UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Cody Gibson vs. Abdul Hussein (Bantamweight, Prelims)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x99e6fc0a1fed084972487c63b2a38a4135eba09fa4ca665c96bb4b770f314d7d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Abdul Husseinof Cody Gibson, Abdul Hussein
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $265,965
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $271,934
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $265,965 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Cody Gibson | 18c | 148,157$26,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,581.02 | 162 | 44.4%72 W · 90 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Cody Gibson | 16c | 17,989$2,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,798.61 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Cody Gibson | 16c | 15,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.97 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Cody Gibson | 15c | 11,679$1,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,751.34 | 200 | 48.5%97 W · 103 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Cody Gibson | 16c | 8,266$1,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,322.59 | 300 | 39.3%118 W · 182 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Cody Gibson | 18c | 5,760$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,036.65 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Cody Gibson | 15c | 5,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 106 | 64.2%68 W · 38 L | +13.7wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cody Gibson | 16c | 2,986$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.85 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Cody Gibson | 9c | 2,355$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.8 | 152 | 38.2%58 W · 94 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xade3…b321backed Cody Gibson | 5c | 1,919$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.96 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43e0…8618backed Cody Gibson | 9c | 1,640$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.18 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Cody Gibson | 17c | 1,500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.95 | 117 | 49.6%58 W · 59 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x414b…8008backed Cody Gibson | 10c | 1,485$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.41 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f20…b29fbacked Cody Gibson | 16c | 1,250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Cody Gibson | 18c | 1,181$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209 | 261 | 40.6%106 W · 155 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Cody Gibson | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Cody Gibson | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed Cody Gibson | 9c | 1,000$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.26 | 208 | 37%77 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc36…4ef7backed Cody Gibson | 7c | 972.96$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Cody Gibson | 14c | 786.1$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.05 | 417 | 54%225 W · 192 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1245…e0afbacked Cody Gibson | 17c | 763.35$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.77 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc19…31c4backed Cody Gibson | 16c | 712.95$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.47 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f3…3426backed Cody Gibson | 28c | 689.4$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 138 | 32.6%45 W · 93 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8af8…adc5backed Cody Gibson | 12c | 570$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.4 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Cody Gibson | 17c | 534.35$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.84 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x671d…2e26backed Cody Gibson | 14c | 513.37$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.98 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Cody Gibson | 20c | 500.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.04 | 150 | 48.7%73 W · 77 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed Abdul Hussein | 80c | 470$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x349a…6d33backed Cody Gibson | 4c | 449.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfed2…4671backed Cody Gibson | 18c | 443.85$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Cody Gibson | 9c | 419.81$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.64 | 224 | 38.4%86 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8527…fa85backed Cody Gibson | 19c | 401.6$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.88 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x009b…e769backed Cody Gibson | 16c | 313$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.08 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Cody Gibson | 17c | 298.18$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.69 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09a7…8213backed Cody Gibson | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Cody Gibson | 15c | 267$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.35 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Cody Gibson | 17c | 260.64$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.13 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86ee…511fbacked Cody Gibson | 19c | 235$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.65 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dea…5e23backed Cody Gibson | 16c | 216$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.56 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Cody Gibson | 9c | 213.83$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.28 | 180 | 32.8%59 W · 121 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Cody Gibson | 17c | 208.65$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.47 | 564 | 50.5%285 W · 279 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…2c32backed Cody Gibson | 16c | 198.89$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf26e…5067backed Cody Gibson | 17c | 177.34$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x762a…ed42backed Cody Gibson | 17c | 176.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Cody Gibson | 17c | 166.69$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.34 | 136 | 36.8%50 W · 86 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75fd…693cbacked Cody Gibson | 15c | 166.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5166…f454backed Cody Gibson | 17c | 157.59$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac1e…ea39backed Cody Gibson | 16c | 154.75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.76 | 324 | 31.8%103 W · 221 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Cody Gibson | 17c | 146.04$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.83 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde36…f41cbacked Cody Gibson | 16c | 140.63$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec7…12f7backed Cody Gibson | 22c | 134.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88f2…a6c1backed Cody Gibson | 48c | 126.68$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.42 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +5.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x81f0…8b09backed Cody Gibson | 31c | 125.75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.04 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62ba…86fdbacked Cody Gibson | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 250 | 60.4%151 W · 99 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Abdul Hussein | 52c | 117$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.16 | 274 | 48.2%132 W · 142 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf8…7f09backed Cody Gibson | 15c | 110$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x293c…dcbabacked Abdul Hussein | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4318…9a94backed Abdul Hussein | 79c | 98.04$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Cody Gibson | 16c | 63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 124 | 46.8%58 W · 66 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Abdul Hussein | 78c | 61.28$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 206 | 52.9%109 W · 97 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa95a…6b78backed Abdul Hussein | 78c | 60.03$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.21 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Abdul Hussein | 79c | 59.31$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.64 | 63 | 68.3%43 W · 20 L | +8.4wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x73bd…1d46backed Cody Gibson | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed Abdul Hussein | 51c | 49.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.32 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Abdul Hussein | 52c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.88 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | +10.2wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Abdul Hussein | 53c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Abdul Hussein | 74c | 23.37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb37…189abacked Abdul Hussein | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…5a89backed Abdul Hussein | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Cody Gibson vs. Abdul Hussein (Bantamweight, Prelims)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?No won
- O/U 1.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 2.5 RoundsOver won
- Will the fight be won by submission?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.