UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Marcin Tybura vs. Aleksandar Rakic (Heavyweight, Main Card)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe2218e631597ab8f431725570a393d35c9b68adf51e78c9e2d3908a3f61c4864
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Aleksandar Rakicof Marcin Tybura, Aleksandar Rakic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $762,722
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $797,090
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $762,722 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 239 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Aleksandar Rakic | 77c | 375,000$288,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86,279.75 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Marcin Tybura | 23c | 200,000$46,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,999.97 | 162 | 44.4%72 W · 90 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Marcin Tybura | 23c | 90,000$20,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,700 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Marcin Tybura | 23c | 66,000$15,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,179.99 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Marcin Tybura | 23c | 53,318$12,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,265.16 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Marcin Tybura | 23c | 53,318$12,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,306.65 | 100 | 35%35 W · 65 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65c1…2988backed Marcin Tybura | 23c | 50,894$11,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,705.61 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…9559backed Aleksandar Rakic | 77c | 50,000$38,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,500 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Marcin Tybura | 22c | 32,217$6,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,971.93 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Aleksandar Rakic | 77c | 26,000$20,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,980 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Marcin Tybura | 1c | 24,422$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.22 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Aleksandar Rakic | 77c | 20,000$15,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,600 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Aleksandar Rakic | 77c | 17,167$13,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,977.14 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Aleksandar Rakic | 77c | 12,185$9,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,802.44 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Aleksandar Rakic | 76c | 10,029$7,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,407.07 | 371 | 52.8%196 W · 175 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Marcin Tybura | 8c | 9,554$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.35 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d7…5ac7backed Aleksandar Rakic | 77c | 8,000$6,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,840 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Aleksandar Rakic | 76c | 7,795$5,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,870.79 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Marcin Tybura | 1c | 6,500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.56 | 154 | 44.2%68 W · 86 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8089…f935backed Marcin Tybura | 18c | 6,500$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56b9…79a2backed Marcin Tybura | 23c | 6,454$1,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,484.44 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50d0…a6fcbacked Aleksandar Rakic | 77c | 6,201$4,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,426.3 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf958…db13backed Marcin Tybura | 24c | 6,084$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460.21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Marcin Tybura | 24c | 6,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29cc…3c29backed Marcin Tybura | 23c | 5,200$1,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,196 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Aleksandar Rakic | 77c | 5,000$3,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150 | 171 | 58.5%100 W · 71 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9572…efffbacked Marcin Tybura | 10c | 4,726$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.98 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Marcin Tybura | 22c | 4,442$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.18 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Aleksandar Rakic | 77c | 4,000$3,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…82c6backed Marcin Tybura | 23c | 4,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…6664backed Aleksandar Rakic | 78c | 3,517$2,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.87 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 70cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Marcin Tybura | 6c | 3,300$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.09 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5108…29cbbacked Aleksandar Rakic | 77c | 3,247$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.75 | 161 | 58.4%94 W · 67 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95e0…58dfbacked Aleksandar Rakic | 77c | 3,247$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Marcin Tybura | 24c | 3,067$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736 | 261 | 40.6%106 W · 155 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca4e…f97ebacked Aleksandar Rakic | 76c | 3,000$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…3633backed Aleksandar Rakic | 76c | 2,391$1,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.01 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2edd…e968backed Aleksandar Rakic | 77c | 2,273$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.73 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Aleksandar Rakic | 77c | 2,000$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 215 | 54.4%117 W · 98 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Marcin Tybura | 23c | 2,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 48 | 20.8%10 W · 38 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x270b…2bafbacked Marcin Tybura | 18c | 2,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8c…9390backed Marcin Tybura | 23c | 2,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.99 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6daa…954abacked Marcin Tybura | 24c | 1,984$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0f…4633backed Aleksandar Rakic | 77c | 1,948$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.05 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Marcin Tybura | 20c | 1,800$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ddc…03c3backed Marcin Tybura | 23c | 1,703$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.69 | 86 | 22.1%19 W · 67 L | -10.9wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Marcin Tybura | 21c | 1,667$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Aleksandar Rakic | 76c | 1,600$1,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed Marcin Tybura | 24c | 1,600$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf202…4322backed Aleksandar Rakic | 77c | 