Premier League · resolved market
Will Brighton vs. Brentford end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e2b8f6ba0950fea736db76f8f6f6587406ca2d656e0cbdc0d86401b7d1af0bd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $72,097
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $82,309
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,097 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5606…7f0cbacked No | 0c | 12,181$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5eb…4694backed No | 0c | 12,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7114…2bc7backed No | 0c | 11,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed No | 58c | 5,106$2,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,986.01 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 22c | 4,226$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,300.23 | 320 | 37.2%119 W · 201 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed No | 78c | 3,000$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,339.96 | 146 | 59.6%87 W · 59 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32b2…841cbacked No | 16c | 2,229$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.5 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73b7…9360backed Yes | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 16c | 1,968$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.21 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked Yes | 60c | 1,823$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.55 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -4.3wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1638…339bbacked No | 78c | 1,507$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175.1 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea0d…821cbacked Yes | 23c | 1,310$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010.07 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 77c | 1,026$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.1 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd187…2ce1backed Yes | 70c | 986.4$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Yes | 54c | 885.05$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.34 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Yes | 22c | 681.82$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.82 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x732b…85f4backed Yes | 22c | 678.41$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.16 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1875…eb5ebacked No | 80c | 625$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x541c…71a2backed Yes | 37c | 581.7$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.47 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 23c | 520.53$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.01 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked No | 78c | 499.96$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.97 | 179 | 45.8%82 W · 97 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.55 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b6d…58f6backed No | 78c | 399.99$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.99 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -5.3wins | -0.18per pick | 67cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x715f…196dbacked Yes | 26c | 362.08$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…9702backed Yes | 49c | 337.69$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.72 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6753…7340backed No | 59c | 326.17$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.87 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Yes | 66c | 313.28$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.38 | 153 | 47.7%73 W · 80 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 66c | 303$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.02 | 253 | 39.1%99 W · 154 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d53…0644backed Yes | 26c | 300$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c57…9780backed Yes | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 63cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 56c | 250$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.44 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3025…fccdbacked Yes | 23c | 225.48$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.62 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb90e…5794backed Yes | 22c | 220$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.6 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde76…29aebacked Yes | 23c | 217.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.75 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +4.0wins | +0.36per pick | 36cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb586…7f97backed Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 22c | 200$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 292 | 38.4%112 W · 180 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d1e…5512backed Yes | 22c | 200$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 65 | 29.2%19 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdd…64a7backed Yes | 28c | 200$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x964b…167abacked Yes | 22c | 182.27$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.27 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 34c | 178.06$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.89 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b4…770dbacked No | 78c | 176.52$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.68 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc9…916dbacked Yes | 30c | 173.87$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.71 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Yes | 25c | 160$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 133 | 36.1%48 W · 85 L | -12.7wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9a…dcbebacked Yes | 22c | 159.09$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.09 | 150 | 25.3%38 W · 112 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Yes | 22c | 154.55$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.55 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes | 23c | 130.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.43 | 291 | 46%134 W · 157 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked No | 24c | 111.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.31 | 119 | 15.1%18 W · 101 L | -10.4wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.7 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…d68fbacked Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38f5…0050backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 18cpaid | +91.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 21c | 99.98$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.99 | 147 | 32%47 W · 100 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2041…977fbacked Yes | 21c | 99.52$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.62 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb51b…06b7backed No | 79c | 98.73$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.91 | 246 | 30.5%75 W · 171 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…d9f9backed No | 77c | 85.54$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.14 | 79 | 67.1%53 W · 26 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdef9…0ad3backed Yes | 22c | 80.82$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.04 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6e…632fbacked No | 79c | 76.9$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.75 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 72cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b85…a96cbacked Yes | 30c | 70$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.33per pick | 55cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Yes | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.18 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2936…07f5backed Yes | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.18 | 109 | 32.1%35 W · 74 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d86…6a3fbacked Yes | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.18 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c91…0505backed Yes | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.18 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Yes | 52c | 59.77$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.69 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x680c…1d9bbacked Yes | 22c | 58.64$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 40c | 52.49$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.6 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…375abacked Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 79 | 34.2%27 W · 52 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…3607backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3700…a35ebacked No | 59c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x108f…73e3backed Yes | 79c | 40.76$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x608c…39c9backed Yes | 69c | 38.47$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -71%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked No | 33c | 37.91$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 197 | 43.7%86 W · 111 L | +32.4wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +142.5%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xae6f…7399backed Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed No | 77c | 32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 466 | 60.5%282 W · 184 L | +30.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…cf4cbacked No | 77c | 32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 79 | 68.4%54 W · 25 L | +8.4wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0745…4428backed No | 79c | 31.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424a…540ebacked No | 79c | 27.85$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf470…62d2backed No | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed No | 77c | 19.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 362 | 59.1%214 W · 148 L | +23.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6282…1b95backed No | 79c | 18.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0a…62dbbacked No | 79c | 18.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a4e…7702backed No | 79c | 13.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4851…96b3backed No | 79c | 12.82$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Brighton vs. Brentford end in a draw?this page
- Will Brentford win on 2024-12-27?No won
- Will Brighton win on 2024-12-27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.