Dota2 · resolved market
Will LGD Gaming win BLAST Slam VII?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ee5d7b58a8f9a921b9c233954da1f86ab7b15063e281a24f9e7811b5a2e2b54
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,415
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,035
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,415 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Yes | 11c | 2,369$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.34 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed Yes | 9c | 1,298$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.94 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf0…5e42backed Yes | 24c | 1,250$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29d3…b2edbacked Yes | 18c | 1,200$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 142 | 59.9%85 W · 57 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 6c | 904$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.3 | 30 | 0%0 W · 30 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 77c | 874.63$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.04 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked No | 72c | 703.01$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.81 | 179 | 48.6%87 W · 92 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 32c | 600$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.47 | 206 | 42.2%87 W · 119 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce6f…bd1dbacked Yes | 13c | 501.05$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 79c | 470$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.68 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x597d…b97dbacked Yes | 33c | 457.87$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 207 | 38.6%80 W · 127 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Yes | 9c | 421.17$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.91 | 170 | 23.5%40 W · 130 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed Yes | 28c | 399.99$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…a8f5backed Yes | 23c | 395.61$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.5 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 12c | 332.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.47 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 13c | 328.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 83 | 28.9%24 W · 59 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…efacbacked Yes | 7c | 318.16$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 10c | 299.84$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.99 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad9…0eaebacked No | 74c | 280.18$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.85 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 16c | 272.83$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.97 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x6a06…31d8backed Yes | 9c | 265.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 416 | 55.3%230 W · 186 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadf7…830fbacked Yes | 31c | 236.06$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fad…eee9backed Yes | 21c | 232.4$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.79 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 79c | 225$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.28 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 78c | 207.95$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.92 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…78e0backed Yes | 11c | 201.76$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce8…75f2backed Yes | 14c | 179.16$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 121 | 32.2%39 W · 82 L | -11.0wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Yes | 13c | 173.47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.55 | 702 | 36.6%257 W · 445 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 75c | 172.61$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.44 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Yes | 11c | 168.82$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 108 | 33.3%36 W · 72 L | -13.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 17c | 151.7$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.34 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -67%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabe5…d99abacked Yes | 14c | 147.27$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.13 | 386 | 49.5%191 W · 195 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe41…9f23backed Yes | 10c | 146.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf7…294abacked No | 72c | 138.96$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.96 | 68 | 63.2%43 W · 25 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 73c | 120$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.86 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7898…f40dbacked Yes | 17c | 115.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c62…0124backed Yes | 32c | 108$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.29 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 35cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04ed…172abacked Yes | 14c | 99.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 322 | 52.5%169 W · 153 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd75c…31b7backed Yes | 46c | 76.14$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 68c | 70.07$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.21 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7dd…12f0backed Yes | 31c | 64.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…7c29backed No | 66c | 54.02$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6643…0109backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d92…0aaabacked Yes | 44c | 45.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 80c | 43.4$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.79 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.76 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 63c | 27.68$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will LGD Gaming win BLAST Slam VII?this page
- OtherNo won
- Will Aurora win BLAST Slam VII?No won
- Will BetBoom Team win BLAST Slam VII?No won
- Will PARIVISION win BLAST Slam VII?No won
- Will Team Falcons win BLAST Slam VII?No won
- Will Team Liquid win BLAST Slam VII?No won
- Will Team Spirit win BLAST Slam VII?No won
- Will Team Yandex win BLAST Slam VII?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.