MLB · resolved market
Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5da5e6f8254125eca7421a33dcbdec61c36825a18ca81d9cdf9966717cddd012
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,953
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,308
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,953 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 40c | 8,672$3,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,203.97 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf9…b6d3backed Under | 58c | 6,723$3,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,899.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30a3…1943backed Over | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,899.96 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Under | 58c | 4,757$2,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,767.95 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 16c | 3,754$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,136.26 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 42c | 3,139$1,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,826.73 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x085e…9aeabacked Under | 58c | 2,553$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480.49 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 32c | 1,951$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,328.45 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Under | 58c | 1,950$1,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,130.77 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbf…f359backed Over | 43c | 1,155$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.64 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeae5…0720backed Under | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 60c | 923.76$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.59 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Under | 75c | 589.76$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.29 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf209…15b9backed Under | 58c | 487.4$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.69 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69c2…40cfbacked Over | 40c | 482$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.2 | 182 | 39.6%72 W · 110 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d16…4e1fbacked Under | 73c | 404.84$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.12 | 122 | 65.6%80 W · 42 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb7…ca4abacked Under | 72c | 379.61$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.31 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | +8.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e84…cee6backed Under | 58c | 324.61$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61cd…541ebacked Under | 67c | 322.76$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.24 | 148 | 64.2%95 W · 53 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under | 58c | 321.68$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.58 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5685…a578backed Over | 43c | 321.61$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef46…b0eabacked Under | 58c | 310.14$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.88 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -6.8wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Over | 31c | 304.59$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.68 | 554 | 64.1%355 W · 199 L | +63.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Over | 41c | 300$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Over | 42c | 228.41$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.48 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 60c | 226.7$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.02 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked Under | 58c | 210.56$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.12 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1c…0be3backed Under | 63c | 201.7$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.12 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 42c | 193.04$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.96 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56de…bc32backed Under | 62c | 189.23$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.33 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…457fbacked Under | 58c | 188.14$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.12 | 319 | 49.5%158 W · 161 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Under | 58c | 182.29$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.73 | 280 | 49.6%139 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1489…9924backed Over | 43c | 172.88$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.54 | 185 | 53%98 W · 87 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Under | 58c | 168.07$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.48 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b4a…3647backed Under | 59c | 151.27$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.25 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3354…5042backed Under | 74c | 133.16$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.44 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Under | 74c | 132.19$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.07 | 312 | 54.5%170 W · 142 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Over | 17c | 131.39$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.42 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 66c | 128.98$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.18 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Under | 58c | 118.35$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.65 | 258 | 51.9%134 W · 124 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Over | 43c | 112.3$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.01 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee95…87fbbacked Over | 11c | 104.23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.89per pick | 11cpaid | +771.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f0…c8a6backed Under | 58c | 94.12$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.59 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | -9.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba9…4fa1backed Over | 41c | 91.63$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.15 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 58c | 90.33$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.08 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 73c | 76.94$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.34 | 499 | 42.9%214 W · 285 L | -31.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 17c | 71$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.64 | 254 | 52%132 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 43c | 70.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.75 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53f2…5343backed Over | 43c | 67.38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed Under | 58c | 67.26$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.01 | 767 | 52.3%401 W · 366 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x788e…e086backed Over | 41c | 65.7$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.74 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed Under | 75c | 65.67$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c5…b613backed Under | 58c | 63.36$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.75 | 293 | 52.9%155 W · 138 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Over | 42c | 60.9$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.32 | 335 | 47.5%159 W · 176 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Over | 43c | 57.95$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.03 | 1,299 | 50.9%661 W · 638 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4533…e6bbbacked Over | 44c | 54.91$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.75 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e4…a1adbacked Under | 57c | 53.49$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.49 | 132 | 64.4%85 W · 47 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 68c | 53.42$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.32 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd946…0d96backed Over | 43c | 52.83$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.11 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Under | 67c | 51.52$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.34 | 465 | 57.2%266 W · 199 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e1…f5a9backed Under | 59c | 49.6$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.26 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Under | 67c | 47.01$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.52 | 701 | 54.2%380 W · 321 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf16…9c6fbacked Under | 59c | 46.49$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.43 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Under | 58c | 46.1$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.74 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38ea…7798backed Over | 43c | 44.92$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Under | 76c | 43.76$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.33 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Over | 28c | 43.71$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.64 | 134 | 39.6%53 W · 81 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a27…2fdcbacked Under | 59c | 41.93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.74 | 116 | 49.1%57 W · 59 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Over | 40c | 41.48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.89 | 1,057 | 50.2%531 W · 526 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbd…98f2backed Over | 43c | 40.56$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.12 | 187 | 51.3%96 W · 91 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Under | 70c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.08 | 558 | 47.7%266 W · 292 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x990a…a9cebacked Under | 58c | 39.63$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.98 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee5…4b64backed Under | 77c | 39.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.31 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Under | 58c | 38.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.62 | 241 | 52.7%127 W · 114 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 42c | 38.91$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.72 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46b1…3170backed Over | 42c | 36.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.33 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x442e…a738backed Under | 59c | 36.72$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.59 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe5…7936backed Under | 58c | 33.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c62…6573backed Under | 59c | 33.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed Over | 38c | 29.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.38 | 140 | 34.3%48 W · 92 L | -13.7wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 75c | 27.58$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.66 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba5e…e6cebacked Under | 75c | 26.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed Over | 41c | 24.9$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.81 | 130 | 54.6%71 W · 59 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Over | 43c | 23.84$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 127 | 61.4%78 W · 49 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6472…81e3backed Under | 58c | 23.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa18f…c57abacked Under | 60c | 22.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f5…8314backed Under | 60c | 20.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x761e…17dabacked Under | 78c | 19.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Under | 58c | 19.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf137…9341backed Under | 59c | 19.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb68e…30cfbacked Under | 71c | 19.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31c8…9487backed Under | 66c | 19.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 270 | 53.7%145 W · 125 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b8f…4812backed Under | 78c | 15.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 62cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 74c | 14.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5this page
- Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego PadresSan Diego Padres won
- Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 3.5Over won
- Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 5.5Over won
- Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 6.5Over won
- Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)San Diego Padres won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego PadresNo Run won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.