Fifa International · resolved market
Argentina to win the second half?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa893f1d94baf2aaf07f67147da257d0689062558d35f1cb797f607642e24b4f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $96,522
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $95,205
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,522 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 49c | 40,432$19,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,771.67 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…b7aabacked No | 51c | 19,294$9,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,456.29 | 80 | 57.5%46 W · 34 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 39c | 11,869$4,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,575.74 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x969a…59ddbacked No | 52c | 11,236$5,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,393.28 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked No | 58c | 9,355$5,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,919.76 | 580 | 49.1%285 W · 295 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked No | 52c | 8,667$4,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,145.73 | 188 | 48.9%92 W · 96 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 39c | 8,425$3,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,289.42 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4436…d11abacked No | 51c | 4,900$2,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400.99 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Yes | 1c | 3,935$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.35 | 413 | 31%128 W · 285 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd273…17eabacked Yes | 11c | 2,543$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.06 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 49c | 2,398$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,174.89 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f46…9097backed No | 53c | 2,028$1,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.12 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 52c | 1,721$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.64 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed No | 59c | 1,658$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.88 | 534 | 48.5%259 W · 275 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4f…88f0backed No | 51c | 1,545$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.2 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdb…92dbbacked Yes | 42c | 1,489$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.24 | 53 | 26.4%14 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab65…4a03backed No | 50c | 1,291$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.27 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed06…72e7backed No | 50c | 1,230$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked No | 50c | 1,048$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.53 | 1,240 | 43.7%542 W · 698 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5952…db2fbacked Yes | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 118 | 26.3%31 W · 87 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed No | 51c | 977.19$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.15 | 362 | 50%181 W · 181 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b2…8e7dbacked Yes | 51c | 905.94$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.79 | 127 | 40.9%52 W · 75 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdd…e70ebacked No | 50c | 800.93$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.47 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 16c | 775.81$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.52 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf110…218ebacked Yes | 48c | 608.68$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.15 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 55c | 600.32$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.56 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f0…3206backed No | 50c | 562.32$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.16 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12c4…ff8cbacked No | 56c | 499.55$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.36 | 146 | 55.5%81 W · 65 L | +8.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 51c | 490$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.1 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 51c | 490$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.1 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 51c | 489.96$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.08 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd3…74d4backed Yes | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9702…7c65backed No | 50c | 469.13$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.13 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.23per pick | 64cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52dc…4610backed Yes | 46c | 464.27$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.52 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes | 46c | 434$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.59 | 235 | 40.4%95 W · 140 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabad…f40bbacked No | 52c | 401.09$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.73 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…b70cbacked Yes | 38c | 380.9$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.8 | 204 | 27%55 W · 149 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3874…30f2backed Yes | 43c | 348.84$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 108 | 32.4%35 W · 73 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e19…270abacked Yes | 37c | 310$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.6 | 251 | 38.6%97 W · 154 L | -16.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b2…3d80backed No | 53c | 302.86$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.81 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 51c | 298.79$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.4 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 51c | 282.75$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.11 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d39…a150backed Yes | 5c | 264.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 49 | 18.4%9 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5970…11f2backed Yes | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58be…4504backed Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76fb…5ef5backed No | 51c | 213.53$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.63 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes | 17c | 212.67$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.15 | 1,114 | 49.4%550 W · 564 L | +57.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…fa8dbacked Yes | 48c | 206.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 235 | 54.9%129 W · 106 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 50c | 184.19$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.1 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1901…31cebacked Yes | 50c | 180$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 127 | 63%80 W · 47 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes | 17c | 178.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 75c | 161.65$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.36 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac2…062abacked Yes | 19c | 156.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.49 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Yes | 47c | 156$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.32 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…0b7dbacked Yes | 51c | 155.62$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | -13.8wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -41%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe384…e24cbacked Yes | 45c | 143.11$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.4 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Yes | 23c | 140$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 586 | 42.8%251 W · 335 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3968…85b5backed No | 77c | 140$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | +20.4wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 28c | 133.63$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.91 | 757 | 29.3%222 W · 535 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Yes | 48c | 133.55$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.75 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6a…681dbacked No | 52c | 130$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaee3…b16bbacked Yes | 42c | 123.45$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.85 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 60c | 116.98$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.27 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Yes | 17c | 111.76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 855 | 50.6%433 W · 422 L | +54.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf59f…6413backed Yes | 19c | 99.74$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd8d…50bcbacked Yes | 50c | 99.66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3900…fb4ebacked Yes | 41c | 94.15$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.6 | 237 | 29.5%70 W · 167 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 24c | 93.58$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.63 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9137…971cbacked Yes | 44c | 86.51$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.41 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcef…c9cebacked Yes | 39c | 81.92$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.9 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c15…9a45backed No | 61c | 81.55$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.67 | 363 | 50.1%182 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70bd…3ecfbacked Yes | 41c | 80.49$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 162 | 30.2%49 W · 113 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed No | 51c | 68.6$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.7 | 481 | 54.9%264 W · 217 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c3…64c2backed Yes | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -30%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yes | 49c | 66.19$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.43 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1946…6367backed No | 50c | 65.55$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.78 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf1…2960backed Yes | 48c | 59.4$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.51 | 165 | 31.5%52 W · 113 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x669e…5a38backed Yes | 50c | 57.44$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked No | 48c | 53.52$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.83 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed No | 79c | 47.61$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 201 | 86.1%173 W · 28 L | +46.2wins | +0.23per pick | 63cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3c…2477backed Yes | 42c | 45.81$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfae1…fdc1backed No | 49c | 44.95$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.92 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48c9…a894backed Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c6…7516backed Yes | 42c | 42.86$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Yes | 49c | 42.76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.95 | 383 | 29.8%114 W · 269 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8b…418ebacked Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +52%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1853…6c81backed Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e2…2964backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 235 | 50.2%118 W · 117 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97d…3874backed Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 103 | 18.4%19 W · 84 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9d…2269backed No | 51c | 35.94$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.54 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…9c1cbacked Yes | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed No | 51c | 33.64$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.48 | 617 | 52%321 W · 296 L | -13.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 51c | 33.61$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.47 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ab2…104cbacked Yes | 42c | 33.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4358…3e76backed No | 51c | 32.77$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.94 | 210 | 51.4%108 W · 102 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed No | 50c | 30.82$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.29 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…c18cbacked Yes | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +192.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6758…baecbacked Yes | 46c | 30.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +21%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 50c | 29.82$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0742…2969backed Yes | 49c | 29.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Argentina to win the second half?this page
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: Second half draw?No won
- Switzerland to win the second half?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.