Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will the match between Galatasaray and Tottenham end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7e8e6480c844f120e72be80a6110f32bd87291c761ceb48221f3593e24b537b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,921
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,482
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,921 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x306b…3ec5backed Yes | 2c | 923.93$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes | 10c | 450$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07f6…2ed5backed Yes | 31c | 318.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 73c | 306.56$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.28 | 187 | 39%73 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 68c | 233.44$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.7 | 64 | 64.1%41 W · 23 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Yes | 6c | 222$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 19cpaid | +224.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629a…b9d6backed Yes | 6c | 216.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 80 | 30%24 W · 56 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc1…ca19backed Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x040f…c3e1backed Yes | 9c | 112$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58bf…040abacked Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed No | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 71c | 97.9$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.01 | 99 | 61.6%61 W · 38 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 73c | 64.4$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 182 | 44%80 W · 102 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd38c…0ce3backed Yes | 31c | 50.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0bf…e13cbacked Yes | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc998…118ebacked Yes | 30c | 38.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | 0%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9478…63f5backed No | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92b3…5e9fbacked No | 70c | 26.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa2…cde3backed No | 76c | 26.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the match between Galatasaray and Tottenham end in a draw?this page
- Will Galatasaray beat Tottenham?Yes won
- Will Tottenham beat Galatasaray?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.