Middle East · resolved market
Israel strikes Iranian oil in June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbbf67626341697e4d77206624bf6a179514d17477d56c967de2ed225ac310f26
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $537,773
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $444,400
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $537,773 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 198 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x71e5…d10bbacked No | 1c | 44,711$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.74 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -26%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64de…25a1backed No | 2c | 31,439$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2d…f8aebacked No | 1c | 29,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 404 | 33.7%136 W · 268 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…4597backed No | 1c | 27,533$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.51 | 126 | 54%68 W · 58 L | +18.8wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +128.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed No | 6c | 26,239$1,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520.62 | 377 | 40.1%151 W · 226 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked No | 6c | 21,237$1,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,345.7 | 272 | 33.8%92 W · 180 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5510…2083backed No | 1c | 15,538$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed No | 1c | 13,450$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.5 | 58 | 1.7%1 W · 57 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -93.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked No | 0c | 12,997$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc0…4353backed No | 22c | 10,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5085…d8a4backed No | 1c | 10,000$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.25 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4760…0a49backed No | 3c | 9,222$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.35 | 21 | 81%17 W · 4 L | +6.1wins | +0.29per pick | 52cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd44e…67e2backed No | 8c | 8,759$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.58 | 212 | 59.9%127 W · 85 L | +21.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1f…c855backed Yes | 77c | 8,743$6,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,982.46 | 106 | 39.6%42 W · 64 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ef…63b4backed No | 5c | 8,556$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.25 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed No | 0c | 8,523$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.52 | 207 | 8.2%17 W · 190 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -88.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd386…1887backed No | 0c | 8,152$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x912a…0f92backed No | 1c | 5,998$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.63 | 123 | 5.7%7 W · 116 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -83.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x183a…d514backed Yes | 78c | 5,975$4,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,328.87 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab4f…552fbacked No | 6c | 5,937$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.74 | 61 | 27.9%17 W · 44 L | -10.6wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…b608backed No | 18c | 5,468$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.16 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed No | 1c | 5,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e8…8a9bbacked No | 1c | 4,780$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e56…35d5backed No | 0c | 4,608$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.02 | 130 | 33.1%43 W · 87 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9b…63fabacked No | 0c | 4,189$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70c9…cef3backed No | 3c | 4,000$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.97 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed No | 3c | 3,760$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.29 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82b1…7579backed No | 22c | 3,673$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed95…b1e6backed No | 9c | 3,534$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.55 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd427…05adbacked No | 0c | 3,214$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 18cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8528…d446backed No | 34c | 3,132$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc95c…cef3backed No | 19c | 2,748$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 6c | 2,617$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.34 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…abd4backed No | 2c | 2,346$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…9790backed No | 26c | 2,222$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.72 | 353 | 47%166 W · 187 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed No | 3c | 2,111$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.55 | 203 | 36.9%75 W · 128 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe130…2f27backed Yes | 40c | 2,093$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,246.66 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked No | 26c | 2,087$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.9 | 473 | 34%161 W · 312 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf206…8cf6backed Yes | 58c | 2,074$1,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.39 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6367…e938backed No | 13c | 2,000$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2d…dbcbbacked No | 2c | 2,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf8…7f09backed No | 2c | 2,000$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e02…b56dbacked Yes | 80c | 1,842$1,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.85 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4569…133cbacked No | 2c | 1,622$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.16 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 21cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x242f…565fbacked No | 3c | 1,603$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.6 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa15b…30f1backed No | 2c | 1,536$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.36 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a25…099dbacked No | 80c | 1,474$1,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,173.47 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.9wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc9…b8a8backed No | 12c | 1,431$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.17 | 58 | 27.6%16 W · 42 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc851…cd2abacked Yes | 74c | 1,412$1,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b1b…1a06backed No | 18c | 1,393$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41c…ba2fbacked No | 4c | 1,346$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.78 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | -7.8wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…3a2dbacked No | 17c | 1,177$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +94.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87bd…b062backed No | 2c | 1,173$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 43cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed No | 7c | 1,159$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.92 | 136 | 29.4%40 W · 96 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed Yes | 56c | 1,122$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.42 | 137 | 46%63 W · 74 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20d7…7f5cbacked Yes | 18c | 1,087$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.51 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1854…81eabacked Yes | 19c | 1,026$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.68 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +107%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe529…8a7cbacked Yes | 77c | 1,013$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.42 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x58b6…7687backed No | 10c | 992.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 25cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 23c | 869.92$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.8 | 896 | 17.1%153 W · 743 L | -57.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcced…9ffebacked Yes | 71c | 859.55$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.6 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07d5…709bbacked No | 21c | 857.53$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 33cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed No | 57c | 848.16$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.23 | 222 | 62.2%138 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed No | 26c | 831.24$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.22 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2f9…a528backed No | 35c | 815.49$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…17e5backed No | 16c | 813.32$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.28 | 97 | 11.3%11 W · 86 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb1…bf68backed Yes | 29c | 788.59$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.6 | 150 | 23.3%35 W · 115 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…4231backed Yes | 17c | 782.22$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.22 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +96.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa510…1f80backed Yes | 54c | 767.06$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.19 | 74 | 13.5%10 W · 64 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ca…2817backed No | 15c | 738.93$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.23 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 55c | 700.51$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.51 | 421 | 20.9%88 W · 333 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6e…b45bbacked Yes | 74c | 700$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x814a…25adbacked Yes | 78c | 692$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.11 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…7c9fbacked Yes | 74c | 677.16$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.1 | 48 | 83.3%40 W · 8 L | +6.5wins | +0.14per pick | 70cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3b94…951abacked Yes | 75c | 666.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 48c | 640.17$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.65 | 678 | 41.6%282 W · 396 L | -20.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…21bbbacked No | 15c | 638.06$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.71 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc54…680fbacked Yes | 21c | 600$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0308…182cbacked No | 6c | 577.64$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.98 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbea…19f4backed Yes | 77c | 555.48$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.65 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa98b…850cbacked No | 37c | 553.14$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.29 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c39…aaabbacked Yes | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.32 | 70 | 14.3%10 W · 60 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -45%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9d1…8c4dbacked No | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ad…3050backed No | 26c | 494.85$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.63 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe085…5474backed Yes | 10c | 473.53$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.18 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +123.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…bccebacked No | 35c | 459.7$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.31 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…269ebacked Yes | 47c | 455.66$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.26 | 409 | 39.6%162 W · 247 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…b88fbacked Yes | 65c | 447.33$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.5 | 367 | 50.4%185 W · 182 L | +39.6wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a8…00c7backed No | 50c | 436.05$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.16 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b24…01abbacked No | 4c | 430.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…df3abacked Yes | 70c | 429.85$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.53 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53d3…60eebacked No | 24c | 414.15$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -7.2wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…2c72backed Yes | 73c | 400.01$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.79 | 291 | 29.9%87 W · 204 L | +21.5wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14a9…f391backed No | 31c | 399.99$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 33cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x157e…2efbbacked No | 29c | 391.33$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.28 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…3ff3backed Yes | 13c | 390.86$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.86 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +4.2wins | +0.19per pick | 26cpaid | +72.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Yes | 66c | 380.01$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.39 | 235 | 25.5%60 W · 175 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Yes | 79c | 332$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.75 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d05…6a81backed No | 21c | 320.03$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.21 | 432 | 12.5%54 W · 378 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa51…a6dcbacked No | 33c | 299.53$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.