Us Politics · resolved market
Will Trump cut military spending?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ca16b05d10f34511942b3d01aff37c765666744a4adf5f5c280aa04a8eda7bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $230,118
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $203,135
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $230,118 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 194 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5f62…950ebacked Yes | 64c | 16,738$10,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,695.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed No | 78c | 13,538$10,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,972.09 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -9.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 8c | 10,212$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.08 | 130 | 29.2%38 W · 92 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 114 | 19.3%22 W · 92 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes | 0c | 8,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 58 | 0%0 W · 58 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed No | 34c | 7,873$2,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,203.44 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +13.0wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7a…b5f7backed Yes | 14c | 6,504$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913.04 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -42%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 30c | 6,421$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950.25 | 375 | 33.3%125 W · 250 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x022e…2a77backed Yes | 39c | 6,295$2,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,439.33 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | +9.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x020b…d13cbacked No | 73c | 6,133$4,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,653.91 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 72cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfb…e789backed Yes | 38c | 5,313$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -79.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 23c | 4,169$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.49 | 696 | 34.9%243 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x449f…913bbacked No | 71c | 3,837$2,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,113.91 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3069…f8efbacked Yes | 49c | 3,756$1,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,826.44 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 13c | 3,671$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.51 | 283 | 20.5%58 W · 225 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd7…0643backed Yes | 10c | 3,513$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e2…e599backed No | 69c | 3,315$2,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.81 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…5204backed Yes | 20c | 2,951$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.05 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 1c | 2,677$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.71 | 240 | 0%0 W · 240 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 0c | 2,631$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ba…5933backed Yes | 25c | 2,536$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.72 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 25c | 2,381$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.5 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb431…0c91backed Yes | 36c | 2,300$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.92 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 28cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea3e…b956backed No | 70c | 2,250$1,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.5 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Yes | 34c | 2,235$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.02 | 153 | 32.7%50 W · 103 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdad6…b754backed Yes | 9c | 1,940$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.34 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5235…c04abacked Yes | 31c | 1,860$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.87 | 103 | 24.3%25 W · 78 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 21c | 1,813$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.67 | 73 | 31.5%23 W · 50 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed No | 73c | 1,691$1,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.56 | 176 | 33%58 W · 118 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x442b…5410backed No | 58c | 1,669$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.43 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…9661backed Yes | 38c | 1,532$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.4 | 168 | 54.8%92 W · 76 L | +22.8wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +56%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked Yes | 12c | 1,484$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.53 | 194 | 35.1%68 W · 126 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18c…d678backed Yes | 36c | 1,408$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0dde…94c3backed No | 59c | 1,403$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.87 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fd…658cbacked Yes | 31c | 1,375$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45a1…d31fbacked Yes | 3c | 1,204$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.07 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17aa…cb3dbacked Yes | 42c | 1,202$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 41cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 36c | 1,147$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.94 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3030…16bbbacked Yes | 14c | 1,135$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.29 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe77e…bb3dbacked Yes | 22c | 1,094$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.67 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f68…62abbacked Yes | 7c | 1,000$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.59 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -58%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa55f…c3d6backed Yes | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 28cpaid | +104.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81a1…8483backed Yes | 51c | 980.59$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49b5…d249backed Yes | 18c | 972.25$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.65 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b87…274cbacked Yes | 2c | 957.79$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.47 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d1…8749backed Yes | 23c | 800$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…d918backed Yes | 16c | 765.27$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.81 | 74 | 32.4%24 W · 50 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4526…4693backed Yes | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…ef97backed Yes | 16c | 667$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.72 | 71 | 29.6%21 W · 50 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf11f…df5cbacked No | 61c | 655.94$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.94 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 42c | 633.48$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.12 | 385 | 9.4%36 W · 349 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ef1…4fa2backed No | 68c | 603.35$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +147.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4392…68c3backed No | 69c | 600.1$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.03 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 65cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 25c | 600$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 152 | 27.6%42 W · 110 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 12c | 600$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 284 | 7.7%22 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8d…f2c7backed Yes | 35c | 565.71$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…8e3bbacked Yes | 22c | 549.98$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.99 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed Yes | 30c | 527.05$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.02 | 135 | 25.9%35 W · 100 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef10…4c13backed No | 72c | 519.25$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.25 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f0…e173backed No | 65c | 499.99$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a44…6d3fbacked Yes | 37c | 485.14$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.93 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde26…0972backed No | 62c | 477.39$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.48 | 75 | 62.7%47 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Yes | 26c | 439$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.93 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed No | 66c | 434.76$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.06 | 167 | 25.1%42 W · 125 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…5a27backed Yes | 5c | 419.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 215 | 4.2%9 W · 206 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c9…63f1backed Yes | 26c | 401.62$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.94 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb869…c4c6backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49fd…0198backed Yes | 24c | 399.99$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 159 | 24.5%39 W · 120 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf54e…0950backed No | 66c | 399.98$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6718…80d1backed Yes | 26c | 390$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.7 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a3d…615ebacked Yes | 26c | 374.85$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.11 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -4.7wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x20f7…aba0backed Yes | 46c | 373.06$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0d…c7bebacked No | 55c | 360.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.71 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b8…bb87backed Yes | 14c | 357$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x115d…2aa7backed Yes | 44c | 349.99$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.25 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed No | 69c | 347.04$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.75 | 377 | 40.6%153 W · 224 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9e…e286backed Yes | 33c | 306.51$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.74 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed Yes | 39c | 302.28$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.03 | 170 | 21.2%36 W · 134 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed No | 59c | 301.52$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.62 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb59…0a22backed No | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c87…f49ebacked No | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe900…6cdcbacked Yes | 14c | 300$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.25 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf896…fb41backed No | 68c | 287.77$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7b…5824backed Yes | 35c | 282$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42a6…1b64backed No | 75c | 250.96$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.31 | 119 | 40.3%48 W · 71 L | +8.8wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb15d…2851backed No | 53c | 245$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd222…fbf6backed Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae72…96bcbacked No | 64c | 234.92$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15a9…e300backed Yes | 46c | 217.59$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe006…7ee1backed No | 73c | 201.07$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.06 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x585b…753fbacked Yes | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +8.9wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x38b2…1a2dbacked Yes | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c1c…4405backed Yes | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c43…cbaebacked Yes | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe34a…5e71backed No | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b93…9ec4backed Yes | 37c | 198.66$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.99 | 126 | 43.7%55 W · 71 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed No | 74c | 183.85$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.8 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +7.8wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3210…0fc4backed Yes | 34c | 178.5$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.69 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 68c | 155.06$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.48 | 318 | 40.3%128 W · 190 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e2…9629backed No | 66c | 150.26$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.66 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.