Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Travoman Team vs Stray Team (BO5) - BetBoom Streamers Battle Playoffs

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa8fe5628ac3c751810a0d3688ca592d96abfa297e1b3842bdb4bbf607ddf9da5

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Travoman Teamof Travoman Team, Stray Team
Resolved: Aug 2, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $28,867
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $34,939

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,867 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Dota2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4572…83ffbacked Travoman Team	62c	4,166$2,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,565.63	534	51.7%276 W · 258 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6e44…21bcbacked Stray Team	37c	1,905$703 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$703	791	59.4%470 W · 321 L	+18.8wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b1f…d6d5backed Travoman Team	58c	1,719$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$718.98	79	55.7%44 W · 35 L	-2.6wins	-0.03per pick	59cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Stray Team	46c	1,579$732 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$732.03	508	50.8%258 W · 250 L	+8.8wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad46…e6a6backed Stray Team	2c	1,500$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8342…6dc8backed Stray Team	46c	1,087$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$499.98	479	53.9%258 W · 221 L	+11.1wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Stray Team	27c	841.38$224 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$223.75	998	44.4%443 W · 555 L	+21.0wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91b9…889fbacked Travoman Team	50c	760$380 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$380	86	44.2%38 W · 48 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Stray Team	18c	742.71$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.13	665	45.6%303 W · 362 L	+13.5wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8840…f51abacked Stray Team	2c	602.99$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.06	20	5%1 W · 19 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	2cpaid	+150%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x60e3…57b5backed Travoman Team	58c	544.65$317 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$227.77	348	60.1%209 W · 139 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93fd…a5edbacked Travoman Team	49c	442.43$217 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$225.64	406	44.6%181 W · 225 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0328…bd17backed Travoman Team	70c	425.67$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$125.67	89	57.3%51 W · 38 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd68…0f6bbacked Stray Team	51c	409.08$209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$208.63	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.21per pick	46cpaid	-50%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x249e…4fa6backed Stray Team	21c	389.38$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.8	167	50.3%84 W · 83 L	-4.4wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Stray Team	33c	342.62$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.94	878	38.3%336 W · 542 L	-42.3wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-33.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Stray Team	43c	331.16$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.82	889	38%338 W · 551 L	-46.3wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5011…94b4backed Stray Team	12c	325$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	245	36.7%90 W · 155 L	-14.0wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e91…c6febacked Stray Team	41c	323.02$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.44	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-1.5wins	-0.19per pick	44cpaid	-43%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe1d3…b8debacked Travoman Team	60c	299.98$179 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120.49	695	52.2%363 W · 332 L	+45.3wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb1a1…dd34backed Travoman Team	56c	293.94$164 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$129.68	198	56.1%111 W · 87 L	-4.8wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82a1…e38bbacked Stray Team	10c	290$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	33	45.5%15 W · 18 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cf7…294abacked Travoman Team	70c	289$202 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$86.7	68	63.2%43 W · 25 L	+5.1wins	+0.07per pick	56cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa28c…0042backed Stray Team	42c	255.07$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.57	40	42.5%17 W · 23 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02f0…9bb3backed Stray Team	33c	250$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.5	98	48%47 W · 51 L	+7.8wins	+0.08per pick	40cpaid	+38.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Stray Team	28c	241$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.5	1,691	41.4%700 W · 991 L	-40.8wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2802…347dbacked Stray Team	33c	240$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.2	114	44.7%51 W · 63 L	+6.2wins	+0.05per pick	39cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d9a…d10fbacked Stray Team	33c	240$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.2	114	45.6%52 W · 62 L	+6.2wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeef9…8731backed Stray Team	39c	229.39$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.48	259	56.8%147 W · 112 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5abe…d360backed Stray Team	31c	200$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62	79	45.6%36 W · 43 L	+3.8wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x23b5…97e1backed Stray Team	33c	200$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66	124	46.8%58 W · 66 L	+8.3wins	+0.07per pick	40cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8421…4e30backed Stray Team	33c	200$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66	79	44.3%35 W · 44 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf8fe…359dbacked Stray Team	33c	200$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66	87	50.6%44 W · 43 L	+7.8wins	+0.09per pick	42cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x54f1…668ebacked Stray Team	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	10	30%3 W · 7 L	+0.7wins	+0.07per pick	23cpaid	-17%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93b6…5d73backed Stray Team	38c	199.99$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76	133	36.8%49 W · 84 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-13%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed Stray Team	33c	180$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.4	502	47.6%239 W · 263 L	+31.6wins	+0.06per pick	41cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3241…cca8backed Stray Team	51c	163.45$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.36	30	63.3%19 W · 11 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	64cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Stray Team	23c	150.02$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.88	1,894	47.7%903 W · 991 L	+6.2wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf5c1…d56dbacked Stray Team	12c	141.76$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.46	28	10.7%3 W · 25 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	13cpaid	-78.