La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Racing Club vs. Real Sporting de Gijón end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb4f0fc6ec1c562f08474176734baec08adf85a20d151e05f8a5977ee681aa13a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,237
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,536
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,237 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e75…50d7backed Yes | 75c | 1,321$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 17c | 1,142$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.64 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 44c | 927.45$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.87 | 585 | 48%281 W · 304 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe35b…d8d0backed Yes | 54c | 735.52$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.83 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 71c | 538.57$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.16 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f02…92e0backed Yes | 27c | 511.71$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabab…58d2backed No | 73c | 511.71$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b41…764cbacked Yes | 52c | 494.42$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.1 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b14…5301backed Yes | 20c | 468.13$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.42 | 47 | 12.8%6 W · 41 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 24c | 450.25$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.06 | 378 | 29.4%111 W · 267 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc41f…2a81backed Yes | 76c | 394.74$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 50c | 378.97$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.06 | 635 | 53.1%337 W · 298 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 46c | 370.27$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.07 | 834 | 44.6%372 W · 462 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…8e1dbacked Yes | 25c | 308$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbec5…8f77backed Yes | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked No | 70c | 232.2$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.66 | 80 | 75%60 W · 20 L | +13.9wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 52c | 223.44$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.83 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Yes | 57c | 211.08$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed No | 78c | 192.31$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.31 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +6.8wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 42c | 188.5$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.02 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed Yes | 37c | 166.6$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.78 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…c135backed Yes | 10c | 166.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…cf14backed No | 74c | 153.95$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.99 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -7.5wins | -0.17per pick | 69cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 42c | 141.7$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.84 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Yes | 23c | 139$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.57 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 75c | 120$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 238 | 55.9%133 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x713d…ba88backed Yes | 67c | 114.4$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d29…c9eebacked No | 75c | 113.89$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…574cbacked No | 71c | 102.52$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.34 | 56 | 71.4%40 W · 16 L | +6.3wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9f1d…0064backed Yes | 75c | 98.67$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Yes | 38c | 94$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.6 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Yes | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 221 | 57%126 W · 95 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 42c | 92$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.62 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef5c…6ababacked No | 78c | 76.92$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 75c | 75.64$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.94 | 754 | 51.2%386 W · 368 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed No | 75c | 71.29$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…8f42backed No | 75c | 68.18$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed No | 75c | 65.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 59c | 65.73$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.98 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 59c | 62.65$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.88 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…2c24backed Yes | 31c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…ef55backed No | 67c | 59.83$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.83 | 51 | 72.5%37 W · 14 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +17%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb36d…f0d1backed Yes | 26c | 58.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked No | 31c | 50.81$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.11 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed No | 68c | 48.84$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.87 | 112 | 66.1%74 W · 38 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 34c | 43.89$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.79 | 413 | 23.2%96 W · 317 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c7…bb75backed No | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed No | 71c | 39$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 45 | 82.2%37 W · 8 L | +10.0wins | +0.22per pick | 60cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf8…0c6bbacked Yes | 49c | 34.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e5…008cbacked Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…c46abacked Yes | 67c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f4…0336backed Yes | 62c | 29.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8900…a444backed Yes | 55c | 28.66$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 47c | 28.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaf…064abacked No | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 50c | 23.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.71 | 413 | 48.7%201 W · 212 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed No | 66c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.14 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08fb…8b8bbacked Yes | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 74c | 19.24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.92 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cc…1958backed No | 78c | 19.15$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.15 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 71c | 18.52$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.37 | 596 | 55.4%330 W · 266 L | +31.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x550d…f1ffbacked Yes | 60c | 18.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfde…a13ebacked Yes | 61c | 17.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.28per pick | 66cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 70c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 351 | 45.6%160 W · 191 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0efb…016cbacked No | 78c | 13.28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.92 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Racing Club vs. Real Sporting de Gijón end in a draw?this page
- Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-04-01?Yes won
- Will Real Sporting de Gijón win on 2026-04-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.