Dota2 · resolved market
Will BetBoom Team win BLAST Slam VII?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaffcbad4c5787455f9a494976ed8478862e3d68f9c8730a9f9f5aaac92755af0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,443
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,841
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,443 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4574…273dbacked Yes | 21c | 1,550$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.5 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | -13.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0a74…6cd2backed Yes | 31c | 1,282$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.03 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 79c | 1,135$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.57 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 77c | 1,108$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.9 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29d3…b2edbacked No | 63c | 999.66$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.86 | 142 | 59.9%85 W · 57 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 7c | 725.21$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.37 | 30 | 0%0 W · 30 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Yes | 16c | 659.99$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.5 | 170 | 23.5%40 W · 130 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Yes | 16c | 490.01$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.2 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Yes | 38c | 325$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.5 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…7f73backed Yes | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 261 | 54.8%143 W · 118 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x589a…8dc5backed Yes | 27c | 216.76$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.92 | 204 | 42.2%86 W · 118 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 79c | 141$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.36 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 77c | 140.66$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.8 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 62cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce8…75f2backed Yes | 33c | 135.5$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 121 | 32.2%39 W · 82 L | -11.0wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed No | 68c | 134.72$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed No | 72c | 124.89$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.21 | 83 | 28.9%24 W · 59 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 79c | 115$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.13 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd439…21d3backed Yes | 29c | 93.1$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 316 | 44.9%142 W · 174 L | -18.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 77c | 93$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 78c | 92.47$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.92 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…5603backed Yes | 48c | 90.2$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.6 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 74c | 88.97$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.13 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -67%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 73c | 82.64$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.7 | 108 | 33.3%36 W · 72 L | -13.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xee6b…e9d8backed Yes | 13c | 80$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x524f…fe2fbacked Yes | 23c | 79.78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.35 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 78c | 73.14$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.43 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49f2…d7b4backed Yes | 23c | 73.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d60…6df2backed No | 62c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 68c | 57.77$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc318…d82abacked No | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +92.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 79c | 33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x319b…f04ebacked Yes | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 78c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 75cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 378 | 32.5%123 W · 255 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed No | 75c | 19.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.78 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 76c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.26 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 76c | 15.74$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will BetBoom Team win BLAST Slam VII?this page
- OtherNo won
- Will Aurora win BLAST Slam VII?No won
- Will LGD Gaming win BLAST Slam VII?No won
- Will PARIVISION win BLAST Slam VII?No won
- Will Team Falcons win BLAST Slam VII?No won
- Will Team Liquid win BLAST Slam VII?No won
- Will Team Spirit win BLAST Slam VII?No won
- Will Team Yandex win BLAST Slam VII?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.