1,539$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.99 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c2d…6443backed Marcin Tybura | 23c | 1,500$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Aleksandar Rakic | 80c | 1,334$1,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.38 | 360 | 48.3%174 W · 186 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…e86dbacked Aleksandar Rakic | 78c | 1,282$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.05 | 156 | 56.4%88 W · 68 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa01b…bc1dbacked Aleksandar Rakic | 76c | 1,275$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.94 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…519dbacked Aleksandar Rakic | 77c | 1,222$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.15 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e0…8618backed Marcin Tybura | 10c | 1,211$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.1 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked Marcin Tybura | 24c | 1,200$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2afc…23c9backed Marcin Tybura | 24c | 1,200$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x468f…c2a7backed Aleksandar Rakic | 77c | 1,169$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.83 | 140 | 45.7%64 W · 76 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x671d…2e26backed Marcin Tybura | 23c | 1,130$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c75…227fbacked Marcin Tybura | 24c | 1,068$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.25 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fd…a0a9backed Marcin Tybura | 23c | 1,040$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.2 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16fa…4ba6backed Aleksandar Rakic | 77c | 1,037$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.53 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +4.9wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf8…7f09backed Aleksandar Rakic | 77c | 1,020$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.6 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Marcin Tybura | 10c | 1,003$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.65 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Marcin Tybura | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 309 | 64.7%200 W · 109 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Marcin Tybura | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 155 | 49%76 W · 79 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…4fadbacked Marcin Tybura | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…7c83backed Aleksandar Rakic | 76c | 999.98$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f86…4fa9backed Aleksandar Rakic | 77c | 935.53$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.6 | 145 | 60%87 W · 58 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64fd…8c18backed Aleksandar Rakic | 78c | 909.18$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.42 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17b8…d5d1backed Marcin Tybura | 18c | 903.26$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.59 | 128 | 47.7%61 W · 67 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1507…e175backed Marcin Tybura | 11c | 874.87$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.27 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd594…98c4backed Marcin Tybura | 24c | 857.5$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.26 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed Marcin Tybura | 24c | 833.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffb3…081ebacked Marcin Tybura | 10c | 807$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.8 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Marcin Tybura | 7c | 780.33$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.62 | 228 | 47.8%109 W · 119 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x969e…b834backed Marcin Tybura | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed Marcin Tybura | 23c | 754.47$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.53 | 208 | 37%77 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17cb…3ab8backed Aleksandar Rakic | 77c | 649.35$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.35 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…d08bbacked Aleksandar Rakic | 77c | 640$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.2 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15b3…2248backed Aleksandar Rakic | 78c | 635.51$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Marcin Tybura | 23c | 618.62$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.28 | 300 | 39.3%118 W · 182 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1245…e0afbacked Marcin Tybura | 24c | 617.5$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.2 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5923…04b8backed Marcin Tybura | 24c | 600$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -50%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Marcin Tybura | 6c | 599.13$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.52 | 159 | 33.3%53 W · 106 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x721e…3439backed Aleksandar Rakic | 77c | 576.91$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.69 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Marcin Tybura | 9c | 575.96$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.16 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Aleksandar Rakic | 79c | 560.16$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.78 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x739a…dbe8backed Aleksandar Rakic | 78c | 549.95$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.99 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.15per pick | 61cpaid | +82.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x009b…e769backed Aleksandar Rakic | 77c | 520$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.6 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f66…3a50backed Aleksandar Rakic | 77c | 519.48$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.48 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Aleksandar Rakic | 77c | 500$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 378 | 54.8%207 W · 171 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…b591backed Aleksandar Rakic | 77c | 498.7$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.7 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dbc…d4adbacked Marcin Tybura | 22c | 475.5$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.61 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Marcin Tybura | 7c | 473.05$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.11 | 281 | 43.1%121 W · 160 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2b…97b2backed Aleksandar Rakic | 76c | 459.88$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.37 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90e4…ec54backed Marcin Tybura | 12c | 419.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8959…68e2backed Marcin Tybura | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa7f…dc59backed Marcin Tybura | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Marcin Tybura vs. Aleksandar Rakic (Heavyweight, Main Card)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?Yes won
- O/U 1.5 RoundsOver won
- Will Aleksandar Rakic win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will Marcin Tybura win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.