Dota2 · resolved market
Will Team Yandex win BLAST Slam VII?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5d2acef96224d5ad50e6e91035aff615e72eaa7f6279302246244b884e276dc2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,748
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,445
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,748 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Yes | 68c | 6,142$4,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,973.43 | 179 | 48.6%87 W · 92 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc694…1171backed No | 32c | 1,917$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.33 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 33c | 1,513$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.39 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 31c | 1,503$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.56 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…3964backed Yes | 69c | 1,500$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed No | 37c | 1,062$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.09 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 35c | 872.16$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.9 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82cf…3d55backed No | 33c | 856.23$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.56 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked No | 10c | 610.56$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a74…6cd2backed Yes | 69c | 609.12$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.91 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked Yes | 22c | 460.35$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.37 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 20c | 440$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Yes | 15c | 437.08$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.39 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 18c | 327.46$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.35 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…7f73backed Yes | 10c | 321.29$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.23 | 261 | 54.8%143 W · 118 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 13c | 316.44$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.3 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 36c | 301$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.1 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8bb…570bbacked Yes | 69c | 287.89$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.89 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 31c | 214.89$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.06 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…a8f5backed Yes | 57c | 208.03$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.75 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed No | 78c | 200$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed No | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 291 | 43.6%127 W · 164 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 25c | 195$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.82 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 27c | 183.45$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.97 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -27%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ed…172abacked Yes | 60c | 180.1$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.9 | 322 | 52.5%169 W · 153 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 33c | 179.63$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.52 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 43c | 162.76$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91a8…2db7backed Yes | 67c | 150$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 56 | 75%42 W · 14 L | +8.3wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +24%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 77c | 149.77$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.85 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -67%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd3…d057backed Yes | 70c | 142.65$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.65 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 35c | 140.66$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.95 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 62cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 34c | 138.15$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.73 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 23c | 124.59$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.13 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 78c | 106.23$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.86 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 32c | 106$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed No | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.37 | 83 | 28.9%24 W · 59 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 35c | 97.08$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa83f…b857backed Yes | 57c | 81$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.94 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 43c | 79.42$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.91 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 16c | 73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 31c | 70.06$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.72 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked Yes | 70c | 64.11$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.23 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 36c | 55.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…7c29backed No | 36c | 54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc318…d82abacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +92.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 40c | 49.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 53c | 35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a91…3eb7backed Yes | 70c | 34.19$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 68 | 66.2%45 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b6…51c0backed No | 31c | 33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 37c | 32.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80fa…e63abacked Yes | 40c | 24.84$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.83 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 378 | 32.5%123 W · 255 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 77c | 17.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 75cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Team Yandex win BLAST Slam VII?this page
- OtherNo won
- Will Aurora win BLAST Slam VII?No won
- Will BetBoom Team win BLAST Slam VII?No won
- Will LGD Gaming win BLAST Slam VII?No won
- Will PARIVISION win BLAST Slam VII?No won
- Will Team Falcons win BLAST Slam VII?No won
- Will Team Liquid win BLAST Slam VII?No won
- Will Team Spirit win BLAST Slam VII?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.