NHL · resolved market
Ducks vs. Predators: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd1881c3fda4f99d0313b39c41e4ee84fff47e2615127f40e40c5751fa5031fe5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,531
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,588
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,531 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Under | 49c | 7,882$3,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,862.13 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Over | 51c | 6,200$3,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,038 | 255 | 52.5%134 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6638…0b09backed Over | 52c | 2,856$1,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,370.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Over | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225 | 168 | 43.5%73 W · 95 L | -14.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 71c | 2,240$1,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.36 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Under | 30c | 2,156$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.14 | 295 | 33.6%99 W · 196 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked Over | 51c | 2,089$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,023.47 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 1,826$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.43 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked Over | 51c | 1,786$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875.16 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 49c | 1,430$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.95 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.3 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 49c | 1,010$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.9 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 49c | 853$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.26 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 254 | 49.6%126 W · 128 L | -15.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 59c | 377.55$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.1 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…8feebacked Under | 49c | 273.26$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.09 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Over | 52c | 260.42$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe260…2bcabacked Under | 45c | 223.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd61e…ff5bbacked Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked Over | 51c | 205.98$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.98 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 41c | 205.69$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.16 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4c…0e6ebacked Under | 49c | 202.14$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Over | 50c | 197$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.5 | 110 | 58.2%64 W · 46 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 49c | 195.76$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.92 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb031…996abacked Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…c15abacked Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e58…1ea4backed Over | 52c | 190.48$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5741…fb99backed Under | 12c | 185.16$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Under | 48c | 153.88$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.26 | 261 | 54%141 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 49c | 150$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 49c | 142.86$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…813ebacked Under | 48c | 142.72$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.14 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 127.13$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.24 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 54c | 118.78$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.84 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4eae…d46dbacked Over | 52c | 107.69$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +87.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 427 | 50.8%217 W · 210 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 604 | 49.2%297 W · 307 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Under | 28c | 84.8$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.64 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Under | 50c | 83.02$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.51 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Over | 79c | 79.54$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 72 | 65.3%47 W · 25 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 49c | 75$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.75 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Under | 48c | 70$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 244 | 42.6%104 W · 140 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Over | 52c | 67.31$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 432 | 56.5%244 W · 188 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked Over | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 58 | 70.7%41 W · 17 L | +8.6wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Under | 42c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 164 | 43.3%71 W · 93 L | -15.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bc…ec35backed Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Under | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ec…1cc8backed Under | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 189 | 41.8%79 W · 110 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8847…0a81backed Under | 52c | 49.4$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.54 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…3d0ebacked Under | 35c | 45.48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | +6.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Over | 77c | 44$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.03 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f4…0336backed Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 112 | 48.2%54 W · 58 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc45d…de2fbacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Over | 51c | 39.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.03 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Under | 49c | 32.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 477 | 53.9%257 W · 220 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Over | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 222 | 55.9%124 W · 98 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Over | 52c | 26.65$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 235 | 59.1%139 W · 96 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Under | 50c | 26.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed Under | 43c | 26.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 49c | 25.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 456 | 51.5%235 W · 221 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28af…7de0backed Under | 47c | 24.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f98…ec35backed Under | 51c | 20.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Over | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775f…c82dbacked Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bd1…7e42backed Over | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ducks vs. Predators: O/U 6.5this page
- Ducks vs. PredatorsDucks won
- Ducks vs. Predators: O/U 4.5Over won
- Ducks vs. Predators: O/U 5.5Over won
- Ducks vs. Predators: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Ducks (-1.5)Predators won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.