MLB · resolved market
Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6cef31d5ee77998414f153f243df8b6c62c25d41610cb476580eabcb0eb28bee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- San Diego Padresof San Diego Padres, Colorado Rockies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $487,652
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $490,065
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $487,652 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x63a5…8e33backed San Diego Padres | 45c | 405,335$181,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223,556.75 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Colorado Rockies | 55c | 142,026$78,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78,114.3 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Colorado Rockies | 56c | 100,000$56,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56,000 | 210 | 40%84 W · 126 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Colorado Rockies | 55c | 70,000$38,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,500 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Colorado Rockies | 55c | 54,500$29,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,975 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Colorado Rockies | 54c | 25,573$13,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,920.41 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked San Diego Padres | 45c | 21,489$9,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,818.89 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Colorado Rockies | 55c | 21,163$11,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,639.79 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Colorado Rockies | 55c | 16,512$9,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,070.72 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed San Diego Padres | 45c | 7,253$3,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,988.88 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked Colorado Rockies | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,750 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Colorado Rockies | 55c | 3,506$1,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,932.21 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Colorado Rockies | 56c | 2,947$1,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,640.43 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Colorado Rockies | 56c | 2,796$1,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,565.86 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc58a…b8f8backed Colorado Rockies | 57c | 1,708$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.39 | 135 | 49.6%67 W · 68 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf879…820ebacked San Diego Padres | 38c | 1,241$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.44 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed San Diego Padres | 22c | 1,068$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.17 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Colorado Rockies | 71c | 1,060$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.96 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed San Diego Padres | 42c | 879.4$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.2 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9a77…4fcfbacked San Diego Padres | 25c | 776.67$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.71 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a8…95b7backed Colorado Rockies | 73c | 703.34$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.42 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf16…9c6fbacked Colorado Rockies | 56c | 687.48$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.99 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Colorado Rockies | 66c | 577.44$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.58 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed Colorado Rockies | 56c | 538.38$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 308 | 44.2%136 W · 172 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked San Diego Padres | 45c | 537.22$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.47 | 133 | 61.7%82 W · 51 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Colorado Rockies | 66c | 531.14$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.24 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Colorado Rockies | 55c | 459.81$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.61 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed San Diego Padres | 44c | 439.27$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.99 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7c…8eabbacked San Diego Padres | 44c | 439.27$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.99 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe226…95a5backed San Diego Padres | 44c | 439.27$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.99 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Colorado Rockies | 57c | 403.68$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.1 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Colorado Rockies | 56c | 397.44$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.27 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed San Diego Padres | 79c | 363.87$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.82 | 781 | 46.4%362 W · 419 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked San Diego Padres | 22c | 350.93$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.77 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed San Diego Padres | 17c | 325.01$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.1 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed San Diego Padres | 44c | 307.49$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.19 | 664 | 48.2%320 W · 344 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Colorado Rockies | 59c | 303.54$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.03 | 157 | 53.5%84 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x363d…fe75backed San Diego Padres | 33c | 292.12$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.15 | 212 | 42.5%90 W · 122 L | -13.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ac…5e19backed San Diego Padres | 35c | 274.57$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.47 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked San Diego Padres | 18c | 268.19$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.32 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81a4…da1fbacked Colorado Rockies | 54c | 253.53$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.18 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce9…9c2dbacked San Diego Padres | 11c | 218.18$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.51 | 65 | 23.1%15 W · 50 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +98.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb7…ca4abacked San Diego Padres | 28c | 188.68$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.29 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | +8.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked San Diego Padres | 27c | 176.54$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.53 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Colorado Rockies | 54c | 173.1$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.71 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd68…ca27backed San Diego Padres | 45c | 169.76$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.37 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Colorado Rockies | 56c | 159.65$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.4 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f36…905fbacked San Diego Padres | 40c | 158.7$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.85 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45dd…7b56backed San Diego Padres | 43c | 149.99$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.49 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b4a…3647backed Colorado Rockies | 57c | 148.69$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.76 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Colorado Rockies | 57c | 146.98$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.78 | 310 | 52.6%163 W · 147 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…fb35backed San Diego Padres | 11c | 145.12$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.89per pick | 11cpaid | +813.