NHL · resolved market
Canucks vs. Kings: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x46ccbecc7f324ca7d84eb61a1794378430f270e15d2e4371d30667dc40b7e859
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,546
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,829
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,546 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xad6c…35bbbacked Over | 0c | 12,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 47c | 5,479$2,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,566.05 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 53c | 2,338$1,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,096.41 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 53c | 1,159$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.28 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f08…5afbbacked Under | 53c | 943.85$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.61 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 30c | 924.92$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.26 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Under | 52c | 508.18$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.15 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3028…21e7backed Under | 40c | 434$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.79 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 28c | 432.34$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.47 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaede…4e26backed Over | 49c | 409.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 54c | 399.76$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.57 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 53c | 399.6$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.86 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…8feebacked Under | 55c | 378$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.1 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 19c | 365.26$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.8 | 657 | 21.9%144 W · 513 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Over | 45c | 338$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.1 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44eb…20a0backed Over | 47c | 282$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa229…3cfcbacked Under | 54c | 281$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Over | 44c | 266.82$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.4 | 102 | 40.2%41 W · 61 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…820fbacked Under | 56c | 259$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe2…3246backed Over | 46c | 249$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 36c | 241.67$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.05 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x556c…93cebacked Under | 62c | 222$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.36 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 21c | 220$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.51 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x665e…7291backed Under | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa260…3844backed Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59ce…6f07backed Under | 53c | 180$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.6 | 153 | 49%75 W · 78 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Over | 51c | 155.06$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.67 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9410…3c5abacked Over | 46c | 135.22$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.2 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f56…9df8backed Over | 30c | 117.19$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.32 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Over | 47c | 111.7$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 191 | 41.9%80 W · 111 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 53c | 110$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.86 | 604 | 49.2%297 W · 307 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f90…4e02backed Over | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Under | 54c | 99.45$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.74 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Over | 18c | 95.59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 50c | 87.42$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.46 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 71c | 82.53$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.87 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa77f…6039backed Over | 41c | 73.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3a…23f8backed Under | 69c | 72.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Under | 67c | 68.98$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.65 | 214 | 63.1%135 W · 79 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 54c | 67.32$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.92 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 59c | 66.26$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.48 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Over | 21c | 58.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Under | 73c | 57.22$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Under | 54c | 54$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.84 | 189 | 41.8%79 W · 110 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Under | 72c | 50.46$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 95 | 62.1%59 W · 36 L | +9.1wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +22%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 332 | 51.5%171 W · 161 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 54c | 44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.24 | 276 | 59.4%164 W · 112 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 31c | 42.87$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 55c | 39$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 207 | 56.5%117 W · 90 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Under | 57c | 37.42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.09 | 261 | 54%141 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 53c | 36.69$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 456 | 51.5%235 W · 221 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Under | 48c | 35.43$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.28 | 384 | 47.4%182 W · 202 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37f1…19a0backed Under | 58c | 34.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Under | 53c | 34.53$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.18 | 177 | 61.6%109 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba6…cd3ebacked Under | 58c | 33.06$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 89 | 64%57 W · 32 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2110…d4fbbacked Under | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 145 | 60.7%88 W · 57 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed Over | 35c | 30.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -8.5wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2599…9218backed Under | 66c | 30.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.24 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.4wins | +0.34per pick | 56cpaid | +83.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…9007backed Over | 43c | 29.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 104 | 44.2%46 W · 58 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b56…9100backed Over | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Under | 54c | 25.77$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc15…3a2ebacked Over | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Over | 52c | 22.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 69 | 33.3%23 W · 46 L | -7.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3c86…456bbacked Under | 54c | 22.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.09 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d7…d801backed Under | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Under | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Under | 80c | 17.76$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.57 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Canucks vs. Kings: O/U 6.5this page
- Canucks vs. KingsKings won
- Canucks vs. Kings: O/U 4.5Over won
- Canucks vs. Kings: O/U 5.5Under won
- Canucks vs. Kings: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Kings (-1.5)Kings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.