TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Stars vs. Wild

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Wildof Stars, Wild
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$117,426
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$127,402

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $117,426 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee00…cea1backed Wild24c36,025$8,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,399.6844848.9%219 W · 229 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a8c…ba13backed Stars80c35,420$28,219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,218.78850%4 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-1.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Stars75c13,443$10,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,082.4392848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Wild20c11,572$2,314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,257.613754%74 W · 63 L+9.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8011…e98ebacked Stars75c9,999$7,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,499.259863.3%62 W · 36 L+13.2wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+27.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xc1c9…96d9backed Wild42c9,023$3,835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,188.261428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.7wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-42.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Wild36c8,709$3,142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,567.671,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe626…2fe6backed Stars71c5,294$3,772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,772.232441.7%10 W · 14 L-5.9wins-0.25per pick66cpaid-42.6%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Stars58c4,444$2,577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,577.461,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Wild45c2,805$1,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,542.7531753.9%171 W · 146 L-14.3wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd26…6310backed Stars77c2,083$1,606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,606.52254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Wild32c2,071$654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,417.123,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0cc…73e6backed Stars58c2,022$1,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,182.484143.9%18 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Stars57c2,000$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1401,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Stars55c2,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10019555.4%108 W · 87 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Stars55c1,970$1,093 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,092.541,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked Wild43c1,957$841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,115.4411145.9%51 W · 60 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70f8…d0d5backed Stars75c1,848$1,385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,385.1327958.8%164 W · 115 L-1.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed Stars58c1,533$891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$891.4310546.7%49 W · 56 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3cc9…56d0backed Stars58c1,500$870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8704242.9%18 W · 24 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e26…1715backed Wild42c1,498$629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$868.842157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+14.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa61d…22f6backed Wild41c1,433$591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$841.9430549.2%150 W · 155 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Stars57c1,403$803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803.166951%341 W · 328 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef23…5b60backed Wild43c1,362$586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$776.2364242.2%271 W · 371 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x908f…7e43backed Stars59c1,300$767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7803…1004backed Wild41c1,300$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$767683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick50cpaid+70.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x37d8…b6ddbacked Stars58c1,252$726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7262864.3%18 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Wild51c1,213$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.7258467.5%394 W · 190 L+93.1wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Stars56c1,117$626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$625.571,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Stars57c1,091$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621.7497651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd561…9423backed Stars60c1,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60016554.5%90 W · 75 L-0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Stars59c1,000$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590.6185148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Wild40c733.35$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.8249351.3%253 W · 240 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Stars58c691.98$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.3575155.8%419 W · 332 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb47e…79e0backed Stars58c568.97$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3302055%11 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick64cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6480…8dc5backed Stars59c560.47$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.681127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.23per pick50cpaid-55%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Wild51c513.8$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.769747.4%46 W · 51 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f66…8938backed Stars55c508.2$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.049750.5%49 W · 48 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe32e…890bbacked Wild45c400$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22036242%152 W · 210 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e83…a4a0backed Stars53c376.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010147.5%48 W · 53 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Stars52c353.85$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18472847.9%349 W · 379 L-1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Stars59c300$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1771,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5327…3b80backed Wild28c274.04$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.852352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+17.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5961…d0d5backed Stars46c260.63$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.845337.7%20 W · 33 L-7.1wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1ed0…77f7backed Stars25c245.84$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.454438.6%17 W · 27 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a9f…3b4bbacked Stars77c233.77$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1805673.2%41 W · 15 L+5.4wins+0.10per pick64cpaid+14.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Stars58c222$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.7650857.7%293 W · 215 L+0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc20c…fa4bbacked Stars56c220$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.24650%23 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x904b…429cbacked Wild43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11450049.4%247 W · 253 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7662…356bbacked Stars58c181.93$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.8320649.5%102 W · 104 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2c4…a40abacked Stars56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003154.8%17 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Stars60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a65…e883backed Stars60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001353.8%7 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.16per pick69cpaid-24.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcbeb…8b88backed Wild42c152.79$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.622100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+107.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Wild33c151.52$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.527545.3%34 W · 41 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce02…f887backed Wild23c151.32$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.526956.5%39 W · 30 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e3d…bf10backed Stars56c141.6$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809149.5%45 W · 46 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9a0…88eebacked Stars57c128.87$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.3513845.7%63 W · 75 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2dc…b925backed Wild42c118$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7271…d90abacked Stars58c118$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.4420%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Wild41c111.03$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.0537738.7%146 W · 231 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe08d…d5d4backed Stars58c110$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.84161%25 W · 16 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cd7…d7a0backed Stars60c108.25$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.9530%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xddca…a82cbacked Stars60c107.95$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.77250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24c4…107cbacked Wild43c105.67$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.23540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Stars60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6035154.1%190 W · 161 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b69…e32abacked Stars59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597651.3%39 W · 37 L-5.7wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x69ad…48d1backed Stars57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571947.4%9 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick59cpaid-21.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5036…416bbacked Stars57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5727643.5%120 W · 156 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa33f…c25ebacked Wild67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334163.4%26 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee03…3eeabacked Stars49c96.92$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.4917448.9%85 W · 89 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa71b…175cbacked Stars59c95$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.051181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.8wins+0.34per pick47cpaid+83.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xc709…9253backed Wild41c95$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.051250%6 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0e0…7b97backed Stars58c94.78$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.97450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c3f…2772backed Stars58c93$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa100…55e7backed Wild42c93$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fe7…78f7backed Wild42c92.02$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.373100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+113.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa865…a199backed Stars58c91.76$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.2240%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xee98…f6efbacked Wild41c90$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.11163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+25.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32d6…1e0abacked Stars59c90$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.1944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x718d…40bfbacked Stars60c89.17$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.5425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-56.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x94ef…4322backed Wild41c85$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.15955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+22.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd36…8529backed Stars59c85$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.151258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+19.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e2f…2785backed Stars59c84.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-34.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x737c…d76dbacked Stars59c84.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b65…c4b2backed Stars58c83.56$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.462536%9 W · 16 L-3.2wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-24.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Stars60c83.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ba7…a0edbacked Wild43c82.91$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.26450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0a6…2ab9backed Stars75c82.21$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.669755.7%54 W · 43 L-6.9wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x35e5…4133backed Wild42c82$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f72…8a38backed Stars58c82$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.5620%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Wild41c79.99$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.372444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d41…82cabacked Wild42c79.1$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.88580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+46.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x36a3…5b01backed Wild28c71.43$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.43944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick60cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x169e…de26backed Stars72c68.06$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495170.6%36 W · 15 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f17…deb9backed Wild42c67.29$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.032157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd121…54c7backed Stars60c66.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4017363%109 W · 64 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Wild50c62.99$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.3541340%165 W · 248 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x702a…689cbacked Stars58c62$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b97…adafbacked Wild42c62$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.