Dota2 · resolved market
Will Team Falcons win BLAST Slam VII?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xecd969f433cf6d8ea76e1f91193dc700717aefc7f5b5163ce28d7e6a0976b8c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,488
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,309
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,488 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Yes | 17c | 729.19$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.7 | 179 | 48.6%87 W · 92 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed Yes | 12c | 423.98$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.88 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…7f73backed Yes | 10c | 316$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.48 | 261 | 54.8%143 W · 118 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 4c | 253.94$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 30 | 0%0 W · 30 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa487…9439backed No | 73c | 239.73$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Yes | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 170 | 23.5%40 W · 130 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yes | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 126 | 42.1%53 W · 73 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ed…172abacked Yes | 12c | 149.21$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.91 | 322 | 52.5%169 W · 153 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Yes | 23c | 141.85$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.97 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed Yes | 27c | 119.73$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Yes | 21c | 104.22$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.89 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 78c | 32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.98 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 75cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 76c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.84 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Team Falcons win BLAST Slam VII?this page
- OtherNo won
- Will Aurora win BLAST Slam VII?No won
- Will BetBoom Team win BLAST Slam VII?No won
- Will LGD Gaming win BLAST Slam VII?No won
- Will PARIVISION win BLAST Slam VII?No won
- Will Team Liquid win BLAST Slam VII?No won
- Will Team Spirit win BLAST Slam VII?No won
- Will Team Yandex win BLAST Slam VII?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.