CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Passion UA - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e0b276a36e416799faf77abccd620ac16979200e5bdcc9e7dfce5eb49934577
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- B8of B8, Passion UA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $85,831
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $94,331
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,831 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Passion UA | 24c | 22,944$5,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,576.61 | 307 | 26.4%81 W · 226 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed B8 | 71c | 15,002$10,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,350.71 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Passion UA | 9c | 7,992$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.75 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed B8 | 74c | 7,346$5,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,940.65 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked Passion UA | 27c | 4,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 214 | 24.8%53 W · 161 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0636…c529backed Passion UA | 28c | 2,900$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.99 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -9.7wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e5…d034backed Passion UA | 28c | 2,211$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.1 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Passion UA | 5c | 2,200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 496 | 46.6%231 W · 265 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed B8 | 72c | 2,048$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.53 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Passion UA | 23c | 1,786$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.5 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Passion UA | 25c | 1,624$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.85 | 392 | 48.7%191 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked B8 | 72c | 1,577$1,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.52 | 789 | 63.8%503 W · 286 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5c84backed B8 | 70c | 1,401$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.43 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Passion UA | 27c | 1,219$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.9 | 512 | 52.3%268 W · 244 L | +16.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed B8 | 70c | 1,100$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 461 | 49.9%230 W · 231 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Passion UA | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaea…1282backed B8 | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a96…4e13backed B8 | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 223 | 58.7%131 W · 92 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Passion UA | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed B8 | 70c | 913.33$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274 | 467 | 49.7%232 W · 235 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x634a…6de3backed B8 | 72c | 884.88$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.77 | 426 | 51.6%220 W · 206 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked B8 | 75c | 877.15$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.34 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x135f…528cbacked Passion UA | 30c | 874.97$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.49 | 82 | 32.9%27 W · 55 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2978…4a1cbacked B8 | 72c | 694.73$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.71 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Passion UA | 26c | 646.48$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.09 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Passion UA | 28c | 597.75$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.82 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked B8 | 73c | 551.46$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.89 | 648 | 52%337 W · 311 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Passion UA | 29c | 514.08$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.08 | 178 | 49.4%88 W · 90 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2757…55f0backed Passion UA | 8c | 462.01$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.96 | 246 | 41.9%103 W · 143 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b63…4acdbacked B8 | 72c | 449$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.72 | 139 | 52.5%73 W · 66 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Passion UA | 19c | 257.87$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.63 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked B8 | 75c | 250.81$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.56 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61af…aa01backed B8 | 72c | 250$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 193 | 62.2%120 W · 73 L | -16.0wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed B8 | 73c | 245.95$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.41 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Passion UA | 15c | 237.37$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.32 | 85 | 15.3%13 W · 72 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c27…6964backed B8 | 71c | 208.59$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.24 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed B8 | 72c | 196.64$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.06 | 260 | 75%195 W · 65 L | +23.6wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Passion UA | 12c | 193.29$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.59 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe4dd…4f27backed Passion UA | 26c | 191.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.69 | 509 | 47%239 W · 270 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Passion UA | 29c | 187.86$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.56 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed B8 | 72c | 176.3$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.05 | 573 | 58.8%337 W · 236 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Passion UA | 18c | 168.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.37 | 870 | 47.9%417 W · 453 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1a…d790backed Passion UA | 29c | 152.8$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.31 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…a8cfbacked B8 | 73c | 144.46$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.69 | 250 | 70.8%177 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Passion UA | 26c | 139.72$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.98 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked B8 | 71c | 134.52$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.01 | 760 | 58%441 W · 319 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed B8 | 69c | 125.81$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 754 | 50.5%381 W · 373 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa485…92a5backed B8 | 72c | 119.61$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.49 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Passion UA | 9c | 118.06$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bd…5f54backed Passion UA | 15c | 106.16$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 93 | 38.7%36 W · 57 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed B8 | 69c | 101.09$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.34 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd030…5adfbacked B8 | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 25 | 80%20 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…3b7dbacked B8 | 72c | 98.32$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.53 | 318 | 52.8%168 W · 150 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…fc74backed Passion UA | 31c | 98.26$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.58 | 308 | 31.2%96 W · 212 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b2…70f0backed Passion UA | 12c | 94.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 428 | 31.3%134 W · 294 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed B8 | 72c | 81.32$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.77 | 130 | 58.5%76 W · 54 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed Passion UA | 29c | 69.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.11 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed B8 | 73c | 64.82$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…a1f1backed Passion UA | 28c | 64.55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.07 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbc…b637backed B8 | 72c | 59.97$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.79 | 625 | 38.6%241 W · 384 L | -16.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf6…0d60backed B8 | 72c | 58.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.52 | 124 | 39.5%49 W · 75 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…9867backed B8 | 73c | 55.1$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 587 | 55.9%328 W · 259 L | +24.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed B8 | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked Passion UA | 28c | 47.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 109 | 50.5%55 W · 54 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Passion UA | 28c | 47.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 260 | 37.3%97 W · 163 L | -17.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Passion UA | 28c | 47.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 225 | 34.2%77 W · 148 L | -19.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Passion UA | 27c | 43.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 567 | 32.5%184 W · 383 L | -30.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2831…5473backed B8 | 72c | 37$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 109 | 69.7%76 W · 33 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked B8 | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed B8 | 79c | 29.93$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.42 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5076…e15dbacked B8 | 70c | 28.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 317 | 59.9%190 W · 127 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8668…c3ffbacked B8 | 70c | 28.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -37%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf3…1eabbacked B8 | 72c | 27.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 248 | 41.1%102 W · 146 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81c1…8cf3backed B8 | 71c | 26.09$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.57 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe245…3bc8backed B8 | 70c | 23.85$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.15 | 217 | 56.7%123 W · 94 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…f194backed B8 | 70c | 21.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.31 | 186 | 43.5%81 W · 105 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61ad…a0c8backed B8 | 72c | 17.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.97 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: B8 vs Passion UA - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: B8 vs Passion UA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group BB8 won
- Counter-Strike: B8 vs Passion UA - Map 1 WinnerB8 won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: B8 (-1.5) vs Passion UA (+1.5)B8 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.