NHL · resolved market
Kraken vs. Wild: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb4f9f7f72db0143d70dbdca05013c6fcab6503b953f24c714c7514e5fa6788db
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,926
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,859
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,926 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Over | 48c | 16,953$8,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,893.76 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 53c | 14,000$7,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,350 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e65…4994backed Under | 55c | 5,565$3,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,061 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 45c | 2,239$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,231.26 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 18c | 2,058$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.8 | 318 | 28.3%90 W · 228 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 45c | 1,987$894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092.8 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 48c | 1,983$953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.62 | 334 | 50.9%170 W · 164 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 52c | 1,610$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.86 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 52c | 1,017$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.83 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87fa…12d0backed Under | 57c | 827.66$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.99 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Under | 1c | 800$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 50 | 4%2 W · 48 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…ce58backed Over | 43c | 658.49$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.34 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked Under | 15c | 449$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.5 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Over | 47c | 319.15$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.15 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Over | 44c | 300$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | +10.7wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Under | 56c | 300$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 94 | 36.2%34 W · 60 L | -13.1wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6726…542fbacked Over | 46c | 199.99$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 9c | 150.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 52c | 149.36$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.7 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…1df8backed Over | 49c | 107.32$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.94 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 55c | 105.45$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.85 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Under | 52c | 87$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.24 | 347 | 52.4%182 W · 165 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 47c | 73.54$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.98 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Over | 47c | 68$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.04 | 337 | 45.7%154 W · 183 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a0…f673backed Over | 47c | 58$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.74 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…1fe3backed Over | 47c | 58$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.74 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7793…33a6backed Over | 46c | 54.6$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.48 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Under | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 189 | 41.8%79 W · 110 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Under | 53c | 49.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Over | 47c | 48$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.44 | 152 | 48%73 W · 79 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d08…9b65backed Over | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed Over | 47c | 44$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.32 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 397 | 51.1%203 W · 194 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f63…2bb3backed Under | 52c | 41.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ef…f7a1backed Over | 49c | 39.51$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.15 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3492…983fbacked Over | 48c | 39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.28 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…813ebacked Over | 43c | 38.25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.8 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Under | 52c | 38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 47c | 37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 276 | 59.4%164 W · 112 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…cf81backed Over | 45c | 33.34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.34 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x792a…7364backed Over | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +5.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa796…95f9backed Over | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c4b…8616backed Over | 48c | 30.15$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 173 | 43.4%75 W · 98 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Over | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 92 | 31.5%29 W · 63 L | -12.7wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa76d…6a8ebacked Over | 47c | 25.06$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.28 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.37per pick | 49cpaid | +77.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 53c | 22.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 456 | 51.5%235 W · 221 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kraken vs. Wild: O/U 6.5this page
- Kraken vs. WildWild won
- Kraken vs. Wild: O/U 5.5Over won
- Kraken vs. Wild: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Wild (-1.5)Wild won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.