Champions League · resolved market
Manchester City vs. Al Ain: 4+ Goals Scored?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb08eae109edc4e9a4b31c25d54b1693b09b96e20809fafe715e5659051199817
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,487
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,813
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,487 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 56c | 3,294$1,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,453.6 | 402 | 22.9%92 W · 310 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked No | 44c | 3,050$1,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,342 | 123 | 59.3%73 W · 50 L | +12.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 52c | 2,474$1,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,177.84 | 239 | 42.7%102 W · 137 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 210 | 37.1%78 W · 132 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 28c | 1,714$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.08 | 307 | 54.1%166 W · 141 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…5981backed Yes | 66c | 1,650$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.99 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked No | 23c | 950$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 219 | 38.4%84 W · 135 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…1e95backed No | 46c | 811.08$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.97 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd82c…acb0backed Yes | 52c | 769.73$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.47 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 45c | 718.36$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.26 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 53c | 562.86$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.46 | 306 | 57.5%176 W · 130 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 49c | 443.99$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.56 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6955…41e9backed Yes | 54c | 265.84$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.51 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Yes | 55c | 260$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…bd6abacked Yes | 55c | 227.27$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.27 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 55c | 181.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.52 | 264 | 43.9%116 W · 148 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed No | 46c | 149.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.25 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 47c | 120$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.8 | 449 | 55.7%250 W · 199 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2515…a008backed Yes | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.21 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 52c | 110$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 254 | 50%127 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e6…67b5backed Yes | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.09 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -7.4wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8965…fda0backed Yes | 54c | 104.71$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.66 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed No | 46c | 104$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.84 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Yes | 53c | 99.88$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.51 | 228 | 47.8%109 W · 119 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea1c…0868backed Yes | 56c | 72.35$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.02 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef5d…12e7backed Yes | 55c | 72.24$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.24 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf778…05b2backed Yes | 63c | 71.33$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.12 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e21…4d75backed No | 46c | 67.64$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.11 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79b6…612ebacked Yes | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Yes | 56c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8aa…24e3backed Yes | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf861…4864backed Yes | 53c | 56.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.62 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…ee6abacked Yes | 53c | 56.58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.59 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3095…8e0ebacked Yes | 53c | 56.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.1 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…ef77backed No | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 58cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06ea…a4b6backed Yes | 80c | 53.31$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.28per pick | 46cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 47c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 193 | 44%85 W · 108 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd882…0c09backed Yes | 54c | 44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.24 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…e209backed No | 45c | 40.34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf8…7f09backed Yes | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10f4…3b7ebacked Yes | 59c | 38.32$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.83 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 383 | 56.7%217 W · 166 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf66…e823backed No | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +8.2wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf95b…1692backed Yes | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 469 | 56.5%265 W · 204 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…17e5backed No | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed No | 51c | 23.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 61 | 23%14 W · 47 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4429…2e4dbacked Yes | 53c | 20.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.21per pick | 56cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 290 | 34.5%100 W · 190 L | +16.0wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked Yes | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 155 | 38.1%59 W · 96 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.