Premier League · resolved market
Will Brentford win on 2024-12-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8707a6cda450c99c1b9e7982a92b6e699b87e402d52f4f1a5aa6531b2fc25fbd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $69,031
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,237
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,031 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb23…b757backed Yes | 0c | 14,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e43…6097backed Yes | 0c | 12,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9933…7246backed Yes | 0c | 11,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 20c | 7,845$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,589.57 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 16c | 6,446$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.3 | 320 | 37.2%119 W · 201 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed No | 80c | 4,000$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 146 | 59.6%87 W · 59 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b74…a4f4backed Yes | 20c | 1,625$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.85 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 79c | 1,173$932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.39 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4707…7e5bbacked Yes | 20c | 1,021$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 19c | 999.98$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 292 | 38.4%112 W · 180 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 80c | 865.01$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7432…794bbacked Yes | 20c | 758.47$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.37 | 119 | 37%44 W · 75 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes | 17c | 703.33$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked No | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 179 | 45.8%82 W · 97 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91c0…846cbacked Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x964b…167abacked Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x993d…f0a3backed Yes | 43c | 463.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 14c | 458.64$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.37 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Yes | 12c | 427.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce86…f868backed Yes | 20c | 387.8$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.56 | 93 | 34.4%32 W · 61 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Yes | 19c | 360.55$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 229 | 32.3%74 W · 155 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…9702backed Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c7…053ebacked Yes | 17c | 299.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…c206backed Yes | 20c | 265.81$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.37 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 24cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc745…9499backed Yes | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked No | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 197 | 43.7%86 W · 111 L | +32.4wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +142.5%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb8…7471backed Yes | 26c | 196.07$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.98 | 140 | 62.9%88 W · 52 L | +16.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Yes | 18c | 191.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b4…770dbacked No | 80c | 178.61$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.72 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2e…f1c7backed Yes | 15c | 176.4$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…d9f9backed No | 79c | 173.27$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.64 | 79 | 67.1%53 W · 26 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2453…28e2backed Yes | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 256 | 37.9%97 W · 159 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed No | 80c | 156$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.84 | 466 | 60.5%282 W · 184 L | +30.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed No | 80c | 156$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.84 | 362 | 59.1%214 W · 148 L | +23.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…cf4cbacked No | 80c | 156$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.84 | 79 | 68.4%54 W · 25 L | +8.4wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa1…637bbacked Yes | 22c | 144$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.68 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f66…b986backed Yes | 19c | 132.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.18 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 80c | 124$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 605 | 57.5%348 W · 257 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71c0…fd11backed Yes | 15c | 113.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a4…17d0backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f30…1379backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5272…f0afbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a31…fed2backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24fe…e52cbacked Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f5…0050backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 18cpaid | +91.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb680…c893backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 36 | 13.9%5 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bb…ad38backed Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2936…07f5backed Yes | 19c | 83.45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 109 | 32.1%35 W · 74 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…ac6ebacked Yes | 20c | 79.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d18…3ae2backed Yes | 29c | 68.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6961…66a7backed Yes | 20c | 54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 327 | 36.4%119 W · 208 L | -21.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 119 | 15.1%18 W · 101 L | -10.4wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf470…62d2backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed1f…3462backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1986…60acbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -42%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked No | 80c | 41.3$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.26 | 123 | 57.7%71 W · 52 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3978…2f24backed Yes | 31c | 39.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83ec…0a71backed No | 80c | 36$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 80c | 36$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 599 | 58.9%353 W · 246 L | +26.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x184d…0a71backed No | 80c | 13.1$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Brentford win on 2024-12-27?this page
- Will Brighton vs. Brentford end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Brighton win on 2024-12-27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.