CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb8df181b25d88c80b043451366ec80a91c744a94113799923b82dd07be61d679
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,909
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,975
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,909 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Under | 58c | 974.79$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.59 | 535 | 45%241 W · 294 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Over | 42c | 368.44$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.74 | 1,089 | 50.9%554 W · 535 L | +38.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Under | 56c | 310.68$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.7 | 238 | 51.7%123 W · 115 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 49c | 307.53$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.31 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Over | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 1,041 | 39.9%415 W · 626 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ea…59a1backed Over | 44c | 285.53$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.63 | 192 | 38%73 W · 119 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3488…54c2backed Over | 45c | 279.36$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.71 | 148 | 56.1%83 W · 65 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Over | 48c | 250$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.75 | 3,236 | 51.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L | +88.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 50c | 228.52$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.86 | 388 | 48.5%188 W · 200 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 43c | 217.19$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.39 | 815 | 44.4%362 W · 453 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 56c | 205.08$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.46 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 60c | 177.32$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.89 | 1,659 | 32.7%542 W · 1,117 L | -49.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Over | 44c | 86.98$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.27 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 39c | 67.62$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.2 | 2,456 | 44.5%1,093 W · 1,363 L | -67.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Over | 46c | 38.24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.59 | 559 | 50.3%281 W · 278 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Under | 48c | 33.93$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.77 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b1…b470backed Over | 45c | 32.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60b8…d47dbacked Over | 56c | 26.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 608 | 57.2%348 W · 260 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec3b…fbabbacked Under | 57c | 25.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Under | 50c | 20.38$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.19 | 225 | 34.2%77 W · 148 L | -19.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3c…a34abacked Under | 62c | 19.54$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.43 | 264 | 43.2%114 W · 150 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: B8 vs Passion UA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group BB8 won
- Counter-Strike: B8 vs Passion UA - Map 1 WinnerB8 won
- Counter-Strike: B8 vs Passion UA - Map 2 WinnerB8 won
- Map Handicap: B8 (-1.5) vs Passion UA (+1.5)B8 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.