Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Travoman Team vs Stray Team - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ac9c90d66404a39ffff42f93d6505ca205e5aa03f905ad9d96452a817dcc0ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Travoman Teamof Travoman Team, Stray Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,181
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,549
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,181 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed Travoman Team | 55c | 6,016$3,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,707.38 | 304 | 52.3%159 W · 145 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Stray Team | 45c | 2,778$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Stray Team | 45c | 1,116$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.75 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Stray Team | 34c | 535.91$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.69 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Stray Team | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Stray Team | 45c | 330.75$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.54 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3d…9488backed Stray Team | 45c | 306$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.7 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x249e…4fa6backed Stray Team | 45c | 196.16$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.27 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a9…e7d8backed Stray Team | 45c | 180$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Travoman Team | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82a1…e38bbacked Stray Team | 45c | 168$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.6 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e2d…5c89backed Travoman Team | 70c | 115$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a3…fad7backed Stray Team | 45c | 75.29$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.88 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc15f…223dbacked Stray Team | 45c | 70$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 117 | 47.9%56 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95e9…67b6backed Travoman Team | 58c | 62.07$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.07 | 185 | 50.8%94 W · 91 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Travoman Team | 75c | 61.47$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.11 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Stray Team | 45c | 51.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Stray Team | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 123 | 53.7%66 W · 57 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789a…3dfabacked Stray Team | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Travoman Team | 56c | 24.89$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.95 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Travoman Team vs Stray Team - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Travoman Team vs Stray Team (BO5) - BetBoom Streamers Battle PlayoffsTravoman Team won
- Dota 2: Travoman Team vs Stray Team - Game 1 WinnerStray Team won
- Dota 2: Travoman Team vs Stray Team - Game 3 WinnerTravoman Team won
- Dota 2: Travoman Team vs Stray Team - Game 4 WinnerStray Team won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.