NHL · resolved market
Kraken vs. Wild
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfbe599ddc649afb6bf513bd3ed08ed27bdd608793145d3c70b332f2f87986d35
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wildof Kraken, Wild
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $230,677
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $238,253
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $230,677 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 300 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Kraken | 30c | 33,400$10,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,020 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Kraken | 29c | 30,114$8,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,733.17 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Wild | 70c | 29,017$20,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,705.18 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1925…4654backed Kraken | 30c | 20,305$6,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,168.48 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Wild | 70c | 8,000$5,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 255 | 52.5%134 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Kraken | 29c | 7,862$2,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,274.85 | 274 | 48.9%134 W · 140 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Wild | 72c | 7,716$5,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,161.8 | 188 | 53.2%100 W · 88 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Wild | 71c | 7,314$5,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,104.53 | 184 | 52.7%97 W · 87 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Wild | 72c | 7,235$5,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,012.75 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Wild | 70c | 6,005$4,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,801.6 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Wild | 70c | 4,930$3,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,482.26 | 336 | 52.1%175 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Kraken | 4c | 4,758$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.61 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kraken | 27c | 4,573$1,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,253.41 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Kraken | 47c | 4,325$2,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,031.95 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Wild | 70c | 4,286$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,285.71 | 247 | 49.8%123 W · 124 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Wild | 70c | 4,151$2,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,256.81 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Wild | 73c | 4,077$2,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,106.84 | 197 | 59.4%117 W · 80 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Wild | 70c | 3,928$2,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,161.02 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Wild | 71c | 3,620$2,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.85 | 334 | 50.9%170 W · 164 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaed…5749backed Kraken | 1c | 3,254$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 46cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c4…ee30backed Kraken | 31c | 3,226$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23e7…fca5backed Kraken | 1c | 3,170$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.67 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Kraken | 30c | 3,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 275 | 47.6%131 W · 144 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc689…5250backed Wild | 69c | 3,000$2,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.99 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Wild | 69c | 3,000$2,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.99 | 305 | 52.5%160 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Wild | 60c | 2,811$1,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.99 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Kraken | 49c | 2,585$1,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,264.77 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Kraken | 30c | 2,400$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.53 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Kraken | 48c | 2,298$1,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,103.1 | 147 | 57.1%84 W · 63 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Kraken | 15c | 2,189$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.71 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c14…d8fbbacked Wild | 64c | 2,183$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.29 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Wild | 70c | 2,135$1,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.78 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Kraken | 49c | 1,950$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.5 | 77 | 37.7%29 W · 48 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Kraken | 30c | 1,470$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.93 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…476cbacked Wild | 70c | 1,429$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.57 | 29 | 79.3%23 W · 6 L | +5.1wins | +0.17per pick | 62cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Wild | 75c | 1,354$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.8 | 140 | 62.1%87 W · 53 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Kraken | 47c | 1,178$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.59 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1742…37ebbacked Wild | 71c | 1,176$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.04 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Kraken | 17c | 1,119$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.65 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Kraken | 34c | 1,055$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.04 | 302 | 59.6%180 W · 122 L | +31.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Kraken | 45c | 1,035$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…abc5backed Wild | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 148 | 37.2%55 W · 93 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…235bbacked Kraken | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…f205backed Kraken | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 242 | 0.8%2 W · 240 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Wild | 54c | 932.59$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.34 | 472 | 56.8%268 W · 204 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Kraken | 21c | 900.98$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.77 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Wild | 73c | 888.35$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.56 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cb…bc54backed Kraken | 31c | 806.45$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 299 | 46.8%140 W · 159 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1572…7991backed Wild | 69c | 757.99$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.98 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec18…89ebbacked Kraken | 17c | 671$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.46 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed Kraken | 29c | 657$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.53 | 254 | 46.5%118 W · 136 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Wild | 70c | 618.09$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.43 | 317 | 53.9%171 W · 146 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4650…f3f0backed Kraken | 40c | 614$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.6 | 138 | 56.5%78 W · 60 L | +11.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Wild | 75c | 607$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.16 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Kraken | 15c | 596.55$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.68 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…ade0backed Kraken | 30c | 589.8$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.94 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Wild | 52c | 580$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.4 | 369 | 48%177 W · 192 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebdf…49aebacked Kraken | 30c | 568.2$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.46 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa43d…00f4backed Kraken | 30c | 533.33$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Kraken | 6c | 501.74$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.81 | 657 | 21.9%144 W · 513 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x765c…0779backed Wild | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 400 | 49.3%197 W · 203 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b1…f737backed Kraken | 31c | 500$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed Kraken | 31c | 500$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 492 | 49.6%244 W · 248 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1a…4f77backed Kraken | 31c | 488.94$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.57 | 386 | 45.1%174 W · 212 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Wild | 78c | 483.04$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.78 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…8feebacked Kraken | 31c | 456$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.36 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…5b9ebacked Wild | 55c | 455$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked Wild | 70c | 428.57$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 97 | 62.9%61 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Kraken | 49c | 403.44$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.03 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4880…5626backed Wild | 72c | 402.78$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.96 | 132 | 52.3%69 W · 63 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20f6…0f69backed Wild | 52c | 386.47$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.51 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Wild | 70c | 384.3$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.29 | 397 | 57.2%227 W · 170 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c31…ebdbbacked Kraken | 30c | 357.31$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.19 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67e2…42d9backed Wild | 70c | 357.14$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.14 | 21 | 81%17 W · 4 L | +3.8wins | +0.18per pick | 63cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Kraken | 18c | 349.87$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.39 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Wild | 70c | 347.75$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.33 | 459 | 55.1%253 W · 206 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Kraken | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Kraken | 29c | 303$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.87 | 112 | 40.2%45 W · 67 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69d9…9881backed Wild | 70c | 301.43$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.43 | 306 | 57.8%177 W · 129 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea0…865dbacked Kraken | 31c | 300$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Kraken | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 535 | 46.4%248 W · 287 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbec5…8f77backed Kraken | 31c | 300$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 89 | 38.2%34 W · 55 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Kraken | 47c | 297.87$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.62 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5088…3357backed Wild | 71c | 297.6$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.12 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c7…6958backed Wild | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3d…b570backed Wild | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.69 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0e…b7bcbacked Wild | 77c | 261.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.12 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | +11.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Kraken | 25c | 250.82$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.84 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1b…a148backed Kraken | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…fcf3backed Wild | 64c | 249.99$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 385 | 55.6%214 W · 171 L | +24.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Wild | 67c | 239.53$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.54 | 191 | 53.4%102 W · 89 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef2…ccfbbacked Wild | 70c | 233.95$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.15 | 126 | 54.8%69 W · 57 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Kraken | 31c | 225.81$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 317 | 53.3%169 W · 148 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Wild | 64c | 223$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.82 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…62dcbacked Kraken | 17c | 217.65$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…eeb8backed Wild | 71c | 215$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.35 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c19…e0b2backed Kraken | 29c | 211.43$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked Kraken | 48c | 210.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d6…1538backed Wild | 52c | 206.5$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…ede4backed Kraken | 30c | 203.3$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.95 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kraken vs. Wildthis page
- Kraken vs. Wild: O/U 5.5Over won
- Kraken vs. Wild: O/U 6.5Over won
- Kraken vs. Wild: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Wild (-1.5)Wild won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.