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Stray Team	46c	138.87$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.48	251	49%123 W · 128 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Stray Team	40c	137.63$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.25	711	42.6%303 W · 408 L	-8.0wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec96…f5d7backed Stray Team	45c	133$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.85	364	52.5%191 W · 173 L	+13.2wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a65…b42bbacked Stray Team	15c	129.61$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	+1.4wins	+0.12per pick	30cpaid	+32.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Stray Team	19c	129.09$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.46	217	42.9%93 W · 124 L	-5.7wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xabd9…dc3abacked Travoman Team	68c	125.5$85 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.28	177	33.3%59 W · 118 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Stray Team	34c	100$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	412	46.8%193 W · 219 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x39f6…c6efbacked Stray Team	32c	100$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	34	58.8%20 W · 14 L	+5.9wins	+0.17per pick	42cpaid	+38.9%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Stray Team	38c	96$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.24	197	37.1%73 W · 124 L	-12.0wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-33.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd2a3…fad7backed Stray Team	43c	93.04$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.65	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-1.3wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x95e9…67b6backed Stray Team	49c	91.84$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	185	50.8%94 W · 91 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed Stray Team	41c	91.55$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.97	97	35.1%34 W · 63 L	-5.1wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8206…4826backed Stray Team	31c	90.2$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.96	56	42.9%24 W · 32 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	+10%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08fa…f1e0backed Travoman Team	56c	80.48$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.27	802	44.9%360 W · 442 L	-27.2wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd7f4…9626backed Stray Team	46c	78.73$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.97	23	52.2%12 W · 11 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0324…bed7backed Stray Team	51c	78.43$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-1.7wins	-0.14per pick	48cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Stray Team	25c	74.38$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.25	340	41.2%140 W · 200 L	-10.3wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-15%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf07b…def2backed Stray Team	44c	73.34$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.98	82	47.6%39 W · 43 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5d91…3578backed Travoman Team	62c	71.13$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.13	42	47.6%20 W · 22 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Stray Team	33c	65.99$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.78	122	17.2%21 W · 101 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-60.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bf1…3db0backed Stray Team	38c	61.13$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.23	33	54.5%18 W · 15 L	+2.6wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Stray Team	21c	60$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.65	1,113	36.2%403 W · 710 L	-37.9wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-31%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc15f…223dbacked Travoman Team	50c	53$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.5	117	47.9%56 W · 61 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x59e2…1c55backed Travoman Team	58c	52$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.84	473	48.2%228 W · 245 L	-9.0wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Stray Team	39c	50$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.4	92	31.5%29 W · 63 L	-8.1wins	-0.09per pick	40cpaid	-41.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb3c5…f095backed Travoman Team	62c	48.31$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.31	604	60.6%366 W · 238 L	+8.2wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f8e…21b7backed Travoman Team	70c	47$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.24	34	50%17 W · 17 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	+16.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb91c…ed66backed Stray Team	49c	40.89$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	191	48.7%93 W · 98 L	+11.3wins	+0.06per pick	43cpaid	+17.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xabee…6f81backed Stray Team	31c	40$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.5	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-21%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c9f…75cabacked Travoman Team	69c	36.28$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.28	19	68.4%13 W · 6 L	+1.8wins	+0.09per pick	59cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e50…c665backed Travoman Team	60c	33.88$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.68	156	46.2%72 W · 84 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Travoman Team	55c	31$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.95	675	46.1%311 W · 364 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb877…4601backed Stray Team	56c	30$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.79	410	55.1%226 W · 184 L	+39.6wins	+0.10per pick	45cpaid	+19.2%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf15e…80b5backed Stray Team	43c	27$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.61	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.2wins	-0.40per pick	40cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x77de…e67abacked Stray Team	44c	26.09$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.52	146	47.9%70 W · 76 L	+3.0wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68c0…c1fbbacked Stray Team	45c	24.44$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	47	72.3%34 W · 13 L	+3.6wins	+0.08per pick	65cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x67f6…1651backed Travoman Team	53c	23$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.7	76	42.1%32 W · 44 L	+2.6wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f4d…f7ddbacked Travoman Team	71c	21$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.03	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.27per pick	73cpaid	+36.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4936…38a6backed Travoman Team	76c	17.77$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.35	4	100%4 W · 0 L	+1.3wins	+0.32per pick	68cpaid	+47.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Travoman Team	77c	15.27$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.55	785	41.7%327 W · 458 L	-14.4wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Dota 2: Travoman Team vs Stray Team (BO5) - BetBoom Streamers Battle Playoffsthis page
Dota 2: Travoman Team vs Stray Team - Game 1 WinnerStray Team won
Dota 2: Travoman Team vs Stray Team - Game 2 WinnerTravoman Team won
Dota 2: Travoman Team vs Stray Team - Game 3 WinnerTravoman Team won
Dota 2: Travoman Team vs Stray Team - Game 4 WinnerStray Team won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Dota 2: Travoman Team vs Stray Team (BO5) - BetBoom Streamers Battle Playoffs

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event