Will Rodri score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8082a8eb358d94bd0e65e18f18be6aa38e0baa997814d4a520ce2e69b243e0af

Rebuilt 13 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 19, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $11,746
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $11,968

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,746 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x03be…e99cbacked Yes	7c	1,391$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.97	24	12.5%3 W · 21 L	-1.3wins	-0.06per pick	18cpaid	-49%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x09b4…e56dbacked No	63c	990.89$623 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$367.78	60	48.3%29 W · 31 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes	32c	516.84$163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163.19	1,067	49.1%524 W · 543 L	+7.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Yes	21c	468.88$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.07	2,576	46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L	+35.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x551d…9326backed Yes	38c	263.62$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	55	43.6%24 W · 31 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49c4…bf77backed No	66c	255.47$167 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.07	152	61.2%93 W · 59 L	+7.4wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed Yes	15c	242.85$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.97	920	38.5%354 W · 566 L	-21.8wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-10%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xae2b…daa8backed No	64c	234.12$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84.12	131	57.3%75 W · 56 L	+6.2wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a59…a364backed Yes	9c	219.43$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.78	99	15.2%15 W · 84 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	17cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Yes	30c	211.45$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.95	412	31.6%130 W · 282 L	-5.8wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d5b…7744backed No	47c	210.86$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110.86	49	57.1%28 W · 21 L	+1.7wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb766…1d83backed No	65c	200$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70	145	34.5%50 W · 95 L	-11.4wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2956…d31bbacked Yes	14c	200$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	71	42.3%30 W · 41 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes	22c	168.57$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.61	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes	30c	154.95$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.6	662	39.6%262 W · 400 L	-48.1wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe8fc…0d3bbacked No	74c	136.89$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.28	96	44.8%43 W · 53 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e6e…7f53backed Yes	44c	133.38$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.42	101	31.7%32 W · 69 L	-6.8wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked Yes	19c	112.88$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.35	486	36.6%178 W · 308 L	-48.4wins	-0.10per pick	47cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	39-0.09 edge/pick
0x7083…53ecbacked Yes	28c	106.9$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-15%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6216…1bd4backed Yes	15c	100$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	237	41.8%99 W · 138 L	+7.6wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0e0…016abacked Yes	37c	100$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37	63	41.3%26 W · 37 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74aa…2c3fbacked Yes	37c	100$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37	51	43.1%22 W · 29 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb437…cfb3backed No	72c	100$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28	124	54%67 W · 57 L	+7.9wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9448…b72ebacked Yes	37c	100$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37	85	25.9%22 W · 63 L	-4.9wins	-0.06per pick	32cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe58b…d323backed Yes	15c	99.99$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	48	29.2%14 W · 34 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x168f…9e00backed Yes	38c	97$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.86	235	43%101 W · 134 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa75c…895ebacked Yes	35c	50$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.5	78	38.5%30 W · 48 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82fb…bed6backed Yes	38c	50$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	59	44.1%26 W · 33 L	-2.8wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x023d…3431backed Yes	38c	50$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	34	38.2%13 W · 21 L	-3.8wins	-0.11per pick	49cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x89df…f8d0backed No	61c	49.17$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.17	142	45.8%65 W · 77 L	+4.4wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a4e…b38cbacked No	51c	46.94$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23	54	44.4%24 W · 30 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2892…71ddbacked Yes	33c	45.45$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	277	29.2%81 W · 196 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed No	55c	43.08$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.39	318	51.9%165 W · 153 L	+16.3wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8328…feb3backed Yes	49c	40.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	82	48.8%40 W · 42 L	+4.3wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1315…7c77backed Yes	66c	34.31$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.69	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Yes	52c	33$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.16	481	40.1%193 W · 288 L	-17.3wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a51…05adbacked Yes	45c	30.73$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.83	63	65.1%41 W · 22 L	+6.9wins	+0.11per pick	54cpaid	+18%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcceb…f030backed Yes	38c	30$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.4	130	51.5%67 W · 63 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbe4…2a32backed No	70c	28.57$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.57	32	53.1%17 W · 15 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d8e…735bbacked No	72c	27.71$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.8	111	56.8%63 W · 48 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71a5…b594backed No	66c	27.54$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.44	185	38.9%72 W · 113 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-12%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc349…82d7backed No	51c	26.3$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.77	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	+0.7wins	+0.05per pick	18cpaid	-48.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb886…3024backed No	62c	20$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.6	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.04per pick	63cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e32…fdbdbacked No	64c	19.25$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.93	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.33per pick	67cpaid	+49.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd677…aa0ebacked No	63c	17.19$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.36	58	58.6%34 W · 24 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 146. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Rodri score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event