Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Besiktas beat Bodo Glimt?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x029c2360a540a993313395a1f90a208bec48e3aa21ac2e5f81ca0703a5cc2260
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,785
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,815
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,785 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 21c | 3,986$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed No | 69c | 3,817$2,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,194 | 41 | 73.2%30 W · 11 L | +5.9wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Yes | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 77c | 867.52$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.51 | 187 | 39%73 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Yes | 12c | 812.69$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 20cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 23c | 734.59$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.81 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07f6…2ed5backed Yes | 17c | 595.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2946…bc4ebacked Yes | 35c | 590.29$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda4d…c8eebacked Yes | 4c | 534.84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.05 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked No | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 19cpaid | +224.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Yes | 17c | 500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Yes | 17c | 201.22$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.22 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Yes | 35c | 142.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x817a…0a90backed Yes | 11c | 127.66$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e01…757abacked Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa08e…72e8backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked Yes | 17c | 90$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 49 | 16.3%8 W · 41 L | -5.2wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbf…de7bbacked Yes | 20c | 65.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 17c | 59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 379 | 26.1%99 W · 280 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed51…9147backed Yes | 19c | 54.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9351…db66backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9797…4e3dbacked No | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 76cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Besiktas beat Bodo Glimt?this page
- Will Bodo Glimt beat Besiktas?Yes won
- Will the match between Bodo Glimt and Besiktas end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.