TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Aston Villa beat Club Brugge?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$40,511
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$42,322

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,511 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x95cc…7f08backed No53c10,451$5,591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,860.211346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Yes47c7,453$3,517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,516.767042.9%30 W · 40 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes37c4,795$1,796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,79610931.2%34 W · 75 L-9.7wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-31.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed No53c2,877$1,522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,354.8522647.3%107 W · 119 L+12.7wins+0.06per pick42cpaid-3.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed No53c2,623$1,397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,226.748748.3%42 W · 45 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5231…1f75backed Yes47c1,426$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.991154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked No54c1,362$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$627.317053.5%91 W · 79 L+7.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0b6a…4873backed No55c1,140$627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5131764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.9wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+39.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2fde…ed39backed Yes51c1,129$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$575.7728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-45.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7600…49e5backed Yes45c1,105$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.933135.5%11 W · 20 L-3.3wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-27.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed No56c1,050$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.9417348%83 W · 90 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes46c1,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46013847.1%65 W · 73 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9c0…4583backed No52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4803174.2%23 W · 8 L+4.7wins+0.15per pick59cpaid+28.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Yes46c1,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46019645.4%89 W · 107 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fa3…dc66backed Yes45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+22.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb20…a151backed No54c999.99$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460988.9%8 W · 1 L+4.3wins+0.48per pick41cpaid+128.5%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xf25d…1134backed Yes39c945$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.551050%5 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb10e…beedbacked No54c943.06$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x306b…3ec5backed No50c693.41$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.83138.7%12 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5335…0b0fbacked Yes37c663.66$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.01333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes46c543.48$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25015250.7%77 W · 75 L+9.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4fc6…7daabacked Yes46c541.65$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.16540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+58.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe807…7c26backed No61c531.24$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.24475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+39.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ae3…56a3backed Yes46c480.78$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50ef…3abdbacked Yes48c416.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick23cpaid+7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ff0…46e3backed No72c401.13$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.155455.6%30 W · 24 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x05ad…72d7backed Yes47c373$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.312948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a67…dc7cbacked Yes54c370.35$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.991656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2599…61cdbacked Yes36c369.24$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.93966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+15.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8dfe…bb00backed Yes47c356.43$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.5240%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcf4c…4b9cbacked Yes46c319$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.7420%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1266…cd8cbacked No55c314.89$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1439752.6%51 W · 46 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes46c250$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11524252.5%127 W · 115 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f3a…170bbacked Yes53c246.5$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c43…b289backed Yes12c239.43$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.974542.2%19 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+15.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed No55c237.09$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.0916447.6%78 W · 86 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Yes43c235.18$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007737.7%29 W · 48 L-8.6wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-23.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x07f6…2ed5backed Yes18c222.22$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401915.8%3 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick21cpaid-44.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe2d…45d5backed Yes46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+31.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde6e…8444backed Yes46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100825%2 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-48.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc31d…bef2backed Yes46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+38.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1464…c83fbacked Yes46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001618.8%3 W · 13 L-3.3wins-0.20per pick39cpaid-56%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe53e…91b0backed Yes46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c81…1a5cbacked Yes47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100650%3 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+211.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4dde…eb38backed Yes48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+12.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6752…d728backed Yes46c206.5$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e40…e7f1backed Yes47c204.36$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.05616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.39per pick56cpaid-71.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd821…191dbacked Yes50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x847f…08a5backed Yes10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20650%3 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+172.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked Yes45c199.03$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9010743%46 W · 61 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f77…5ab3backed No55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.82850%4 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+28.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01ce…4711backed No55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.82560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+26.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe860…cdaabacked No55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.824639.1%18 W · 28 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No50c179.86$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.9320948.8%102 W · 107 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7adc…7603backed Yes46c176.6$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a9c…b949backed Yes46c176.09$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+17.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c5c…2d34backed Yes45c164.78$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.05955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+39.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xecb9…1a6fbacked Yes46c132$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.72966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+35.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xddc3…a171backed Yes38c131.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503531.4%11 W · 24 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-21.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed No56c125$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5512230.3%37 W · 85 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+2.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc390…715cbacked Yes54c120.37$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652931%9 W · 20 L-4.3wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-24.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb16a…5a8bbacked Yes46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+71.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xac99…0b0fbacked Yes46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb70b…4dc8backed Yes46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50825%2 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-45.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbddd…8559backed Yes48c104.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick41cpaid+42.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7c20…fe20backed Yes48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a06…d20ebacked Yes46c102.93$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.353145.2%14 W · 17 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-20.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4624455.7%136 W · 108 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3a…1ab8backed Yes38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7be1…200ebacked Yes55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556747.8%32 W · 35 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Yes46c92$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.3213534.8%47 W · 88 L-10.9wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-16.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1645…47a0backed Yes46c91.3$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422055%11 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa90a…e16bbacked Yes55c90.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5430%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b51…e165backed Yes50c89.9$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.953056.7%17 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa731…d6a6backed Yes45c89.28$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e62…71f4backed Yes46c86.96$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-28%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x178b…1198backed Yes46c83.07$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5529…7112backed Yes46c82.13$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b06…8c65backed Yes48c78.52$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.6910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x578a…ef44backed Yes46c76.09$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes46c70$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.210631.1%33 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x636f…8385backed Yes45c66.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid+75.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x153d…e09bbacked Yes46c65.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7143…bb9cbacked Yes46c56.52$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd31…f196backed Yes20c55.2$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2120%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes46c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2313139.7%52 W · 79 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5342…0f95backed Yes46c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231030%3 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4835…8f59backed Yes46c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235347.2%25 W · 28 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad9d…9b95backed No55c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.56546.2%30 W · 35 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6dca…ab11backed Yes36c50$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.3wins-0.24per pick52cpaid-48.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x362c…ac6ebacked Yes45c48.73$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9311145.9%51 W · 60 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbeb8…3667backed Yes46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-32%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b86…d4dfbacked Yes46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbdb3…c1d4backed Yes46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedc2…6987backed Yes46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75e2…2ed0backed Yes46c41.2$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.955166.7%34 W · 17 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+17.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe999…00f3backed Yes49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc224…cd43backed Yes50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201450%7 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+22.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ad0…bcbcbacked Yes48c39.52$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.81862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99c2…ef35backed No52c34.25$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.447460.8%45 W · 29 L+6.5wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+37.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.