TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Map Handicap: B8 (-1.5) vs Passion UA (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
B8of B8, Passion UA
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$881,023
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,212,947

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $881,023 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x63a5…8e33backed B846c338,386$154,792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183,594.033438.2%13 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Passion UA54c213,255$115,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115,157.5322049.1%108 W · 112 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Passion UA52c100,000$52,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52,5005742.1%24 W · 33 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Passion UA56c31,967$17,882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,881.8125842.2%109 W · 149 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Passion UA55c25,000$13,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,749.9533043.3%143 W · 187 L+1.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked B846c21,035$9,676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,358.774738.3%18 W · 29 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-30.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed B846c21,035$9,676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,358.778552.9%45 W · 40 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Passion UA53c14,616$7,747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,746.5236152.6%190 W · 171 L+13.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed Passion UA56c9,000$5,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0408043.8%35 W · 45 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Passion UA55c4,451$2,448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,447.9712552.8%66 W · 59 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa048…dd23backed Passion UA55c3,150$1,732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,732.54032.5%13 W · 27 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4e5…d034backed Passion UA55c2,789$1,538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,538.0413044.6%58 W · 72 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed B845c2,583$1,151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,432.555947.5%28 W · 31 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed B845c2,186$984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,202.4421351.2%109 W · 104 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed B845c2,186$984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,202.4424544.5%109 W · 136 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0636…c529backed Passion UA55c1,500$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8256126.2%16 W · 45 L-9.7wins-0.16per pick42cpaid-21.6%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed Passion UA54c1,457$787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$786.7711655.2%64 W · 52 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed B845c1,074$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$590.942347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Passion UA57c962.72$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.5416047.5%76 W · 84 L+0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Passion UA55c777$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.351,14649.4%566 W · 580 L+17.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe757…c161backed B845c765.82$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.31936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Passion UA54c757.67$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.373,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc58a…b8f8backed Passion UA56c738.92$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.173638.9%14 W · 22 L-5.3wins-0.15per pick54cpaid-25.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked B847c726.38$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.2310252%53 W · 49 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a75…fc33backed B846c631.16$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.884940.8%20 W · 29 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed B843c599.99$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.995,87637.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L+71.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972f…65bdbacked B841c470.54$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.6239157.5%225 W · 166 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked B845c429.78$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.384450%22 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd68…ca27backed B847c412.63$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2191540%6 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c70…9a6cbacked B846c368.11$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.785137.3%19 W · 32 L-4.7wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-20.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcef4…22e0backed B865c359.05$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.77972.2%57 W · 22 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xceed…f8eebacked B845c333$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.1517853.9%96 W · 82 L+0.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed B848c324.71$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.6696945.6%442 W · 527 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2986…763bbacked Passion UA54c312.2$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.975648.2%27 W · 29 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Passion UA48c254.11$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.971,57335.3%556 W · 1,017 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5968…3fc4backed Passion UA56c249$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.4416661.4%102 W · 64 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed B846c227.2$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.351,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b1c…2a3ebacked B846c215.54$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.3918443.5%80 W · 104 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked B845c214.89$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.195261.5%32 W · 20 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Passion UA57c211.97$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.2327556.7%156 W · 119 L+14.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed B839c193.96$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.9838848.5%188 W · 200 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c3e…5329backed B846c193.52$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.57853.8%42 W · 36 L+7.0wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+25.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Passion UA56c173.86$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.3614843.9%65 W · 83 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c7e…8301backed B845c150.85$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.971921.1%4 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick34cpaid-56.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe4dd…4f27backed Passion UA54c145$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.350947%239 W · 270 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed B846c125.47$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.071526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.14per pick41cpaid-48.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a0c…3ccebacked Passion UA51c118.19$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.841640.6%169 W · 247 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa30f…90c2backed Passion UA51c113.25$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.35154.9%28 W · 23 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked B845c107.44$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.096058.3%35 W · 25 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked B845c107.44$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.099758.8%57 W · 40 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e4a…fcd8backed B847c101.46$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.928350.6%42 W · 41 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8433…9738backed Passion UA56c97.36$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.52616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.35per pick51cpaid-72.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed B821c92.84$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.61,37845.2%623 W · 755 L+17.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked B845c85.96$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.287252.8%38 W · 34 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99be…3622backed Passion UA56c85.37$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.039758.8%57 W · 40 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x56c4…fce5backed Passion UA75c78.81$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.110852.8%57 W · 51 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30ab…f338backed Passion UA58c71.44$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.165149%25 W · 26 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61dd…29d8backed B846c67.61$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.681844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x40b3…9ef3backed B852c65.61$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.328053.8%43 W · 37 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b73…174ebacked B845c61.52$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.844841.7%20 W · 28 L-4.4wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-21.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7cbc…b637backed B843c60$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.262938.3%241 W · 388 L-17.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc046…4020backed B846c58.06$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.35475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+27.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbaff…eaf6backed B845c54.24$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.832133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-25.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdcdd…6d55backed B845c53.72$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.554852.1%25 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62ff…ec56backed Passion UA54c52.33$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.266756.7%38 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9744…cab4backed B847c51.7$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.511346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f3a…dda2backed B845c50.07$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.371127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick39cpaid+3.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xecd8…560ebacked B845c45.13$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.82366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+37%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8190…27b4backed B844c43.93$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.65164.7%33 W · 18 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0cc7…9194backed Passion UA56c43.71$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.489251.1%47 W · 45 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf4f…63f3backed B845c42.06$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.9210856.5%61 W · 47 L-0.5wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f6d…83c6backed B846c41.87$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.661225%3 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-57.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcd00…7a45backed B835c41.53$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.1231757.7%183 W · 134 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd155…8250backed B847c40.29$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.369860.2%59 W · 39 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6018…f21bbacked B844c39.53$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.146446.9%30 W · 34 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb223…3772backed Passion UA58c39.11$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.517542.7%32 W · 43 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed B827c38.84$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.22,45644.5%1,093 W · 1,363 L-67.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c79…0e13backed Passion UA55c38.7$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c50…89b6backed B864c38.22$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.7618061.7%111 W · 69 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Passion UA53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011553%61 W · 54 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a14…cab1backed Passion UA43c37.25$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick40cpaid-70%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2913…d241backed B846c34.47$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.71850%9 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c5f…8eadbacked Passion UA74c33.26$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.612147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0fc…0ef5backed B844c32.95$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.458359%49 W · 34 L+6.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x59eb…ae8cbacked Passion UA49c32.88$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.243844.7%17 W · 21 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+18.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Passion UA45c32.45$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7429555.3%163 W · 132 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x97a8…078dbacked B846c31.26$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.768749.4%43 W · 44 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfef0…5092backed B875c30.25$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.591070%7 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x92b5…2defbacked B845c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.580741.3%333 W · 474 L-10.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Passion UA53c29.8$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7976248.4%369 W · 393 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b38…698dbacked Passion UA58c25.78$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.851855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd533…d6a1backed B844c24.16$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.5340340.4%163 W · 240 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe564…221abacked B846c23.14$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.491,08731.9%347 W · 740 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe748…bc49backed Passion UA48c23.08$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0813247%62 W · 70 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf39…591ebacked Passion UA58c23.01$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.251450%7 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe549…ea83backed B852c22.41$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.7632561.2%199 W · 126 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Passion UA61c21.62$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1964439.8%256 W · 388 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c47…2e55backed Passion UA54c21.41$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6524447.1%115 W · 129 L+11.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4bb0…e845backed Passion UA55c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+52.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.