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c62…6573backed Colorado Rockies | 60c | 137.33$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.7 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc345…2c35backed San Diego Padres | 45c | 133.15$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.23 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c707backed Colorado Rockies | 57c | 131.6$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.01 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked San Diego Padres | 33c | 130.32$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.53 | 554 | 64.1%355 W · 199 L | +63.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbde7…cf8abacked Colorado Rockies | 24c | 125$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 160 | 19.4%31 W · 129 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba9…4fa1backed Colorado Rockies | 54c | 120.58$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.16 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked San Diego Padres | 43c | 119.97$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.38 | 564 | 40.4%228 W · 336 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked San Diego Padres | 55c | 116.26$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.62 | 701 | 54.2%380 W · 321 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Colorado Rockies | 55c | 114.79$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.14 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed San Diego Padres | 43c | 113.71$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.33 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaff…eaf6backed San Diego Padres | 44c | 110.76$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.8 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55a7…24a0backed San Diego Padres | 17c | 109.91$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.35 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed San Diego Padres | 45c | 107.44$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.09 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed San Diego Padres | 44c | 106.99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.92 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed San Diego Padres | 24c | 97.79$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.32 | 304 | 54.3%165 W · 139 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Colorado Rockies | 54c | 97.24$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.51 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17a3…8cb3backed San Diego Padres | 33c | 96.75$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.82 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked San Diego Padres | 33c | 95.98$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.31 | 341 | 45.2%154 W · 187 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Colorado Rockies | 55c | 89.47$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fe…6a33backed Colorado Rockies | 56c | 86.93$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.68 | 81 | 44.4%36 W · 45 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cd4…399fbacked Colorado Rockies | 57c | 85.46$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.71 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d3…f4f1backed San Diego Padres | 45c | 84.26$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.64 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd226…38b4backed Colorado Rockies | 56c | 79.25$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.38 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4855…6a41backed Colorado Rockies | 57c | 76.11$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.02 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f04…4e5fbacked Colorado Rockies | 57c | 74.42$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.26 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33fc…dc88backed Colorado Rockies | 69c | 74$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.06 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed San Diego Padres | 37c | 64.53$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.69 | 134 | 39.6%53 W · 81 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed San Diego Padres | 44c | 62.82$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.18 | 153 | 51.6%79 W · 74 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae1c…3678backed Colorado Rockies | 54c | 62.78$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.9 | 261 | 51%133 W · 128 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd41…5afebacked San Diego Padres | 45c | 62.32$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.27 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2551…217cbacked Colorado Rockies | 55c | 58.18$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked San Diego Padres | 22c | 56.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.45 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b9…46e4backed Colorado Rockies | 75c | 55.57$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.9 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a14…cab1backed San Diego Padres | 29c | 55.55$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.55 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Colorado Rockies | 54c | 54.02$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.17 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3565…0b17backed Colorado Rockies | 57c | 51.27$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.23 | 224 | 50.4%113 W · 111 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f98…ec35backed San Diego Padres | 44c | 50.65$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 131 | 44.3%58 W · 73 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Colorado Rockies | 58c | 50.42$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.24 | 569 | 46.9%267 W · 302 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf562…8f25backed San Diego Padres | 40c | 49.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.53 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed Colorado Rockies | 56c | 45.77$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.63 | 103 | 56.3%58 W · 45 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Colorado Rockies | 78c | 44.73$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 253 | 49.4%125 W · 128 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Colorado Rockies | 78c | 44.68$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 243 | 48.1%117 W · 126 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed San Diego Padres | 43c | 43.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.62 | 841 | 22.7%191 W · 650 L | -81.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Colorado Rockies | 78c | 42.74$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.55 | 286 | 46.2%132 W · 154 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Colorado Rockies | 58c | 41.53$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.09 | 1,057 | 50.2%531 W · 526 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d28…87b5backed Colorado Rockies | 61c | 40.03$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.41 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc4…6b81backed San Diego Padres | 29c | 39.96$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.53 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Colorado Rockies | 53c | 37.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 310 | 46.5%144 W · 166 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)this page
- Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego PadresSan Diego Padres won
- Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 3.5Over won
- Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 5.5Over won
- Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 6.5Over won
- Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5Over won
- Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5)San Diego Padres won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego PadresNo Run won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.