CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf64f04890883c493a9b273e49a365b206feea2873313692a0d5b80cf9c66be3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,050
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,904
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,050 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Under | 54c | 2,052$1,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,098.26 | 238 | 51.7%123 W · 115 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Over | 47c | 1,694$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905.64 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 36c | 1,334$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.26 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…446dbacked Over | 46c | 631.92$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.66 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.6wins | -0.22per pick | 54cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 54c | 600$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Under | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 611 | 54.7%334 W · 277 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecc9…4df4backed Over | 45c | 429.78$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.38 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Under | 51c | 348.25$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.23 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Over | 56c | 290.38$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.47 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Under | 34c | 240$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.6 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Under | 58c | 208.96$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.54 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Over | 42c | 193.04$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.96 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed Under | 55c | 149.47$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.8 | 1,485 | 58%862 W · 623 L | +66.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe07b…b7c9backed Over | 34c | 148.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.26 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0c…3ccebacked Under | 39c | 130.74$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.14 | 416 | 40.6%169 W · 247 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3c…a34abacked Over | 46c | 105.17$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.79 | 264 | 43.2%114 W · 150 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Under | 43c | 99.68$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.37 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 54c | 87.49$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.24 | 388 | 48.5%188 W · 200 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xece0…1754backed Over | 53c | 80.68$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.92 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…eb8ebacked Over | 44c | 68.32$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.26 | 812 | 46.2%375 W · 437 L | -35.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9855…b244backed Under | 41c | 55.84$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.17 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf5…e7c3backed Under | 65c | 50.89$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.08 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 67c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 55c | 47.67$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.21 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd31a…28f5backed Over | 46c | 42.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdcab…b9bbbacked Under | 50c | 40.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.34 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 53c | 34.59$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.43 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…84ecbacked Over | 46c | 32.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.77 | 488 | 45.7%223 W · 265 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Under | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 89 | 33.7%30 W · 59 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…453fbacked Under | 50c | 29.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 149 | 40.3%60 W · 89 L | -10.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked Over | 46c | 25.24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe303…401abacked Over | 50c | 25.22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe89e…7219backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 69c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 406 | 35.7%145 W · 261 L | -33.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -31%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group BMOUZ won
- Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MOUZ - Map 1 WinnerLegacy won
- Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MOUZ - Map 2 WinnerMOUZ won
- Map 2: Odd/Even Total Rounds?Odd won
- Map 3: Odd/Even Total Rounds?Odd won
- Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)Legacy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.