NBA · resolved market
Heat vs. Mavericks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x87dbb1967536ebd7686879684f931e5460a3004b332fdc6363a0ff58ad43f76d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mavericksof Heat, Mavericks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $556,428
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $572,868
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $556,428 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 962 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb0bf…6f28backed Mavericks | 47c | 92,994$43,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,286.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd126…267bbacked Heat | 53c | 92,970$49,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,274.02 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa501…9f0fbacked Heat | 51c | 20,180$10,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,267.96 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -5.4wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -44%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c11…c7e6backed Heat | 59c | 19,834$11,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,702.35 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Mavericks | 55c | 18,211$10,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,196.69 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Heat | 59c | 10,135$5,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,989.37 | 436 | 53.2%232 W · 204 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Heat | 35c | 9,912$3,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,437.08 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Mavericks | 48c | 9,254$4,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,812 | 278 | 40.6%113 W · 165 L | -22.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Heat | 14c | 7,808$1,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,091.42 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Heat | 29c | 7,045$2,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,021.7 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd500…eb4fbacked Heat | 52c | 6,000$3,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,119.98 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +29%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee5b…0e96backed Mavericks | 48c | 5,997$2,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,118.44 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88db…3843backed Mavericks | 47c | 5,970$2,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,162.8 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Heat | 51c | 5,301$2,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,677.96 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Mavericks | 49c | 5,017$2,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,536.27 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Heat | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Mavericks | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x873c…ac48backed Heat | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,650 | 258 | 33.7%87 W · 171 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a93…ecf9backed Heat | 68c | 4,049$2,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,753.59 | 112 | 50.9%57 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x383d…a9f2backed Heat | 52c | 3,960$2,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,067.04 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Heat | 57c | 3,400$1,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,937.72 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x830d…3f0ebacked Heat | 36c | 3,018$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 165 | 32.1%53 W · 112 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d34…b76fbacked Mavericks | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,589.87 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Mavericks | 48c | 2,962$1,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,540.36 | 258 | 45%116 W · 142 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8769…48ecbacked Heat | 53c | 2,645$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410.08 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Heat | 54c | 2,500$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Mavericks | 42c | 2,500$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,449.99 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Heat | 53c | 2,431$1,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,287.82 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7137…6507backed Mavericks | 49c | 2,146$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,091.27 | 173 | 31.2%54 W · 119 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Mavericks | 44c | 2,130$932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,197.7 | 463 | 42.5%197 W · 266 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…ca37backed Mavericks | 48c | 2,104$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104.27 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f79…1db4backed Mavericks | 48c | 2,034$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050.61 | 168 | 38.7%65 W · 103 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4999…5fcebacked Heat | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.97 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -5.6wins | -0.31per pick | 59cpaid | -61%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Heat | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.94 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x665a…174ebacked Heat | 52c | 1,981$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.16 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Mavericks | 52c | 1,938$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.41 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551d…41dfbacked Heat | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.0wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6dcf…7400backed Heat | 52c | 1,912$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Mavericks | 42c | 1,899$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,102.21 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b14…66eebacked Mavericks | 49c | 1,884$923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.71 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +214.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Heat | 50c | 1,877$942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$941.83 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Heat | 53c | 1,826$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x920d…38adbacked Mavericks | 48c | 1,562$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.08 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Heat | 55c | 1,500$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.99 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c7…e344backed Mavericks | 48c | 1,456$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.81 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 44cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Mavericks | 50c | 1,454$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.28 | 269 | 34.9%94 W · 175 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Heat | 70c | 1,429$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 162 | 61.7%100 W · 62 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Heat | 53c | 1,285$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.86 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Heat | 51c | 1,258$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.39 | 350 | 46%161 W · 189 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa10d…acc6backed Mavericks | 47c | 1,256$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.93 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +4.7wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Heat | 25c | 1,194$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.41 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Heat | 51c | 1,184$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.68 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Heat | 53c | 1,034$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.53 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Mavericks | 48c | 1,028$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.3 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Heat | 50c | 1,025$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.58 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Mavericks | 47c | 1,001$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.6 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Heat | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31d9…89aebacked Heat | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…f84bbacked Heat | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Mavericks | 47c | 999.98$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.99 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb038…2339backed Mavericks | 51c | 985$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa698…7f1ebacked Heat | 58c | 982.05$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.59 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +81.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Heat | 3c | 971.9$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.26 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb928…5fd7backed Heat | 54c | 968.89$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.2 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Mavericks | 48c | 939.98$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.79 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1c8…8089backed Mavericks | 38c | 842.51$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.12 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39bc…8af7backed Mavericks | 48c | 800.28$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.28 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…7ff3backed Heat | 60c | 800$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476 | 286 | 51.4%147 W · 139 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd67e…f1b8backed Heat | 53c | 800$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Mavericks | 41c | 735.24$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.79 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Heat | 53c | 723.68$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.76 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x479c…bcbcbacked Heat | 53c | 700$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ce…a6abbacked Mavericks | 47c | 700$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ce…d77dbacked Heat | 59c | 677.97$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Heat | 60c | 666.67$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Heat | 50c | 662.23$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.48 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f8…e042backed Mavericks | 43c | 644.77$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.52 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea0…af8dbacked Mavericks | 49c | 608.08$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.08 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Mavericks | 47c | 604.99$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.72 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Heat | 43c | 601.07$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.48 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dda…4cf6backed Mavericks | 64c | 588.91$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.4 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Mavericks | 45c | 558.96$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.12 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x089b…2193backed Heat | 57c | 558$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.39 | 277 | 31.4%87 W · 190 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf93…bdc8backed Mavericks | 74c | 551.69$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.51 | 191 | 64.9%124 W · 67 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdadc…15fcbacked Mavericks | 50c | 536.62$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.83 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Mavericks | 47c | 533.99$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.02 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4520…b2dabacked Mavericks | 47c | 520$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.6 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Mavericks | 39c | 514.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.63 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d6…9487backed Mavericks | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52d6…6de3backed Mavericks | 42c | 500$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1029…56c1backed Mavericks | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -4.2wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x73f7…cc19backed Heat | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ee…c58fbacked Mavericks | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5810…fa44backed Mavericks | 42c | 500$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde8c…af97backed Mavericks | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -34%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf42f…420fbacked Mavericks | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf08a…29e0backed Mavericks | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf44c…57dfbacked Heat | 58c | 500$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47f9…d9d9backed Mavericks | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc455…d59cbacked Mavericks | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.