Premier League · resolved market
Will Southampton win on 2025-02-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe222e0da8e6f5f800c677908ff642e4a1e92cdffa67b5f8a420dc68c47adfb4a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,363
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,854
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,363 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 16c | 3,050$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 18c | 2,040$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359 | 320 | 37.2%119 W · 201 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Yes | 11c | 1,075$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.27 | 147 | 32.7%48 W · 99 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b2…2171backed Yes | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 16c | 880$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.8 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Yes | 13c | 600$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a74…57dcbacked Yes | 16c | 537.62$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.02 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Yes | 7c | 525.37$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 14c | 477.92$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.71 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Yes | 17c | 235.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x179e…13febacked Yes | 15c | 228$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 15c | 181.4$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.21 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1cb…e3ecbacked Yes | 16c | 123$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x301d…bd24backed Yes | 15c | 115$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x383b…3894backed Yes | 15c | 101$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fd…d003backed Yes | 15c | 100.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc78…aa53backed Yes | 16c | 94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Yes | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b46…7c2fbacked Yes | 15c | 80$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec9…8ef2backed Yes | 16c | 65.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Southampton win on 2025-02-15?this page
- Will Bournemouth win on 2025-02-15?Yes won
- Will Southampton vs. Bournemouth end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.