TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Brighton win on 2024-12-27?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$168,095
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$201,287

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $168,095 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 267 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa22b…3525backed No40c25,758$10,303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,454.79540%2 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick27cpaid-10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1638…339bbacked Yes60c12,301$7,381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,380.836253.2%33 W · 29 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+14.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8244…ec4ebacked Yes0c11,800$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeddf…16fbbacked Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ac5…6a3dbacked Yes60c9,675$5,805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,805.2822744.5%101 W · 126 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ef5…d3b8backed Yes0c9,594$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20cc…ebc0backed No80c9,302$7,415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,887.511657.8%67 W · 49 L-0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed Yes60c6,000$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,60014659.6%87 W · 59 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6fba…bdbdbacked No47c5,138$2,394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,744.183275%24 W · 8 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed No41c5,020$2,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,951.668026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No41c4,457$1,838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,618.9732037.2%119 W · 201 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes61c4,205$2,565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,565.132158.9%189 W · 132 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes58c3,592$2,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,088.2240254.7%220 W · 182 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Yes39c3,306$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,300.1337841.8%158 W · 220 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x824c…d2bbbacked Yes61c3,279$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd65…5726backed Yes60c2,538$1,516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5161136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+55.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes58c2,274$1,323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,322.5529643.6%129 W · 167 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x75c1…5a05backed Yes61c2,257$1,369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,369.0970%0 W · 7 L-3.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xc9c8…44fbbacked No39c1,900$741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1594553.3%24 W · 21 L+7.1wins+0.16per pick38cpaid+55.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc618…bcc2backed No40c1,785$706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,078.84475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+76.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes58c1,731$1,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,003.4740640.9%166 W · 240 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba68…ce61backed No39c1,725$674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,051.051369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+39.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7a4b…4a75backed No42c1,548$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$897.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd692…8b9abacked Yes62c1,377$854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8544555.6%25 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes50c1,317$659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658.5579650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked Yes52c1,222$635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$635.4419743.7%86 W · 111 L+32.4wins+0.16per pick27cpaid+142.5%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x03f9…f3babacked Yes60c1,022$613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613.37425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No39c1,019$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.5779639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a63…a179backed No42c1,000$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick34cpaid-11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed No41c1,000$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59034643.9%152 W · 194 L-14.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No41c1,000$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59041437.9%157 W · 257 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60a5…2da4backed No40c1,000$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.862142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+23.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09df…5ca9backed Yes60c1,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6003447.1%16 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+19.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa633…4d27backed Yes59c999.99$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.9920%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf5f…2184backed No40c999.99$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.993644.4%16 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f7…039abacked Yes58c949.38$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.648145.7%37 W · 44 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes58c862.07$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50029044.8%130 W · 160 L-1.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1394…e426backed No41c745$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.551650%8 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3e…b656backed No41c609.76$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.761741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-27.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa213…b945backed Yes59c582.16$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.4830%0 W · 3 L-1.9wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x541e…e793backed Yes60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb65d…3757backed No42c500$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2902853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked No41c500$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29517945.8%82 W · 97 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Yes55c464.79$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.837652.4%197 W · 179 L+27.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1f16…5bb0backed No72c389.79$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.141050%5 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-30.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe7e4…7319backed Yes63c388.24$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.591233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-29.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Yes61c361.03$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22024630.5%75 W · 171 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd937…d226backed Yes55c356$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.28425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-52.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x082b…5e67backed Yes63c317.46$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004261.9%26 W · 16 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick70cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes26c315.38$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8218433.7%62 W · 122 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked No39c300$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18317837.6%67 W · 111 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No38c278.78$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.3666031.2%206 W · 454 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3804…9912backed Yes59c250$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.5633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-52.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b4e…c452backed Yes60c250$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x483e…2d6bbacked No43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.561457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+41.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x38f5…0050backed Yes48c208.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.993729.7%11 W · 26 L+4.5wins+0.12per pick18cpaid+91.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No38c201.99$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.2737054.9%203 W · 167 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb90e…5794backed Yes60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1203348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4890…0968backed Yes60c199.12$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.655747.4%27 W · 30 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+18.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1aea…abf1backed No42c190.45$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.463262.5%20 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x073f…070ebacked Yes60c173.68$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.2130%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x608c…39c9backed Yes45c170.1$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.81520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.35per pick55cpaid-71%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No40c166.98$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.1931944.5%142 W · 177 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x993d…f0a3backed Yes63c158.01$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5b4…770dbacked No40c135.05$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.03757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b8…3790backed Yes59c128.11$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.5940%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xee9d…63e1backed No43c124.53$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.985050%25 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked No41c124.39$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.394332.6%14 W · 29 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-27.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc6e8…65b8backed Yes59c112$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb701…7cf6backed No45c110.98$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.9822932.3%74 W · 155 L-0.4wins0.00per pick32cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd7e…165abacked Yes60c104.29$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.5710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cf8…7f09backed Yes63c103.17$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0de3…05cdbacked No41c102$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x51b1…bce2backed Yes59c100.41$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.6118232.4%59 W · 123 L-15.9wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-23.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdc9e…d9f9backed No40c100.19$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.127967.1%53 W · 26 L+7.6wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+25.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd8a4…17d0backed Yes42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-48.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x83e2…ce08backed Yes63c100$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$632941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ef7…b0debacked No42c100$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588752.9%46 W · 41 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0407…54a7backed Yes61c100$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5eb9…f73bbacked No40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e8c…c206backed Yes44c97.73$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433132.3%10 W · 21 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick24cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3bb8…7471backed No52c96.14$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1514062.9%88 W · 52 L+16.6wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+66.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc372…00aabacked Yes61c95.53$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586743.3%29 W · 38 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-23.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e97…b339backed Yes59c90$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.13145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x362c…ac6ebacked No41c88.81$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.419348.4%45 W · 48 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-13.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1306…c689backed Yes59c84.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506144.3%27 W · 34 L-5.5wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-15.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xefb4…9653backed Yes59c84.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502050%10 W · 10 L-3.6wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-26.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0fc9…916dbacked Yes64c78.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502653.8%14 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a64…647dbacked No41c73.17$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.171127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4e2…3b04backed No41c70$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xba43…7c7cbacked Yes59c70$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x254f…78e8backed Yes61c69.89$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3bb…ad38backed Yes60c69.52$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.714949%24 W · 25 L-4.6wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-16.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4fbf…d31bbacked No40c67.39$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x631d…49dbbacked Yes60c66.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…0220backed Yes60c65$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3910341.7%43 W · 60 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8239…ddd7backed Yes64c62.5$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409027.8%25 W · 65 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked No41c60.98$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.9815636.5%57 W · 99 L-11.7wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6ae2…a8f9backed No41c60.98$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cd9…6565backed Yes59c60$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.