CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e95e411ebc8cc37f629f7ff549f0b70b1f611627ca546a26e8be83c293a5309
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Legacyof MOUZ, Legacy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,221
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,937
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,221 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed MOUZ | 42c | 14,851$6,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,285.98 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked MOUZ | 0c | 13,161$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf559…f462backed Legacy | 57c | 5,358$3,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,303.98 | 190 | 55.8%106 W · 84 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Legacy | 59c | 4,877$2,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,999.57 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd87…ac38backed MOUZ | 38c | 3,761$1,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,445.48 | 100 | 47%47 W · 53 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e5…d034backed MOUZ | 43c | 3,731$1,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,604.21 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Legacy | 56c | 3,657$2,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,609.07 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…ba33backed Legacy | 57c | 2,339$1,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005.69 | 165 | 46.7%77 W · 88 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Legacy | 57c | 2,241$1,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.48 | 500 | 54.4%272 W · 228 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked Legacy | 57c | 1,958$1,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.12 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Legacy | 70c | 1,550$1,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.59 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Legacy | 57c | 1,200$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516 | 467 | 49.7%232 W · 235 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Legacy | 56c | 1,136$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.84 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83b3…b3a2backed MOUZ | 44c | 1,098$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.02 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc0…6139backed Legacy | 57c | 800$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked MOUZ | 43c | 775.72$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.56 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed MOUZ | 44c | 773.12$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.17 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Legacy | 63c | 694.63$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.29 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9959…c137backed MOUZ | 43c | 684.33$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.59 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Legacy | 55c | 435.88$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.15 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c70…9a6cbacked MOUZ | 34c | 363.21$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.21 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…968cbacked Legacy | 57c | 350.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.81 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Legacy | 68c | 312.92$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.33 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ff…abd0backed MOUZ | 42c | 299.96$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.98 | 386 | 50.8%196 W · 190 L | +11.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ac…0e0bbacked Legacy | 71c | 293.38$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.02 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972f…65bdbacked Legacy | 57c | 256.37$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.24 | 391 | 57.5%225 W · 166 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ea…59a1backed Legacy | 57c | 239.28$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.89 | 192 | 38%73 W · 119 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…3c9cbacked Legacy | 57c | 238.85$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.71 | 286 | 57.7%165 W · 121 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked MOUZ | 44c | 222.27$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.8 | 583 | 43.6%254 W · 329 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed MOUZ | 44c | 219.64$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.64 | 965 | 45.7%441 W · 524 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed MOUZ | 45c | 217.58$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.91 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89eb…cff9backed MOUZ | 45c | 215.13$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.7 | 364 | 50.3%183 W · 181 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed MOUZ | 31c | 194.54$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.38 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed MOUZ | 43c | 164.64$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.25 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb337…5589backed MOUZ | 43c | 150$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 110 | 50.9%56 W · 54 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…1fe3backed MOUZ | 46c | 147.08$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.65 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b5…5b6abacked MOUZ | 44c | 140.83$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.97 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +201.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x292d…1321backed Legacy | 58c | 128.22$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +88.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x133c…b5abbacked Legacy | 77c | 121.4$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.44 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -10.2wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed MOUZ | 43c | 112$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.16 | 183 | 52.5%96 W · 87 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08f1…705cbacked MOUZ | 45c | 100.57$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.3 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…ea90backed Legacy | 56c | 99.98$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.99 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked MOUZ | 44c | 86.98$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.27 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a9…9167backed Legacy | 58c | 85.74$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.01 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd68d…1f62backed Legacy | 57c | 85.46$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.75 | 254 | 46.1%117 W · 137 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Legacy | 68c | 84.8$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.23 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed MOUZ | 28c | 78.56$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.86 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf0…e384backed Legacy | 57c | 76.91$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.07 | 331 | 53.5%177 W · 154 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab05…52e9backed MOUZ | 44c | 71.25$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.35 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf52f…b2f5backed Legacy | 58c | 70.61$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.65 | 73 | 64.4%47 W · 26 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…84ecbacked Legacy | 57c | 68.19$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.32 | 488 | 45.7%223 W · 265 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed MOUZ | 46c | 62.89$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.93 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6018…f21bbacked MOUZ | 44c | 62.82$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.64 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d92…68e8backed MOUZ | 43c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -5.8wins | -0.17per pick | 43cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd1…3f34backed MOUZ | 25c | 58.34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x384d…d538backed MOUZ | 43c | 55.57$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c5…b613backed MOUZ | 46c | 55.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.37 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked Legacy | 57c | 51.27$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0b…4db0backed Legacy | 57c | 51.27$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed MOUZ | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked MOUZ | 27c | 44.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 270 | 15.2%41 W · 229 L | -41.9wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked MOUZ | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 821 | 46.3%380 W · 441 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed MOUZ | 33c | 36.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc671…b0c7backed Legacy | 57c | 34.18$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0d2…1fbfbacked MOUZ | 45c | 32.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe07b…b7c9backed Legacy | 58c | 30.7$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.89 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c8…24dcbacked MOUZ | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc313…6645backed Legacy | 57c | 29.23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.57 | 226 | 51.3%116 W · 110 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…2561backed MOUZ | 44c | 28.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf26…0416backed Legacy | 57c | 25.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x656e…9339backed MOUZ | 43c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 418 | 48.8%204 W · 214 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…b45fbacked Legacy | 57c | 23.86$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe679…7662backed Legacy | 58c | 22.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4985…dce4backed Legacy | 74c | 21.28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.53 | 135 | 45.9%62 W · 73 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group BMOUZ won
- Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MOUZ - Map 1 WinnerLegacy won
- Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MOUZ - Map 2 WinnerMOUZ won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 2: Odd/Even Total Rounds?Odd won
- Map 3: Odd/Even Total Rounds?Odd won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.