5550…5b4dbacked Bucks	62c	806.45$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$306.45	125	63.2%79 W · 46 L	+4.5wins	+0.04per pick	60cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1fdc…42f9backed Hawks	48c	806.29$387 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$386.8	48	58.3%28 W · 20 L	+3.4wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+16.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b63…4cf5backed Hawks	37c	800$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$299.95	44	43.2%19 W · 25 L	-2.2wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3168…6734backed Hawks	33c	799.18$264 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$263.77	191	37.7%72 W · 119 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa492…d264backed Hawks	37c	768.95$283 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$283.39	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+1.1wins	+0.19per pick	48cpaid	+27.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Bucks	62c	761$470 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$291	777	45%350 W · 427 L	+6.6wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c6a…5726backed Hawks	41c	759.99$309 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$309.2	42	40.5%17 W · 25 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x921a…ee8dbacked Hawks	40c	730.13$292 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$292.05	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.6wins	-0.22per pick	37cpaid	-68.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Hawks	33c	714.86$237 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$237.02	1,554	37.3%579 W · 975 L	-48.1wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked Hawks	35c	714.8$249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$248.6	306	48.7%149 W · 157 L	-3.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Hawks	27c	704.19$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190.13	367	48.2%177 W · 190 L	-4.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Hawks	3c	699$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.06	1,035	1.1%11 W · 1,024 L	-24.4wins	-0.02per pick	3cpaid	-90.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ceb…0c87backed Hawks	38c	698.95$266 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$265.6	72	51.4%37 W · 35 L	+3.2wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x279d…bc0ebacked Bucks	73c	686.95$504 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$182.97	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	-3.9wins	-0.22per pick	61cpaid	-48%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x75b6…2609backed Bucks	75c	665.37$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$165.37	5	100%5 W · 0 L	+1.5wins	+0.30per pick	70cpaid	+45.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Bucks	60c	661.29$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$261.29	1,888	37.3%704 W · 1,184 L	+9.9wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Hawks vs. Bucks

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market