Us Midterms · resolved market
Todd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by August 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x66a6d4b5efe16194979e39a7f452a8c860b054724a1e27eec822fae17f980def
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,179
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,714
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,179 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed No | 0c | 8,070$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.29 | 64 | 6.3%4 W · 60 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 2c | 5,454$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.18 | 332 | 38.6%128 W · 204 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 3c | 3,565$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.23 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 2c | 2,805$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.27 | 136 | 25.7%35 W · 101 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb2…682cbacked No | 30c | 2,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.99 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…a16dbacked Yes | 59c | 1,328$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.4 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 6c | 1,141$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.64 | 495 | 11.5%57 W · 438 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 18c | 1,106$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.08 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 21cpaid | -89.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked No | 2c | 1,019$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe381…3ba9backed No | 14c | 610.79$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x853c…bd03backed Yes | 37c | 538.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.47 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c41…133ebacked No | 59c | 468.57$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.21 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64df…ab80backed Yes | 80c | 388.5$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdd…3e97backed Yes | 59c | 327.35$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.79 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 13c | 319.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.33 | 248 | 31%77 W · 171 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb9d…d78ebacked No | 15c | 221.73$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.02 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -82.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes | 16c | 218.16$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.65 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0130…274cbacked Yes | 48c | 200.04$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.42 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 61cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2213…492cbacked No | 7c | 200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcaff…e3adbacked Yes | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…b4a7backed No | 62c | 199$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.7 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 67cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb141…aa3bbacked Yes | 74c | 183.84$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.95 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc412…592dbacked No | 77c | 180$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.2 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…11fdbacked No | 19c | 160$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 17c | 157.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.44 | 107 | 22.4%24 W · 83 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc349…82d7backed Yes | 37c | 136.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.84 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 50c | 132.52$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.48 | 669 | 14.8%99 W · 570 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -66%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed No | 16c | 120.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.31 | 100 | 34%34 W · 66 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd702…9694backed No | 14c | 119.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 13cpaid | +303.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 59c | 106.05$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.22 | 334 | 21.9%73 W · 261 L | -23.8wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked No | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…04c0backed No | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 31cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…2ad3backed No | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x489a…fff2backed No | 16c | 95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ead…f333backed No | 53c | 91.92$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c14…0869backed No | 42c | 90.35$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.17 | 107 | 40.2%43 W · 64 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb84c…e169backed Yes | 57c | 73$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.39 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae7a…25eabacked No | 42c | 70$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 43c | 64.44$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 450 | 35.1%158 W · 292 L | -37.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbada…d874backed No | 42c | 63.15$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…92d6backed No | 55c | 62.41$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed No | 32c | 56.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.03 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78c5…f623backed Yes | 22c | 50.87$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +354.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 65c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 205 | 42%86 W · 119 L | -11.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 41c | 48.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb17d…59aebacked Yes | 72c | 47.33$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.09 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 39c | 43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 123 | 30.9%38 W · 85 L | -10.0wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed No | 57c | 41.4$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.56 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed Yes | 60c | 40.93$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.57 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1de2…7273backed No | 54c | 40.13$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed No | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 73 | 26%19 W · 54 L | -10.6wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -39%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x126e…c360backed No | 41c | 39.35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0e…c02bbacked Yes | 69c | 39$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.09 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked Yes | 75c | 39$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe53c…e569backed No | 45c | 33.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa48c…5506backed Yes | 57c | 32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86a0…2f95backed No | 48c | 31.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x283d…221abacked No | 43c | 30.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2247…4304backed Yes | 50c | 29.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.66 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 63cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 71c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 154 | 31.2%48 W · 106 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3901…9761backed No | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9362…d4a4backed Yes | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd322…8503backed Yes | 70c | 14.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.38 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Todd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by August 30?this page
- Todd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by December 31?Yes won
- Todd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by October 31?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.