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Premier League · resolved market

Will Bournemouth win on 2025-02-15?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$486,208
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$533,467

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $486,208 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 215 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet's whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x232e…bd62backed No0c60,024$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.7110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2513…0144backed No1c43,931$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.1910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfab6…b90ebacked No0c21,678$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.8410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e5f…bf45backed Yes66c16,959$11,184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,775.379235.9%33 W · 59 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2699…3409backed No1c16,778$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.6410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2d8…e461backed No0c16,158$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.1110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8d5…c1fcbacked No0c15,124$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0120%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37d8…b6ddbacked Yes65c13,931$9,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,930.5611548.7%56 W · 59 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed No14c13,553$1,849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,849.0514732.7%48 W · 99 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-44%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5abf…d5e6backed No1c12,928$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.94250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked No36c12,292$4,393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,393.139754.6%53 W · 44 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a60…5d6ebacked No0c11,215$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c2f…b4d3backed No0c10,039$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.75333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-55%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80b2…ea2fbacked No1c9,438$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.9820%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e40…34a4backed No0c9,272$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.37250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No32c9,211$2,972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,971.7179639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6004…8b05backed No0c9,208$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x502b…1ac2backed No1c9,105$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.72250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b1a…4a50backed No1c8,304$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.29425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-66.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9643…376cbacked No0c8,261$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9820%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c0c…ad39backed No2c8,116$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.5410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c97…7bf8backed No0c7,793$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.19250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x113a…5696backed No1c7,362$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.82366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74fd…19f5backed No0c6,993$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.65250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1fb…5a80backed No2c6,908$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.86450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-20.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a26…410ebacked Yes68c6,401$4,351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,049.971952.6%10 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+71.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xda35…60b6backed No1c6,317$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.75333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-55%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19c3…a173backed No1c5,588$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.4810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No37c5,350$1,979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,978.532037.2%119 W · 201 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x047c…fcbbbacked No0c5,256$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6330%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1942…1e2fbacked No1c5,236$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.41366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4ed…44b0backed No3c5,078$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.5710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe626…2fe6backed Yes74c4,610$3,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,209.634264.3%27 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick62cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f3d…2adbbacked Yes65c4,250$2,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,500.723060%18 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d17…ac75backed No2c4,125$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$873910.3%4 W · 35 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick7cpaid+44.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No34c3,819$1,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,310.1683559.3%495 W · 340 L+24.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed No33c3,757$1,247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,247.3932758.4%191 W · 136 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked No34c2,703$919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$918.8613547.4%64 W · 71 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No34c2,304$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$779.9390751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed No36c2,050$738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73868026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes66c1,538$1,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.9270072.3%506 W · 194 L+83.3wins+0.12per pick60cpaid+26.1%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xf00f…711abacked No33c1,451$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.235650%28 W · 28 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+4.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed No33c1,411$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.9616660.8%101 W · 65 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc0c…1330backed No1c1,401$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.47250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x187f…c378backed Yes66c1,243$821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.76152.5%32 W · 29 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No35c1,199$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.6781559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb5d2…317bbacked No34c1,105$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.75444.4%24 W · 30 L-5.4wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-32.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe06c…62aebacked Yes66c900.46$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.169355.9%52 W · 41 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No35c837.3$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.0641437.9%157 W · 257 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb9c…d01bbacked Yes68c737.07$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.072356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe060…fda8backed Yes66c593.98$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.958155.6%45 W · 36 L+0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x034b…8bc0backed No34c583.1$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.542937.9%11 W · 18 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-23.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No33c530.12$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.6938645.3%175 W · 211 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07b8…3842backed Yes65c522.96$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.562100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No4c501.44$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2866031.2%206 W · 454 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Yes66c500$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17021153.1%112 W · 99 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x221f…6be8backed Yes66c500$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1705536.4%20 W · 35 L-0.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-18.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3aa1…637bbacked Yes65c500$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1755644.6%25 W · 31 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No35c466.71$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.565857.8%380 W · 278 L+26.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes73c435.38$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.3279650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x00e2…d56abacked No34c300$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1022733.3%9 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1475…e632backed Yes67c298.51$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.51785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick63cpaid+36%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7bbf…2760backed Yes66c250$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$857241.7%30 W · 42 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5283…8befbacked No38c239.05$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf10f…004dbacked Yes66c227.27$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.2726054.2%141 W · 119 L+1.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed Yes63c217.5$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.4814659.6%87 W · 59 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked No34c184.09$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.5924566.1%162 W · 83 L+24.5wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No34c180$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.281,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0aa…da1bbacked Yes67c162$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7e6…c104backed No34c157.79$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56ff…11c7backed No33c154.79$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.08250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-36.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed Yes65c154$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.920447.1%96 W · 108 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d4c…f7debacked Yes65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.857035.7%25 W · 45 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-19.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.5232737.6%123 W · 204 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf22a…1697backed No37c150$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.024645.7%21 W · 25 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.2529653%157 W · 139 L-23.0wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-15.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb474…a4bcbacked No21c143.4$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.491877.8%14 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.17per pick61cpaid+23.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1952…31dfbacked No39c143$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.77616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.41per pick58cpaid-72.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x930a…07cdbacked No33c141.09$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.5620%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed No28c138.42$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.4437652.4%197 W · 179 L+27.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2274…4e7cbacked No36c134.03$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0474…9255backed No33c133.76$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.14366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1031…4eb2backed No34c133.56$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.41250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed No35c132.97$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.5436945.8%169 W · 200 L-0.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid+7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb30c…7ab2backed Yes66c128.79$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.792360.9%14 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2bb…b014backed No33c115.46$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbde4…4cc7backed Yes67c113$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fcf…48e1backed Yes13c110.9$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$973666.7%24 W · 12 L+8.6wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+89.6%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked No33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3314754.4%80 W · 67 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked No36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3615636.5%57 W · 99 L-11.7wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7eee…b4b2backed Yes65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.521763.6%138 W · 79 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…c3f5backed Yes63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377350.7%37 W · 36 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x362c…ac6ebacked Yes66c99.79$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.939348.4%45 W · 48 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-13.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Yes63c99$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.6314732%47 W · 100 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ae4…3288backed Yes64c96.88$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x63d3…046fbacked Yes64c93.41$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.63366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd682…0570backed Yes67c81.46$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16e5…bc4ebacked Yes68c80.79$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked No39c80$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.1540135.2%141 W · 260 L-0.7wins0.00per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf62d…d3a0backed Yes63c79.49$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.4912053.3%64 W · 56 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.