MLB · resolved market
Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4576c2c5413f7f3b86476839e7efe6d86ee3c0895d79aaae2f7ba9cd1e3f2744
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,671
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,930
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,671 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x116c…e162backed Over | 47c | 13,140$6,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,972.44 | 366 | 49.2%180 W · 186 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 55c | 10,197$5,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,594.04 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 46c | 2,925$1,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,568.05 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 79c | 2,286$1,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,795.23 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Over | 45c | 2,179$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,198.38 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.91 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 53c | 1,756$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.8 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Under | 53c | 1,700$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.2 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 53c | 1,700$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.98 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Under | 53c | 1,621$859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.31 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed Under | 57c | 1,049$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.28 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Over | 47c | 1,032$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.6 | 265 | 45.7%121 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Over | 47c | 1,030$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.9 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96dd…ff8ebacked Over | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46fb…2b75backed Under | 54c | 999.98$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.99 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Under | 55c | 986.91$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.8 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 66c | 850.93$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.65 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed Over | 47c | 824$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.72 | 308 | 44.2%136 W · 172 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc0…af1abacked Over | 47c | 750.03$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.51 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +7.8wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 55c | 684.62$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.11 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Under | 53c | 642.11$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.32 | 233 | 51.1%119 W · 114 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 4c | 640.07$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.99 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Over | 44c | 635.87$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.85 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 53c | 600$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…e0c1backed Over | 42c | 574.52$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.22 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +5.9wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Under | 58c | 570$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.6 | 299 | 50.5%151 W · 148 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 77c | 518.65$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.67 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafc4…daa1backed Under | 5c | 434.61$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.69 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 6cpaid | +93.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae51…0d08backed Over | 45c | 434.44$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.04 | 364 | 40.1%146 W · 218 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Under | 54c | 419.18$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.32 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 41c | 417.41$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.22 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Under | 45c | 338.32$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.05 | 422 | 41%173 W · 249 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 58c | 320.34$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.8 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d1…aa33backed Over | 40c | 300$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +4.3wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 42c | 293.75$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60fe…f286backed Over | 42c | 229.81$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.29 | 164 | 53%87 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Over | 45c | 228.45$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.06 | 97 | 25.8%25 W · 72 L | -11.2wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbf0a…6165backed Over | 44c | 219.64$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 45c | 218.54$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.2 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 45c | 201.43$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.79 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 53c | 189.86$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.63 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Over | 25c | 173.39$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.78 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +41.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Under | 53c | 148.73$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.83 | 185 | 53.5%99 W · 86 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 32c | 140.04$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.81 | 781 | 46.4%362 W · 419 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Under | 54c | 135.06$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.93 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec14…7fafbacked Over | 47c | 131.84$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.88 | 478 | 49%234 W · 244 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 45c | 130.15$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.58 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 53c | 125.28$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.4 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x982e…add6backed Under | 55c | 107.03$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.87 | 332 | 28.3%94 W · 238 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Over | 68c | 99.14$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.72 | 532 | 61.8%329 W · 203 L | +20.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Over | 46c | 96.76$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.25 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Under | 55c | 89.65$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.11 | 496 | 49.8%247 W · 249 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 45c | 79.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 283 | 52.3%148 W · 135 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Under | 52c | 77.19$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.04 | 515 | 55%283 W · 232 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 70c | 72.49$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.74 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 70c | 72.49$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.74 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 70c | 72.49$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.74 | 418 | 47.6%199 W · 219 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2e…289dbacked Over | 47c | 61$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.33 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd281…d824backed Over | 46c | 58.31$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.49 | 104 | 49%51 W · 53 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe5…7936backed Under | 55c | 53.07$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.19 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Over | 39c | 50.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.81 | 554 | 64.1%355 W · 199 L | +63.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbe67…dd7ebacked Over | 47c | 50.22$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.62 | 127 | 42.5%54 W · 73 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Over | 44c | 48.32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.06 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 54c | 43.32$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.39 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Under | 55c | 43.32$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.83 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed Under | 65c | 43$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.07 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6691…8a8ebacked Over | 47c | 41.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f4…0336backed Under | 54c | 39.62$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.39 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8890…cefbbacked Over | 46c | 39.12$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.13 | 509 | 62.9%320 W · 189 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 54c | 33.06$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…8f36backed Over | 46c | 31.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 45c | 29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Under | 70c | 28.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 377 | 47.2%178 W · 199 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Under | 59c | 27.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 1,057 | 50.2%531 W · 526 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Under | 75c | 26.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 123 | 49.6%61 W · 62 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbd…98f2backed Over | 46c | 25.16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.59 | 187 | 51.3%96 W · 91 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb17…32b2backed Over | 42c | 25.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 169 | 46.2%78 W · 91 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 56c | 23.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 667 | 49.3%329 W · 338 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed Under | 61c | 22.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x891f…88bfbacked Under | 54c | 19.36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 65c | 19.01$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.58 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff0…e928backed Under | 59c | 18.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e96…1e75backed Under | 69c | 17.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Under | 70c | 16.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 1,014 | 50.4%511 W · 503 L | +52.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5this page
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland GuardiansBaltimore Orioles won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 10.5Under won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 2.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 3.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 4.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 5.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland GuardiansNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.