Champions League · resolved market
Will Club Brugge beat Aston Villa?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb4d88fe8662a2fe575447a1602ec5bbf8c79bfa4758cfb1bd53a89f129170ce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,230
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,743
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,230 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0ff7…089bbacked No | 73c | 3,037$2,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,216.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes | 27c | 2,012$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,468.83 | 170 | 53.5%91 W · 79 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa3…dc66backed No | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc6…7daabacked Yes | 29c | 855.07$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.32 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5335…0b0fbacked No | 35c | 700$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x479c…bcbcbacked No | 73c | 680$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.4 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12ce…a6abbacked Yes | 27c | 680$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.4 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc0…53ddbacked Yes | 30c | 583.33$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.33 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +145.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee3…10fdbacked No | 73c | 408.01$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24a9…caccbacked Yes | 28c | 380.28$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.8 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x306b…3ec5backed No | 37c | 376.16$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.49 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90f6…b4afbacked No | 72c | 370.27$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95cc…7f08backed Yes | 27c | 339.05$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.51 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 12c | 306.46$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.19 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc12e…7c8abacked Yes | 32c | 279.02$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +55%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Yes | 58c | 250.53$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.03 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0db…56d5backed No | 80c | 234.99$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.99 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca95…fc40backed Yes | 27c | 214.6$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f55…1171backed No | 73c | 184.93$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37b9…3390backed Yes | 28c | 149.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.99 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e24…2ecabacked Yes | 33c | 149.6$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +199.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked No | 24c | 148.65$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.29 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe91d…5020backed Yes | 77c | 111.93$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 74c | 99.14$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.16 | 244 | 55.7%136 W · 108 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe220…f862backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e3a…c82dbacked No | 72c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x992e…245fbacked No | 72c | 43.06$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed No | 72c | 34$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 135 | 34.8%47 W · 88 L | -10.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1466…1d5abacked No | 71c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad0…bcbcbacked No | 68c | 25.04$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.13 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc151…7a51backed No | 72c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc54a…4b6fbacked No | 74c | 24.32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38e4…43bebacked No | 74c | 21.18$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 76cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07e1…5f3bbacked No | 74c | 20.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8abf…5bd5backed No | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 75cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8901…5f1cbacked No | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3105…1285backed No | 73c | 19.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa940…db38backed No | 74c | 14.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0baf…e09ebacked No | 72c | 14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Club Brugge beat Aston Villa?this page
- Will Aston Villa beat Club Brugge?No won
- Will the match between Club Brugge and Aston Villa end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.