NHL · resolved market
Spread: Kings (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbba892c2d4d3213ab343836dc1aade97ea90f2fba56662868bdeb7cb1ad735dd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kingsof Kings, Canucks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,595
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,784
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,595 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Kings | 52c | 5,656$2,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,742.98 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Canucks | 49c | 2,637$1,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,286.64 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Canucks | 48c | 1,531$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.07 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Canucks | 51c | 1,000$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Kings | 50c | 979.7$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.85 | 311 | 48.2%150 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc645…e8bbbacked Kings | 49c | 730.93$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.23 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +29%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Kings | 50c | 643.16$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.58 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Canucks | 49c | 564.85$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.77 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Canucks | 49c | 551.93$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.45 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Canucks | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87fa…12d0backed Canucks | 52c | 435.17$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.29 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d16…c595backed Kings | 52c | 410.89$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.23 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaede…4e26backed Kings | 62c | 315.23$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.79 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Canucks | 48c | 314.08$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.32 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Canucks | 51c | 205$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0206…bf76backed Kings | 49c | 197.84$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.9 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Kings | 79c | 181.93$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.21 | 261 | 54%141 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9410…3c5abacked Kings | 50c | 151.96$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.98 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Canucks | 49c | 140$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.6 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Canucks | 21c | 132.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.93 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Canucks | 20c | 132$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83d7…552cbacked Kings | 50c | 118.34$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.17 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Kings | 49c | 99.98$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.99 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -13.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Kings | 52c | 92.16$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.24 | 191 | 41.9%80 W · 111 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b56…9100backed Canucks | 21c | 90.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Kings | 50c | 67.9$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.95 | 432 | 56.5%244 W · 188 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Canucks | 19c | 59.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 214 | 63.1%135 W · 79 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Canucks | 51c | 58.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 222 | 55.9%124 W · 98 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c47…7a9fbacked Kings | 50c | 58.2$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.1 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ba…b283backed Canucks | 50c | 57.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Canucks | 38c | 56.65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.26 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Canucks | 51c | 54.34$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.52 | 276 | 59.4%164 W · 112 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcab…b9bbbacked Canucks | 24c | 53.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfecc…83b4backed Kings | 58c | 49$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +87.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Canucks | 21c | 48.58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 355 | 51%181 W · 174 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Canucks | 21c | 48.58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Kings | 46c | 48.38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.13 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Canucks | 34c | 41.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 470 | 24%113 W · 357 L | -44.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x924d…3429backed Kings | 49c | 39.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.18 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +9.7wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c62…6573backed Canucks | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Canucks | 50c | 36.03$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.01 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Canucks | 49c | 30.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 456 | 51.5%235 W · 221 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Kings | 67c | 29.25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1f…48a4backed Kings | 68c | 28.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.23 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea5d…d375backed Kings | 51c | 28.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.83 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Kings | 67c | 27.77$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…9007backed Kings | 53c | 27.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.13 | 104 | 44.2%46 W · 58 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x792a…7364backed Canucks | 53c | 27.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +5.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Canucks | 37c | 27.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8748…8e93backed Kings | 51c | 21.37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.47 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +19%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c86…456bbacked Canucks | 51c | 21.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Kings (-1.5)this page
- Canucks vs. KingsKings won
- Canucks vs. Kings: O/U 4.5Over won
- Canucks vs. Kings: O/U 5.5Under won
- Canucks vs. Kings: O/U 6.5Under won
- Canucks vs. Kings: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.