MLB · resolved market
KBO: Samsung Lions vs. Hanwha Eagles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4918cf8aac8c3fbb006cdfe7f6cfd124d986ec2a228c6d77934cb62b9577c98e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Samsung Lionsof Samsung Lions, Hanwha Eagles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,993
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,737
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,993 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x45e8…5169backed Samsung Lions | 53c | 459.46$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.94 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | +10.2wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Hanwha Eagles | 45c | 321.34$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.31 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Hanwha Eagles | 52c | 299.14$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.39 | 265 | 45.7%121 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Samsung Lions | 77c | 274.22$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.46 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Samsung Lions | 58c | 240.15$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.9 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed4e…916fbacked Hanwha Eagles | 52c | 233.05$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.41 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8345…5cadbacked Samsung Lions | 50c | 217.8$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.9 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66ea…6791backed Hanwha Eagles | 47c | 199.82$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.92 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ff…6754backed Samsung Lions | 54c | 180.51$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.28 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Samsung Lions | 45c | 140.08$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.04 | 295 | 47.1%139 W · 156 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Samsung Lions | 48c | 131.15$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.96 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x982e…add6backed Hanwha Eagles | 50c | 107.39$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.69 | 332 | 28.3%94 W · 238 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Samsung Lions | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb702…6bcfbacked Hanwha Eagles | 48c | 96.88$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.45 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45dd…7b56backed Samsung Lions | 52c | 95.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.08 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Hanwha Eagles | 76c | 76.85$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.4 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +22.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Hanwha Eagles | 47c | 61.79$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.04 | 200 | 44.5%89 W · 111 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x165b…711cbacked Hanwha Eagles | 54c | 49.3$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.62 | 171 | 50.9%87 W · 84 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x623a…5144backed Hanwha Eagles | 47c | 41.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -7.2wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked Hanwha Eagles | 47c | 41.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x02ec…5412backed Samsung Lions | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Hanwha Eagles | 47c | 37.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.43 | 674 | 53%357 W · 317 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Hanwha Eagles | 47c | 24.68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Samsung Lions | 50c | 22.44$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.11 | 408 | 46.1%188 W · 220 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Samsung Lions | 51c | 20.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 950 | 41.5%394 W · 556 L | -48.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f4…0336backed Samsung Lions | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.