NHL · resolved market
Canucks vs. Kings: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdf0347954afa7406539b10a9ded527b143ed93416dc78c376f1113e6daaac935
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,845
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,130
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,845 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Under | 43c | 2,324$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,324.89 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked Over | 37c | 1,855$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.07 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 63c | 1,691$1,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.77 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 57c | 1,537$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876.04 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd421…7155backed Under | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.99 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 60c | 878.2$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.31 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 59c | 766.95$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 472 | 56.8%268 W · 204 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 41c | 340$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.74 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 57c | 334.52$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.72 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 63c | 303.7$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.29 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b84…6accbacked Over | 36c | 278.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 190 | 33.7%64 W · 126 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 60c | 205.93$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.62 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3028…21e7backed Under | 30c | 168$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.06 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 43c | 145.77$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.14 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 58c | 108.58$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.75 | 657 | 21.9%144 W · 513 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8b…88cbbacked Over | 57c | 107.02$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 40c | 98$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.13 | 604 | 49.2%297 W · 307 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 53c | 96.08$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 60c | 82.66$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.22 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 43c | 73.64$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.83 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Over | 56c | 68.5$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.58 | 275 | 47.6%131 W · 144 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Under | 51c | 62$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.59 | 214 | 63.1%135 W · 79 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Under | 57c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.62 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff89…9c06backed Over | 58c | 55.17$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 49c | 43.05$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.16 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2110…d4fbbacked Under | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 145 | 60.7%88 W · 57 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Over | 64c | 40.29$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Over | 60c | 39.63$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 69 | 33.3%23 W · 46 L | -7.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Under | 37c | 37.52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.81 | 384 | 47.4%182 W · 202 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 57c | 37$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.09 | 276 | 59.4%164 W · 112 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Over | 60c | 33.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | -14.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…8feebacked Over | 57c | 32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae1c…3678backed Under | 43c | 30.44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.35 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdad6…0d14backed Over | 66c | 26.11$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.23 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -48%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Over | 61c | 16.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed Over | 65c | 15.94$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Canucks vs. Kings: O/U 5.5this page
- Canucks vs. KingsKings won
- Canucks vs. Kings: O/U 4.5Over won
- Canucks vs. Kings: O/U 6.5Under won
- Canucks vs. Kings: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Kings (-1.5)Kings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.