Dota2 · resolved market
Other
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x87162b2f9cb359a4f907ffbdcc437a39cd08b5f9a41d49a74993807c393002c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,958
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,120
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,958 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Yes | 5c | 1,249$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.74 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed Yes | 8c | 491$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.26 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 6c | 423.51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.14 | 196 | 43.9%86 W · 110 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd594…9d1bbacked Yes | 33c | 275$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed Yes | 8c | 210.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Yes | 6c | 207.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 8c | 200$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed Yes | 9c | 200$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 7c | 193$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 68c | 145$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.16 | 165 | 53.3%88 W · 77 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 58c | 78.1$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.58 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09fe…76eebacked No | 64c | 36.9$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x319b…f04ebacked Yes | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Otherthis page
- Will Aurora win BLAST Slam VII?No won
- Will BetBoom Team win BLAST Slam VII?No won
- Will LGD Gaming win BLAST Slam VII?No won
- Will PARIVISION win BLAST Slam VII?No won
- Will Team Falcons win BLAST Slam VII?No won
- Will Team Liquid win BLAST Slam VII?No won
- Will Team Spirit win BLAST Slam VII?No won
- Will Team Yandex win BLAST Slam VII?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.